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6 Emerging Tools and Technology for Countering Resistance OVERVIEW Most efforts to overcome problems resulting from microbial resistance have been aimed at either extending the useful life of current drugs or developing new drugs. But the first approach, which has typically involved developing slightly different chemical derivatives, has provided only marginal gains, and the second approach has in recent decades produced only a single new chemical class of antibiotics. And while many observers suggest that the genomics revolution may be opening promising new avenues for exploration, it has yet to populate the pharmaceutical development pipeline with new classes of compounds. The focus of this session of the workshop was on examining advances in our understanding of the genetics and biochemistry of a variety of pathogens, and on exploring how this knowledge might lead to novel approaches to developing new drugs and other tools and technologies to help counter the spread of antimicrobial resistance. Among the antibiotics discussed was the important family of ß-lactams, which include penicillin, methicillin, oxacillin, and the newer cephalosporins. Recent research has revealed at least four strategies by which bacteria develop resistance to these antibiotics. The most common tactic involves certain enzymes, called ß–lactamases, that break apart critical components of the drugs. Knowing the details of these mechanisms may provide scientists with new targets to attack in designing drugs that can circumvent a microbe’s natural defenses.
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Another research group is taking a radically different approach to drug design. Since most bacteria enter humans at a mucous membrane site, such as the upper and lower respiratory tract or the intestines, these locations act as reservoirs for many pathogens. However, there currently are no drugs that can kill pathogens on mucous membranes without killing surrounding normal bacteria as well, and physicians therefore must wait for infection to occur systemically before treating the patient. If it were possible to safely deplete this disease reservoir on mucous membranes, then it might be possible to markedly lower the incidence of infections. Toward this end, the scientists have developed a new type of reagent, called lytic enzymes, that can prevent infection by specifically destroying pathogenic bacteria on mucous membranes. The enzymes might prove especially useful in hospitals, nursing homes, daycare centers, and other locations where bacterial infections often run rampant. Participants also examined how the current regulatory approval process for moving new drug candidates to market might be modified to help reduce problems of antimicrobial resistance. Drug developers now must conduct extensive clinical trials to evaluate whether their agent achieves a clinical cure; that is, whether it frees recipients of symptoms. But this marker may not show whether the drug actually killed all of the pathogens—an important requirement for minimizing the emergence of resistance. One suggestion is to examine the pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics of new drugs as a complementary part of the approval process. This technical approach, known as PK/PD, is built on taking regular cultures from a person receiving a therapeutic agent and determining when pathogenic microbes are no longer present. In this way, the technology offers a direct measure of the agent’s ability not only to cure the patient but also to completely eliminate the pathogen. EVOLUTION OF MULTIPLE MECHANISMS OF RESISTANCE TO ß-LACTAM ANTIBIOTICS Dasantila Golemi-Kotra, Ph.D., Sergei Vakulenko, M.D., Ph.D., and Shahriar Mobashery, Ph.D. Departments of Chemistry, Pharmacology and Biochemistry and Molecular Biology Institute for Drug Design, Wayne State University, Detroit, MI Major discoveries in antibiotics were made in succession from the 1950s through the 1970s, an era that has come to be known as the “Golden Age of Antibiotics.” These accomplishments created a sense of euphoria in the medical community as it perceived that bacterial infections were curable.
