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Policy Implications of Greenhouse Warming: Mitigation, Adaptation, and the Science Base (1992)
Committee on Science, Engineering, and Public Policy (COSEPUP)

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National Research Council. "29 Findings and Recommendations." Policy Implications of Greenhouse Warming: Mitigation, Adaptation, and the Science Base. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press, 1992. 1. Print.

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Page 486

TABLE 29.7 Cost-Effectiveness Ordering of Category 3 Mitigation Options

Mitigation Option

Costa

Potential Emission Mitigationb (Mt CO2 equivalent/yr)

GEOENGINEERINGc

   

Low stratospheric sootd

Low

8 × 103 to 25 × 103

Low stratospheric dust-aircraft deliveryd

Low

8 × 103 to 80 × 103

Stratospheric dust (guns or balloon lift)d

Low

+

Cloud stimulated by provision of CCNe

Low

+

Stimulation of ocean biomass with ironf

Low to medium

7 × 103

Stratospheric bubbles (multiple balloons)g

Low to medium

+

Space mirrorsg

Low to medium

+

NOTE: This table summarizes the information by source category and places the options in order of cost-effectiveness for the Category 3 options. Cost-effectiveness estimates are categorized as: Savings (for less than 0), Low (0–$9/t CO2 equivalent), Medium ($10–99/t CO2 equivalent), or High (>$100/t CO2 equivalent). The potential emission savings (which in some cases includes not only the annual emissions, but also changes in atmospheric concentrations already in the atmosphere) for the geoengineering options are also shown.

aCosts are in ranges shown below:

 

$/t CO2

 

Savings

<0

 

Low

0–9

 

Medium

10–99

 

High

>100

 

bThis number assumes that we not only mitigate the impact of current emissions of CO2 and other greenhouse gases, but also the stock of those gases. The CO2-equivalent emission is determined by evaluating the equivalent reduction in radiative forcing (see Appendix Q). These options do not reduce the flow of emissions per se, but rather the impact of greenhouse warming from those emissions. The ''+" indicates that there is no known physical limit to this method assuming these options work as expected, just a limit on the amount of mitigation for which we are willing to pay.

cMitigation options are placed in order of cost-effectiveness based on the average (arithmetic mean) of the costs. Cost ranges are averaged prior to each option addition.

dThese options cannot be considered for use until the possible effects of the soot, dust, or aerosol on the destruction of stratospheric ozone are understood.

eCloud condensation nuclei.

fThis option cannot be considered for use until the possible effects of large-scale iron additions to the ocean biomass are well understood.

gInfeasible options.

Page
486
Front Matter (R1-R26)
Part One: Synthesis (1-2)
1 Introduction (3-4)
2 Background (5-11)
3 The Greenhouse Gases and Their Effects (12-28)
4 Policy Framework (29-35)
5 Adaptation (36-47)
6 Mitigation (48-64)
7 International Considerations (65-67)
8 Findings and Conclusions (68-72)
9 Recommendations (73-83)
Individual Statement by a Member Of The Synthesis Panel (84-86)
Part Two: The Science Base (87-88)
10 Introduction (89-90)
11 Emission Rates and Concentrations Of Greenhouse Gases (91-99)
12 Radiative Forcing and Feedback (100-110)
13 Model Performance (111-116)
14 The Climate Record (117-134)
15 Hydrology (135-139)
16 Sea Level (140-144)
17 A Greenhouse Forcing and Temperature Rise Estimation Procedure (145-152)
18 Conclusions (153-154)
Part Three: Mitigation (155-156)
19 Introduction (157-170)
20 Framework for Evaluating Mitigation Options (171-200)
21 Residential and Commercial Energy Management (201-247)
22 Industrial Energy Management (248-285)
23 Transportation Energy Management (286-329)
24 Energy Supply Systems (330-375)
25 Nonenergy Emission Reduction (376-413)
26 Population (414-423)
27 Deforestation (424-432)
28 Geoengineering (433-464)
29 Findings and Recommendations (465-498)
Part Four: Adaptation (499-500)
30 Findings (501-507)
31 Recommendations (508-514)
32 Issues, Assumptions, and Values (515-524)
33 Methods and Tools (525-540)
34 Sesitivities, Impacts, and Adaptations (541-652)
35 Indices (653-656)
36 Final Words (657-658)
Individual Statement by a Member of the Adaptation Panel (659-660)
Appendixes (661-662)
A Questions and Answers About Greenhouse Warming (663-691)
B Thinking About Time in the Context of Global Climate Change (692-707)
C Conservation Supply Curves for Buildings (708-716)
D Conservation Supply Curves for Industrial Energy Use (717-726)
E Conservation Supply Data for Three Transportation Sectors (727-758)
F Transportation System Management (759-766)
G Nuclear Energy (767-774)
H A Solar Hydrogen System (775-778)
I Biomass (779-785)
J Cost-Effectiveness of Electrical Generation Technologies (786-791)
K Cost-Effectiveness of Chlorofluorocarbon Phaseout—United States and Worldwide (792-797)
L Agriculture (798-807)
M Landfill Methane Reduction (808-808)
N Population Growth and Greenhouse Gas Emissions (809-811)
O Deforestation Prevention (812-813)
P Reforestation (814-816)
Q Geoengineering Options (817-835)
R Description of Economic Estimates of the Cost of Reducing Greenhouse Emissions (836-839)
S Glossary (840-846)
T Conversion Tables (847-848)
U Prefaces from the Individual Panel Reports (849-854)
V Acknowledgments from the Individual Panel Reports (855-857)
W Background Information on Panel Members and Professional Staff (858-868)
Index (869-918)
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