Modeling the Economics of Greenhouse Gas Mitigation: Summary of a Workshop
View larger
  • Status: Final Book
  • Downloads: 2,143
Purchase Options
Purchase Options MyNAP members save 10% online. Login or Register



Models are fundamental for estimating the possible costs and effectiveness of different policies for reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. There is a wide array of models to perform such analysis, differing in the level of technological detail, treatment of technological progress, spatial and sector details, and representation of the interaction of the energy sector to the overall economy and environment. These differences impact model results, including cost estimates. More fundamentally, these models differ as to how they represent fundamental processes that have a large impact on policy analysis--such as how different models represent technological learning and cost reductions that come through increasing production volumes, or how different models represent baseline conditions.

Reliable estimates of the costs and potential impacts on the United States economy of various emissions reduction and other mitigation strategies are critical to the development of the federal climate change research and development portfolio. At the request of the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE), the National Academies organized a workshop, summarized in this volume, to consider some of these types of modeling issues.


  • Environment and Environmental Studies — Climate Change
  • Environment and Environmental Studies — Policy, Reviews and Evaluations

Publication Info

160 pages | 8 1/2 x 11
ISBN: 978-0-309-16235-7

Table of Contents

skim chapter
Front Matter i-x
1 Introduction 1-3
2 Uses and Abuses of Marginal Abatement Supply Curves 4-8
3 Uses and Abuses of Learning, Experience, and Knowledge Curves 9-12
4 Offsets - What's Assumed, What Is Known/Not Known, and What Difference They Make 13-18
5 Story Lines, Scenarios, and the Limits of Long-Term Socio-Techno-Economic Forecasting 19-21
6 Reflections on the Workshop 22-24
References 25-26
Appendixes 27-28
Appendix A: Workshop Announcement and Agenda 29-32
Appendix B: Biographical Sketches of Planning Committee Members, Speakers, and Discussants 33-40
Appendix C: Papers Submitted by Workshop Speakers 41-41
Paradigms of Energy Efficiency's Cost and Their Policy Implications: Déjà Vu All Over Again--Mark Jaccard 42-51
Energy Efficiency Cost Curves: Empirical Insights for Energy-Climate Modeling--Jayant Sathaye and Amol Phadke 52-68
The Perils of the Learning Model For Modeling Endogenous Technological Change--William D. Nordhaus 69-75
Uncertainties in Technology Experience Curves for Energy-Economic Models--Sonia Yeh and Edward Rubin 76-91
Role of Offsets in Global and Domestic Climate Policy--Raymond J. Kopp 92-99
Carbon Offsets in Forest and Land Use--Brent Sohngen 100-108
Measurement and Monitoring of Forests in Climate Policy Design--Molly K. Macauley 109-110
International Offsets Usage in Proposed U.S. Climate Change Legislation--Allen A. Fawcett 111-131
The Politics and Economics of International Carbon Offsets--David G. Victor 132-142
Developing Narratives for Next-Generation Scenarios Climate Change Research and Assessment--Richard Moss 143-150
Research Tools

Suggested Citation

National Research Council. Modeling the Economics of Greenhouse Gas Mitigation: Summary of a Workshop. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press, 2010.

Import this citation to:

Copyright Information

The National Academies Press (NAP) has partnered with Copyright Clearance Center's Rightslink service to offer you a variety of options for reusing NAP content. Through Rightslink, you may request permission to reprint NAP content in another publication, course pack, secure website, or other media. Rightslink allows you to instantly obtain permission, pay related fees, and print a license directly from the NAP website. The complete terms and conditions of your reuse license can be found in the license agreement that will be made available to you during the online order process. To request permission through Rightslink you are required to create an account by filling out a simple online form. The following list describes license reuses offered by the National Academies Press (NAP) through Rightslink:

  • Republish text, tables, figures, or images in print
  • Post on a secure Intranet/Extranet website
  • Use in a PowerPoint Presentation
  • Distribute via CD-ROM
  • Photocopy

Click here to obtain permission for the above reuses. If you have questions or comments concerning the Rightslink service, please contact:

Rightslink Customer Care
Tel (toll free): 877/622-5543
Tel: 978/777-9929

To request permission to distribute a PDF, please contact our Customer Service Department at 800-624-6242 for pricing.

To request permission to translate a book published by the National Academies Press or its imprint, the Joseph Henry Press, please click here to view more information.

Related Books more