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Victory over bacteria was declared and financial resources were redirected toward more pressing scientific questions. By the late 1980s to the early 1990s, many pharmaceutical companies stopped research for discovery and development of new types of antibiotics, a trend that was shadowed by federal agencies such as the National Institutes of Health that showed more inclination to support studies of non-microbial systems during that period. Meanwhile, liberal use of antibiotics in the clinics, in agriculture, in aquaculture, and in animal husbandry was facilitating a quiet revolution in microbial populations. These events resulted in antibiotic-resistant organisms that were perfectly treatable a decade or two earlier. These organisms were included among those defined as re-emerging infectious agents (IOM, 1992; Heymann and Rodier, 2001). While this trend was progressing steadily over the past decades, previously unknown infectious agents were also being discovered (WHO, 1996; Desselberger, 2000). Acquired resistance to antibiotics can develop rapidly. As depicted in Figure 6-1, it takes typically a mere one to four years for clinical resistance to emerge for any antibiotic. The beginning of each arrow in Figure 6-1 indicates the time point when the given antibiotic was introduced to the clinic and the tip of the arrow indicates when resistance to it emerged. Whereas the data of Figure 6-1 speak for themselves, three examples are worthy of a brief comment. The arrow is in reverse for penicillin G, since the first case of resistance to penicillin was reported two years prior to the first large-scale clinical use of penicillin in 1942 (Abraham and Chain, 1940). The resistant organism harbored a ß-lactamase, an enzyme that to the present day is the major cause of resistance to ß-lactam antibiotics. Figure 6-1 would seem to indicate that resistance to nalidixic acid took roughly 20 years to develop. This is true in part due to the antibiotic glut in the late 1950s into the 1960s. There were so many effective antibiotics that nalidixic acid was not used. Indeed, when quinolone and fluoroquinolone antibiotics, the structural descendants of nalidixic acid, were introduced to the clinic in earnest in the middle to late 1980s, resistance to them developed very rapidly. The example of the first clinically used oxazolidinone, linezolid (Zyvox; Pharmacia, Inc.), is noteworthy. Linezolid was approved for clinical use in the United States in April 2000. It is an especially active antibiotic against infections caused by multi-drug-resistant gram-positive bacteria, including methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA), vancomycin-resistant enterococci (VRE) and penicillin-resistant Streptococcus pneumonia (Fung et al., 2001). Linezolid binds the bacterial ribosome reversibly and inhibits initiation of protein biosynthesis by preventing the formation of a ternary complex among tRNAfMet, mRNA, and the ribosome (Swaney et al., 1998). The propensity of emergence of resistance to linezolid in S. aureus and S.
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FIGURE 6-1 Resistance to antibiotics develops rapidly. The beginning of the arrow is when a given antibiotic was introduced to the clinic and the tip of the arrow is when the first clinical case of resistance to it was reported. Adopted and expanded from Wong and Pompliano, 1998.
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epidermis is less than 10-9 (Kaatz and Seo, 1996). Studies have revealed that single-point mutations clustered in the DNA region encoding the central loop of the domain V of 23S rRNA cause resistance (Swaney et al., 1998; Gonzales et al., 2001; Prystowsky et al., 2001; Tsiodras et al., 2001). Because of the critical importance of the ribosome for survival of any organism, there exists redundancy in the genes for the ribosomal RNA to ensure that mutations in any one gene would not prove fatal. It would appear that mutation of one to three of these genes is necessary for manifestation of resistance to linezolid, and this indeed has happened. Clinical resistance to linezolid emerged in a mere seven months after its introduction to the clinic (Fung et al., 2001). In principle, the genes that would confer resistance to an antibiotic could be acquired or could evolve. Gene acquisitions could take place as DNA sequences are shared among organisms by conjugation, transformation, and transduction or by classical recombination and transposition (Bennett, 1999). However, the issue of evolution of a resistance determinant is less commonly appreciated (Mobashery and Azucena, 2002). Many stretches of genes encode proteins that serve adventitious functions in addition to their physiological ones. These genes may be duplicated, and the fates of the copies could take them in disparate evolutionary tangents. One would encode the protein for the physiological function and the other may evolve to confer resistance to the antibiotic. Despite the fact that bacteria have enzymes for repair of genetic damage, random mutations do occur in bacteria and the rate is typically 10-10. Considering the fact that the sizes of bacterial genomes are large (e.g., Escherichia coli K-12 has 4.6 × 106 base pairs) and that population sizes of bacteria in infections can also be very large (107 cells/ml for infections of blood and 109 cells/ml for infections of tissues), the opportunities for emergence of mutant variants are plentiful. These three factors taken together would indicate that there may be as many as 105 to 106 mutations per milliliter of bacteria growth, hence these populations are not homogeneous (Mobashery and Azucena, 2002). These mutations occur at random throughout the genome. Some are silent, others are lethal, yet many may cause an incremental change in the organism that would not result in undue survival hardship to the organism. In the face of the challenge by a given antibiotic, should one or more of these mutant variants be better fit to survive, it would be selected at the expense of the susceptible organisms. The given selected gene for the protein that confers resistance may continue to evolve as a resistance determinant from that point on. For all members of the seven major classes of antibiotics (i.e., ß-lactams, aminoglycosides, fluorquinolones, glycopeptides, macrolides, tetracyclines, and sulfonamides) there are documented mechanisms for resistance. Often, there are multiple known mechanisms for resistance to each.
