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enhanced through refereed workshops to discuss the pertinent
scientific and associated societal issues and to recommend
priorities. Effective collaborative linkages between process
studies and modeling groups should also be encouraged to facilitate
the difficult task of developing, implementing, and testing new
model parameterizations. In addition, increased coordination of
research-based and operational modeling activities will help ensure
that expertise in these two communities is shared. These are but a
few of the types of coordinating activities that should be
vigorously and consistently pursued.
The CRC finds that the United States lags behind other
countries in its ability to model long-term climate change.
Those deficiencies limit the ability of the United States:
1. to predict future climate states and thus:
a) assess the national and international value and impact of
climate change;
b) formulate policies that will be consistent with national
objectives and be compatible with global commitments;
2. to most effectively advance understanding of the underlying
scientific issues pertaining to climate variability and change.
Although collaboration and free and open information and data
exchange with foreign modeling centers are critical, it is
inappropriate for the United States to rely heavily upon foreign
centers to provide high-end modeling capabilities. There are a
number of reasons for this, including the following:
1. U.S. scientists do not necessarily have full, open, and
timely access to output from European models, particularly as the
commercial value of these predictions and scenarios increases in
the future.2
2. Decisions that might substantially affect the U.S. economy
might be made based upon considerations of simulations (e.g.,
nestedgrid runs) produced by countries with different priorities
than those of the United States.