Prospective Evaluation of Applied Energy Research and Development at DOE (Phase One): A First Look Forward

Authors

Committee on Prospective Benefits of DOE s Energy Efficiency and Fossil Energy R&D Programs, National Research Council

Description

In 2001, the National Research Council (NRC) completed a congressionally mandated assessment of the benefits and costs of DOE s fossil energy and energy efficiency R&D programs, Energy Research at DOE: Was It Worth It? The Congress followed this retrospective study by directing DOE to request the NRC to develop a methodology for assessing prospective benefits. The first phase of this project development of the methodology began in December 2003. Phase two will make the methodology more robust and explore related issues, and subsequent phases will apply the methodology to review the prospective benefits of different DOE fossil energy and energy efficiency R&D programs. In developing this project, three considerations were particularly important. First, the study should adapt the work of the retrospective study. Second, the project should develop a methodology that provides a rigorous calculation of benefits and risks, and a practical and consistent process for its application. Third, the methodology should be transparent, should not require extensive resources for implementation, and should produce easily understood results. This report presents the results of phase one. It focuses on adaptation of the retrospective methodology to a prospective context.

Front Matter i-xii
Executive Summary 1-5
1 Introduction 6-8
2 From Retrospective to Prospective Evaluation 9-12
3 Methodology for Prospective Evaluation of Department of Energy Programs 13-31
4 Expert Panel Process 32-37
5 Results of Applying the Methodology 38-47
6 Conclusions and Recommendations 48-51
References 52-52
Appendix A: Committee Biographical Information 53-58
Appendix B: Statement of Task 59-59
Appendix C: Presentations and Committee Meetings 60-61
Appendix D: Letter Report 62-69
Appendix E: Prospective Evaluation of DOE Programs: A Preliminary Methodology 70-74
Appendix F: Report of the Panel on Benefits of Lighting R&D 75-88
Appendix G: Report of the Panel of Sequestration R&D 89-101
Appendix H: Report of the Panel of Benefits of Fuel Cell R&D 102-119
Appendix I: The Lighting Cse Study Recast as a Decision Tree 120-120
Appendix J: Expected Benefits Results and Report Guidance 121-123
Appendix K: Information Request to the Department of Energy 124-126

Prospective Evaluation of Applied Energy Research and Development at DOE (Phase One):

A First Look Forward (2005)

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Prospective Evaluation of Applied Energy Research and Development at DOE (Phase One):

A First Look Forward (2005)

Overview

Authors

Description

Table of Contents

Front Matter i-xii

Executive Summary 1-5

1 Introduction 6-8

2 From Retrospective to Prospective Evaluation 9-12

3 Methodology for Prospective Evaluation of Department of Energy Programs 13-31

4 Expert Panel Process 32-37

5 Results of Applying the Methodology 38-47

6 Conclusions and Recommendations 48-51

References 52-52

Appendix A: Committee Biographical Information 53-58

Appendix B: Statement of Task 59-59

Appendix C: Presentations and Committee Meetings 60-61

Appendix D: Letter Report 62-69

Appendix E: Prospective Evaluation of DOE Programs: A Preliminary Methodology 70-74

Appendix F: Report of the Panel on Benefits of Lighting R&D 75-88

Appendix G: Report of the Panel of Sequestration R&D 89-101

Appendix H: Report of the Panel of Benefits of Fuel Cell R&D 102-119

Appendix I: The Lighting Cse Study Recast as a Decision Tree 120-120

Appendix J: Expected Benefits Results and Report Guidance 121-123

Appendix K: Information Request to the Department of Energy 124-126

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