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A full discussion of the various mechanisms of resistance to all known antibiotics is outside the scope of this report, although such reviews have appeared in the literature (Kotra et al., 2000; Walsh, 2000; Poole, 2001; Golemi-Kotra and Mobashery, 2002; Mobashery and Azucena, 2002). In this report we concentrate on the case of the mechanisms of resistance to ß-lactam antibiotics (i.e., penicillins, cephalosporins, carbapenems, etc.). As will be presented below, this has been a fertile field for evolution of resistance, which represents a well-studied microcosm of diversity that must also exist in the microbial world for other antibiotics that await discovery. There are at least four documented mechanisms for resistance to ß-lactam antibiotics (see Table 6-1). The first and the most common mechanism is the occurrence of ß-lactamases, enzymes that hydrolyze and destroy ß-lactam antibiotics. The reaction of ß-lactamases with a penicillin is given in Figure 6-2. Over 340 distinct ß-lactamases have been identified in bacteria (Bush and Mobashery, 1998; Bush, 1999). These enzymes fall into four classes: A to D. Enzymes of class B are zinc-dependent, and the remaining three classes are enzymes that depend on a catalytic serine in their mechanisms of action. These serine-dependent enzymes experience acylation at the serine by the substrate, and the acyl-enzyme species subsequently under-goes an enzyme-promoted deacylation that liberates the enzyme for additional catalytic cycles and releases the product of the reaction (Bush and Mobashery, 1998; Massova and Mobashery, 1998). The three classes of ß-lactamases that pursue this strategy all share the acylation event but differ significantly in the deacylation steps. The differences include the direction of the approach of the hydrolytic water and the mechanism of the enzyme-promoted step. In the case of class A enzymes, a glutamate (Glu-166) promotes the hydrolytic water from one face of the acyl-enzyme species (Strynadka et al., 1992; Miyashita et al., 1995; Maveyraud et al., 1998; Mourey et al., 1998). The class C enzymes pro TABLE 6-1 Four Known Mechanisms of Resistance to ß-lactam Antibiotics 1. The catalytic function of ß-lactamases (gram-positive and gram-negative) 2. DD-Transpeptidases that resist acylation by ß-lactam antibiotics (gram-positive; MRSA) 3. Loss of porins or their alteration to reduce penetration into periplasm (gram-negative) 4. Selection of the LD-transpeptidase activity (documented only for E. faecium)
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FIGURE 6-2 Hydrolytic reaction of ß-lactamases results in products that lack antibacterial activity. mote the hydrolytic water from the opposite face and they use a different residue (a tyrosine) along the substrate amine as the basic entities (Bulychev et al., 1995, 1997; Patera et al., 2000). Class D enzymes are different yet. These enzymes, in contrast to the cases of enzymes of classes A and C, pursue a symmetric mechanism for the two-step reaction by having a highly unusual carbamylated lysine that serves the role of a base for both steps of catalysis (Maveyraud et al., 2000; Golemi et al., 2001; Maveyraud et al., 2002). These observations argue for independent evolutions for all four classes of ß-lactamases (Massova and Mobashery, 1998). Structural evidence argues that the family of penicillin-binding proteins (PBPs) is related to that of ß-lactamases (Kelly et al., 1998; Massova and Mobashery, 1998). A sequence alignment of all known classes of ß-lactamases and PBPs has supported the mechanistic assertion for independent evolution of each ß-lactamase. It indicated that evolution of ß-lactamases took place relatively recently on the evolutionary time scale and it did so at branching points for diversification of the biosynthetic PBPs (Massova and Mobashery, 1998). These enzymes are extremely effective at what they do. It has been shown that class A and class C ß-lactamases have reached catalytic perfection in that they operate at the diffusion limit (Hardy and Kirsch, 1984; Bulychev and Mobashery, 1999). Many others also function at or near the diffusion limit. We have shown that the class D OXA-10 ß-lactamase from Pseudomonas aeruginosa is present in the periplasmic space of clinical strains in concentrations