Committee on Broadband Last Mile Technology

Computer Science and Telecommunications Board

Division on Engineering and Physical Sciences

National Research Council

 



Contents


Title Page and Notice i
National Academies Statement iii
Committee v
Preface vii
Acknowledgment of Reviewers xi

ABSTRACT 1

SUMMARY AND RECOMMENDATIONS 5

1 SETTING THE STAGE 43
  The Broadband Challenge 43
  Perspectives on Broadband 45
  A Brief History of the Communications Infrastructure 47
  From Promise to Broad Deployment: What Has Changed Since the Mid-1990s? 50
  Broadband Deployment Trends 52
  Reaching All Americans 54
  Access Economics and Evolving Applications 57
  Scope of This Report 60

2 WHAT IS BROADBAND? 62
  Why Define "Broadband"? 62
  Overview of the Technical Characteristics of Broadband 65
    Speed 65
    Latency and Jitter 67
    Symmetry Between Upstream and Downstream Capacity 67
    Always-On 69
    Connectivity Sharing and Home Networks 71
    Addressability 74
    Controls on Applications and Content 75
    Implications of Network Design/Architecture 77
  Approaches to Defining Broadband 78

3 BROADBAND APPLICATIONS AND CONTENT 82
  Broadband Applications: Promise and Reality 82
  Classes of Broadband Applications 83
    Faster General Internet Access and General Internet Applications 84
      Browsing and Related Activities 84
      Messaging 85
      Fast File Downloading 85
      Games 87
      Speed and Response-Time-Sensitive Internet Applications 87
      Application Rental 87
      Network Storage 88
      Static Image Delivery 88
    Audio 89
      Audio Delivery 89
      Compression-Quality Trade-offs 91
      Specific Audio Applications 93
    Video 98
      The Mechanics of Video Delivery 102
      Telepresence 103
    Telemetry 105
    New Kinds of Publishing 105
      Peer-to-Peer Applications 105
      "Local Interest" Content, Including Video 107
      Home Content Hosting 107
      Push Content 109
    Multiplexing Applications Demand in Homes 109
      Internet Appliances 111
      Distributed Work and Education 112
      "Tele-webbing," 113
    Communities and Community Networks 113
  Social Factors and Impacts of Broadband 114
    Availability of Content 114
    Broadband Impacts 116

4 TECHNOLOGY OPTIONS AND ECONOMIC FACTORS 120
  Local Access Technologies in Context 120
  Essential Features of the Local Access Technology Options 121
    Wireline Options 122
      Hybrid Fiber Coax 123
      Digital Subscriber Line 125
      Advanced Wireline Offerings--Fiber Optics in the Loop 129
      Powerline 135
      Wireline Roadmap 136
    Wireless Options 139
      Fixed Terrestrial Wireless 139
      Mobile Wireless 142
      Satellite 144
      Wireless Roadmap 146
    The Diverse Technology Landscape 148
  Layering and Unbundling 149
  Economics of Infrastructure Investment 152
    Understanding Costs 152
    Take-Rate Tyranny 153
    Paying for Broadband 155
    Focus on the Consumer 156
    The Pace of Investment 158
    Investment, Risk Taking, and Timelines 160
      Uncertain Investment Prospects in the Private Sector 161
      Investment Options for the Public Sector 162
    Moore's Law and Broadband 163
  Economics of Scaling Up Capacity: Congestion and Traffic Management 163

5 BROADBAND POLICY AND REGULATION 167
  The Context for Broadband Policy 167
  Policy Implications of Technological Change 171
    Regulation in the Face of Rapid Change 171
    Asymmetrical Regulation and Achieving Technology Neutrality 174
  Competition 177
    Unbundling and Resale Mandates 180
      When Unbundling Works 182
      Implications for Investments by Incumbents 184
    Facilities-Based Competition 184
    Structural Separation 185
    How Much Competition Is Enough? 186
    Assessing the Degree of Competition 188
    Open Access and Evolving Complements to Facilities-Based Competition 189
    Access Issues in Multidwelling Units 192
    Access to Poles, Conduit, and Rights-of-Way 193
  Expanding Access and Universal Service Policies 194
    Rationales for Intervention 194
    Implicit Transfer Mechanisms Used for Universal Telephone Service 197
    Other Mechanisms for Increasing Access to Broadband 200
      Loans and Grants 200
      Tax Incentives 202
      Vouchers 203
      Research to Develop Technology Alternatives 204
    Looking Forward 205
  The Local Role in Broadband 206

BIBLIOGRAPHY 216

APPENDIXES

A Broadband Technologies 245

B A Brief History of Telecommunications Regulation 296

C List of White Papers Received 307

D Biographies of Committee Members 309

E List of Acronyms 318











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Copyright 2002 the National Academy of Sciences
 
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