of 4–15 µM (Golemi et al., 2001). This will amount to as many as 1,200 molecules of the enzyme per bacterium. Considering the fact that each molecule of the enzyme turns over 1,500 molecules of cloxacillin (a penicillin) per second, each organism destroys 1.8 million molecules of the drug per second. The second mechanism for resistance to ß-lactam antibiotics is seen in gram-positive bacteria. The case of methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) exemplifies this category. S. aureus has acquired a penicillin-binding protein (PBP 2a) that has the ability to carry out the functions of the other four PBPs that are normally present in this organism (Pinho et al.,
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2001a). However, this PBP resists the inhibitory properties of all clinically used ß-lactam antibiotics. Hence, MRSA survives the treatment by these commonly used antibiotics (Roychoudhury et al., 1994; Pinho et al., 2001b). In light of the fact that MRSA has become resistant to many other classes of antibiotics, it is currently a serious clinical problem. There are a number of projects in the pharmaceutical industry for development of specific cephalosporins that bind to PBP 2a of S. aureus (Chamberland et al., 2001; Hebeisen et al., 2001; Johnson et al., 2002; Wootton et al., 2002). Antibiotics must penetrate the bacterial envelope to reach their targets. The protective effect of the gram-negative envelope is more than that of the gram-positive organisms in light of the presence of the outer membrane in the former. The outer membrane is a bilayer sheath that encloses the entire organism. Nutrients penetrate this membrane by traversing the porin channels. Porins are integral outer-membrane proteins that create water-filled channels through the outer membrane. ß-lactam antibiotics also need to go through these channels, which set an upper limit of 700–1000 Da for the antibiotic size. It has been known that some organisms may eliminate certain porins or may acquire alterations to the structure of a specific type of porin to limit penetration of the antibiotic into the periplasmic space. This mechanism has been shown to be operative against certain carbapenem antibiotics (Martinez-Martinez et al., 2000; Ochs et al., 2000). It is not very common because the loss of porins or their structural alteration would have implications for potential survival of the organism as well. The fourth mechanism of resistance to ß-lactam antibiotics is seen only in Enterococcus faecium. Bacteria are required to cross-link the peptidoglycan strands of their cell wall in order to be viable. The cross-linking reaction is carried out by some PBPs referred to as DD-transpeptidases, because the enzymes link one strand of the peptidoglycan to the site of the acyl-D-Ala-D-Ala of the second strand. These enzymes recognize the unusual D-Ala-D-Ala entity of the peptidoglycan structure in their substrates. It would appear that E. faceium has evolved an entirely new PBP that is referred to as LD-transpeptidase. This enzyme attaches the first peptidoglycan strand to the L-amino acid adjacent to the D-Ala-D-Ala moiety, hence it is referred to as the LD-transpeptidase (Mainardi et al., 2000). This is essentially a bypass mechanism, since the LD-transpeptidase is insensitive to ß-lactam antibiotics. Concluding Remarks We have disclosed in this report that nature has devised at least four strategies for resistance to ß-lactam antibiotics in bacteria. Of these, the most prevalent is the occurrence of ß-lactamases. Four distinct and independent mechanisms have evolved for the catalytic functions of these en
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zymes. Individually, these enzymes have undergone additional diversification. For example, a total of 102 variants of the TEM-1 ß-lactamases from E. coli have been reported as of January 2002. These observations provide strong evidence that random mutation and selection would lead along a different evolutionary tangent depending on when the event takes place, in what organism, and what resources were available to the organism. USING PHAGE LYTIC ENZYMES TO CONTROL ANTIBIOTIC-RESISTANT PATHOGENIC BACTERIA ON MUCOUS MEMBRANES Vincent A. Fischetti, Ph.D.* Rockefeller University, New York, NY Nearly all bacteria infect at a mucous membrane site (upper and lower respiratory, intestinal, urogenital, and ocular). In addition, the human mucous membranes are a reservoir for many pathogenic bacteria found in the environment (e.g., pneumococci, staphylococci, streptococci) some of which are resistant to antibiotics. In most instances, it is this reservoir that is the focus of infection in the population (Coello et al., 1994; de Lencastre et al., 1999; Eiff et al., 2001). To date, except for polysporin and mupirocin ointments, there are no anti-infectives that are designed to control pathogenic bacteria on mucous membranes; we must first wait for infection to occur before treating. Because of the fear of developing resistance, antibiotics are not indicated to control the carrier state of disease bacteria. It is clear, however, that by reducing or eliminating this human reservoir, the incidence of disease in the community will be markedly reduced. Our laboratory has developed enzymes that are designed to prevent infection by safely and specifically destroying disease bacteria on mucous membranes. For example, enzymes specific for S. pneumoniae and S. aureus may be used nasally to control these organisms in day care centers, hospitals, and nursing homes to prevent or markedly reduce both transmission and serious infections caused by these bacteria. We accomplish this by capitalizing on the efficient system developed by bacteriophage to kill bacteria. When bacteriophage infect their host bacteria to produce progeny virus particles, they are faced with a problem: to release the progeny phage particles trapped in the bacterium at the end of the replicative cycle. They solve this problem by producing an efficient * Acknowledgment: Supported by a grant from the Defense Advance Research Project Agency (DARPA).
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enzyme termed lysin that rapidly degrades the cell walls of the infected bacteria to release the phage progeny (Young, 1992). We have identified and purified these phage-encoded enzymes and found that when applied externally to gram-positive bacteria, the bacteria are killed seconds after contact (Loeffler et al., 2001; Nelson et al., 2001). For example, 107 group A streptococci could be reduced to an undetectable level ten seconds after enzyme addition. To date, except for chemical agents, there is no biological compound known that can kill bacteria this quickly. Such phage lytic enzymes are the culmination of billions of years of development by the bacteriophage during their association with bacteria. Enzyme Structure A feature of those phage lytic enzymes that have been characterized so far is their two-domain structure (Diaz et al., 1990; Garcia et al., 1990). Generally, the N-terminal domain contains the catalytic activity of the enzyme that will cleave one of the four major bonds in the peptidoglycan of the bacterial cell wall. This activity may be an endo-beta-N-acetylglucosaminidase or N-acetylmuramidase (lysozyme), both of which act on the sugar moiety, an endopeptidase which acts on the peptide cross bridge, or an N-acetylmuramyl-L-alanine amidase (or amidase) which hydrolyzes the amide bond connecting the sugar and peptide moieties (Young, 1992). Of the phage lytic enzymes that have been reported thus far, the great majority are amidases. The C-terminal domain of phage lytic enzymes has specificity for a cell wall substrate (Garcia et al., 1988; Lopez et al., 1992, 1997). Thus, unless the binding domain binds to its wall substrate the catalytic domain will not cleave, offering specificity to the enzyme. The reason for this specificity was not apparent at first, since it seemed counter-intuitive that the phage would specifically design an enzyme that was lethal for its host organism. However, as we learned more about how these enzymes function, the possible reason for this specificity became apparent (see below, Resistance). Mode of Action By thin section electron microscopy of phage enzyme-treated bacteria, it appears that the enzymes exert their lethal effects by digesting the peptidoglycan, forming holes in the cell wall. This results in extrusion of the cytoplasmic membrane and, ultimately, hypotonic lysis (see Figure 6-3). Isolated cell walls treated with lysin are cut into pieces (see Figures 6-4 and 6-5), verifying the results seen with intact bacteria.
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FIGURES6-3–6-5 Effects of lysin on whole bacteria and cell walls. (Fig 6-3) Thin section electron micrographs of whole group A streptococci treated with C1 phage lytic enzyme for 15 seconds. A bacterium is seen in which a hole has been digested in the cell wall allowing the cytoplasmic membrane to become externalized resulting in osmotic lysis and death. Isolated group A streptococcal cell walls pre (Fig 6-4) and post (Fig 6-5) treatment with phage enzyme. Enzyme-treated cells exhibit pieces of wall in this thin section indicating that holes have been digested in the structure. Targeted Killing An interesting feature of these enzymes is that they kill the species of bacteria from which they were produced. For instance, enzymes produced from streptococcal bacteriophage kill streptococci, and enzymes produced by pneumococcal bacteriophage kill pneumococci (Loeffler et al., 2001; Nelson et al., 2001). Specifically, the group A streptococcal lysin will kill group A streptococci efficiently, and has a small effect on groups C and G streptococci, but essentially no effect on normal oral streptococci (see Figure 6-6). Similar results are seen with a pneumococcal-specific lysine; however, in this case, the enzyme was also tested against strains of pneumococci that were resistant to penicillin and the killing efficiency was the same. Unlike antibiotics, which are usually more broad in their spectrum and kill many different bacteria found in the human body, some of which are beneficial, the phage enzymes kill only the disease bacteria with little to no effect on the normal human bacterial flora. Thus, the phage enzymes are molecules
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tion with host defense if your trial endpoint was test of cure at 10–14 days post-treatment. If the patient population has good host defense and/or signs and symptoms of infection are modest, you show no differences. However, if you would collect serial assessments of organism viability (serial cultures) and if you have serial assessments of infection signs and symptoms early in therapy, and if you can accurately characterize PK/PD of each patient, superiority is possible with as few as 20 patients per group with an active drug. Furthermore, with AUICs and serial cultures on all patients, you could “probably” differentiate the contribution of the host defense from that of the antibiotic, and could easily separate time-dependent killing from concentration-dependent killing in the infected patient, provided that differences are apparent in vitro. Endpoints Killing or inhibiting growth of the bacteria is the only measurable effect of an antibiotic. To further increase the power of discrimination with bacterial killing endpoints, measure how fast bacteria are killed, or how many are killed per unit of time. This technique works in vitro, in animal models and in humans. Furthermore, all three testing models are progressively coming to consensus on the PK/PD characteristics necessary for prediction of outcome. Any other endpoints, including clinical cure, non-culture proven “micro cure,” and resolution of infection signs and symptoms, are surrogate markers of the results from either presumed or proven bacterial killing. How accurately or successfully the surrogates perform depends on whether the bacteria originally caused the signs and symptoms used to define the disease and its cure. On the basis of endpoints, it is logical to change the clinical trial endpoint from clinical cure to microbiological eradication. We can further enhance the discriminatory powers of anti-infective trials by using the microbiological results to define parameters like time to eradication (to handle bacteriostatic versus bactericidal, and time-dependent versus concentration-dependent killing in vivo). In addition, resistance can be linked to MICs and achieved serum concentrations and AUICs. This allows prospective definition of when combination therapy is needed, and which antibiotic combinations will be most successful. Perhaps the most important benefit of expressing antibiotic action as microbiological eradication is that fewer patients are needed for statistical significance in superiority trials, which yields a substantial lowering of drug development costs and produces faster time to NDA approval.
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Sample Size, Delta, and Statistical Power on a Dichotomous versus Continuous Endpoint; Tests of Equivalence versus Superiority, and Why Such Large Numbers for Cure versus Failure? The primary statistical problem of equivalence design and equivalence doctrine is that a large portion of the data in a cure-failure clinical trial are non-contributory to the goal of discriminating the best regimens. All of the following conditions discourage differentiation and force large numbers just to conclude equivalence (Powers et al., 2002): Patients with symptoms but not caused by bacterial pathogens, Patients with self-limiting disease not dependent for cure on antimicrobial actions, and Infected patients where the antimicrobial itself is barely active or inadequate, but there is still some activity of this comparator plus host defense. You conclude clinical cure in these settings regardless of what condition or drug produced it. The current trend is how many patients do we need to study in order to conclude two antibiotics are equivalent, and yet the new drug is better than placebo, which has led recently to the tightening of the delta to < 10 percent for some infections (Powers et al., 2002). Delta is a measure of statistical differentiation, useful in setting sample size in non-crossover clinical trial designs. As might be surmised, a tighter delta increases the size of the study. A tighter delta does not yield a beneficial return if the goal is to differentiate and the model is superiority, as shown in Table 6-2. However, tighter deltas do not cause an increase in the already small numbers of patients who will show superiority in a well-conducted PK/PD trial (see Table 6-2). Is Compromise Possible Between PK/PD/Micro Superiority and the Clinical Cure-Based Equivalence Models? In reality, antibiotics are never equivalent, one is always better. Given the diversity in MICs among bacterial populations, the right endpoint can differentiate almost any antibiotic from any other, with only small numbers of patients. And on the surface, it would seem that both trial designs (equivalence and superiority) have some merit. We have compared the two designs in Table 6-2, extracting some information from recent literature on the topic of delta (Shlaes and Moellering, 2002). The comparison shows that the best features of each can be merged into a development plan that should be less expensive to all concerned. By way of example, start out with the usual two proof of claim studies
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TABLE 6-2 Delta, Power, and Sample Size on a Dichotomous versus Continuous Endpoint Dichotomous (cure/failure) Continuous (T to Erad versus AUIC) Power 90% 90% Delta 10% ± 1 day Variability: Type I two tailed error - SD = 20–40% Cure Rate (%) 85–90% (clinical) 80% (MicroErad) at median Terad 3d # pts per group to conclude A=B 1532 < 10 to ~ 90 # pts per group to conclude A>>B inf < 10 to ~ 90 per indication in Table 6-2. In the new mode, these two studies no longer would both be the same design, changing only the comparators but keeping the equivalence mode. Rather, one of the two is equivalence, designed for the therapeutic indication, with a delta even as tight as 10 percent acceptable, since the first study is to gather numbers of patients for safety. You typically want 1,000 per claim and 4 claims is average. The second is designed around the PK/PD and targets superiority for efficacy against microbes (~10 patients per bacteria plus comparator differences at delta 10 percent). The superiority study has a total patient population as few as 40 and as many as 250 patients, depending on how many individual organisms seeking superiority claims. Beyond the compromise forged between the statistical equivalence and superiority models, the merging of the two types of trials in the same NDA would accomplish some other goals of those who use antibiotics on sick patients. These include data on situations such as: Rare and less encountered indications can be studied with these PK/PD models (e.g., endocarditis, meningitis, pediatric infections). Labeling for unusual or resistant bacteria could be obtained with 10–20 patients per organism if PK/PD targets are used. For antibiotics where there is no active comparator, studies of individual patient AUICs versus the standard AUIC target of 100 could be
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carried out. These superiority models (based on speed of bacterial killing or time to eradication) would yield labeling in cases where there is no labeled or active comparator, such as vancomycin-resistant Enterococcus faecium (VREF). We could, early on, vigorously pursue combination regimens with PK/PD; combination therapies are the real world and antibiotic development needs to address this topic very soon. Begin to build these superiority models and study designs into phase II-III rather than waiting for phase IV, since they could lead to claims and will certainly guide use of the new antibiotic in the post-marketing period. Clearly, if a new drug is better than the old, there is some advantage to proving that for patients using PK/PD. Of course, if it does not differ from the old, it may be better to remove it from trials early, before scarce resources are consumed that are better applied to a follow-on compound. So what happens if the industry sticks with the equivalence model, and the tighter delta is applied to the community infection models like AECB, sinusitis, otitis media, and others? The prospect is not good, since even with equivalence proven at a now considerably higher clinical trial cost, you might get FDA approval if you show safety, but you still cannot sell the new antibiotic for more. Of course, such cure-failure studies in equivalence populations are primarily valuable for safety, regardless of the statistical treatment. However, if your design will not show a new FQ or a new beta-lactam to be better than an old and largely inactive antibiotic (e.g., cefaclor) in outpatients (Gotfried and Ellison, 1992; Bandak et al., 1999), then you are using the wrong disease and clinical cure is the wrong endpoint. Unfortunately, no improvements in statistical methodology will fix that problem. Somewhere in every antibiotic NDA, there will need to be a demonstration of superiority and medical need, especially to offset any side effects that develop in the course of the trials, and to offset any plans to charge more for the drug when it reaches the market. Order Out of Chaos? The current antibiotics development, regulatory, promotion, and clinical use pattern is illogical; the resulting selection pressure from aggressive equivalence-based marketing causes great ecological harm. We advocate changes in the drug development process for antibiotics, so as to achieve the following benefits: A return to a focus on the true target of effect, the bacteria, would greatly improve this situation.
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New antibiotics should be rapidly developed and marketed precisely for their intended infections, using superiority trials as a basis. Local surveillance could drive use patterns against locally resistant organisms, as well as become the basis for logical dosing and applications of AUIC at the bedside. Public health and microbiology laboratories could gain new relevance in our resistant microbe-enriched world, since resistance is continually evolving in response to local antibiotic use practices. We could finally tackle the important questions of microbial population ecology and evolutionary biology, such as the proper dose and duration to lessen selection pressure. Antibiotics could be developed for use against organisms, or groups of organisms, and health care professionals could be taught to use them when diseases are caused by bacteria, which would finally permit appropriate diagnosis (we could even bring back the bedside gram stain). Industry could run direct to consumer ads teaching patients about the differences between bacteria and viruses, and the rationale for treatment of specific pathogens with effective antibiotics labeled for that purpose. In summary, we are certain that antibiotic development compromises can be made, and that they should be made. Compromises will speed the development of superior new antibiotics and lower the costs of development and marketing. Absence of compromise will raise antimicrobial development costs and likely aggravate resistance by fostering aggressive marketing and monopolistic use. All of the strategy outlined can be implemented relatively quickly, and further testing of the underlying principles would occur as the superiority trial designs achieve wider use. It is clear there are major problems ahead if we follow the current path. While the new pathways are not free of confrontations and problems, the promise for the future more than outweighs the short-term challenges. REFERENCES Abraham EP and Chain E. 1940. An enzyme from bacteria able to destroy penicillin. Nature 146:837–840. Ambrose PG, Grasela DM, Grasela TH, Passarell J, Mayer HB, Pierce PF. 2001. Pharmacodynamics of fluoroquinolones against Streptococcus pneumoniae in patients with community-acquired respiratory tract infections. Antimicrobial Agents and Chemotherapy 45:2793–2797. Bandak SI, Bolzon LD, Turnak MR, Johns D, Henle SK, Allen BS. 1999. Cefaclor af versus amoxycillin/clavulanate in acute bacterial exacerbations of chronic bronchitis: a randomised multicentre study. International Journal of Clinical Practice53:578–583.
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Representative terms from entire chapter: