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Trends in Oil Supply and Demand, the Potential for Peaking of Conventional Oil Production, and Possible Mitigation Options: A Summary Report of the Workshop
B Workshop Agenda
THURSDAY, OCTOBER 20, 2005
Setting the Stage—Michael Ramage, Chair
7:30 am
Sign In
8:00-8:10
Overview of Plan for the Workshop
Michael Ramage, chair, Workshop Planning Group (retired executive vice president, ExxonMobil R&D Company)
8:10-8:45
Issues in the “Peaking of Global Oil Production” Debate
David Greene (corporate fellow, Oak Ridge National Laboratory)
8:45-9:20
World Oil Demand: Key Trends and Uncertainties
Nicola Pochettino (senior energy analyst, International Energy Agency)
9:20-9:55
Global Overview of Petroleum Resources
Thomas Ahlbrandt (project chief, United States Geological Survey)
Future Global Oil Supply and Demand Balance—Scott Tinker, Chair
9:55-10:00
Introduction
Scott Tinker (director, Bureau of Economic Geology, and Department of Geological Sciences, University of Texas, Austin)
10:00-10:35
A View from Cambridge Research Associates
Peter Jackson (director, Oil Industry Activity, Cambridge Energy Research Associates)
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OCR for page 26
Trends in Oil Supply and Demand, the Potential for Peaking of Conventional Oil Production, and Possible Mitigation Options: A Summary Report of the Workshop
B
Workshop Agenda
THURSDAY, OCTOBER 20, 2005
Setting the Stage—Michael Ramage, Chair
7:30 am
Sign In
8:00-8:10
Overview of Plan for the Workshop
Michael Ramage, chair, Workshop Planning Group (retired executive vice president, ExxonMobil R&D Company)
8:10-8:45
Issues in the “Peaking of Global Oil Production” Debate
David Greene (corporate fellow, Oak Ridge National Laboratory)
8:45-9:20
World Oil Demand: Key Trends and Uncertainties
Nicola Pochettino (senior energy analyst, International Energy Agency)
9:20-9:55
Global Overview of Petroleum Resources
Thomas Ahlbrandt (project chief, United States Geological Survey)
Future Global Oil Supply and Demand Balance—Scott Tinker, Chair
9:55-10:00
Introduction
Scott Tinker (director, Bureau of Economic Geology, and Department of Geological Sciences, University of Texas, Austin)
10:00-10:35
A View from Cambridge Research Associates
Peter Jackson (director, Oil Industry Activity, Cambridge Energy Research Associates)
OCR for page 27
Trends in Oil Supply and Demand, the Potential for Peaking of Conventional Oil Production, and Possible Mitigation Options: A Summary Report of the Workshop
10:35-11:10
A Case for a Near-Term Peak in Global Oil Production
Jeremy Gilbert (Barrelmore Ltd.)
11:10-11:45
Questions Regarding Saudi Arabian Petroleum Supplies
Matt Simmons (Simmons & Company International)
11:45-12:20 pm
Exploration Trends, Diminishing Success, and Implications for Future
Crude Supplies
Michael Rodgers (senior director, Exploration and Production Portfolio and Business Development Unit, PFC Energy)
12:20-1:40
Recess
1:40-2:15
The View from ExxonMobil
Scott Nauman (manager, Energy and Economics, Corporate Planning Department, ExxonMobil Corporation)
2:15-2:50
Looking In from the Outside
Kjell Aleklett (Association for the Study of Peak Oil (ASPO) and professor of physics, Uppsala University)
2:50-3:25
A View of Global Oil Peaking
Herman Franssen (president, International Energy Agency)
3:25-4:00
OPEC Outlook on Oil Supply and Demand
Adnan Shihab-Eldin (acting secretary general, Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries)
4:00-5:15
Group Discussion
5:15
Adjourn
FRIDAY, OCTOBER 21, 2005
Mitigation Options and Time to Implementation—David Greene, Chair
7:30 am
Sign In
8:00-8:05
Introduction
David Greene (corporate fellow, Oak Ridge National Laboratory)
8:05-8:50
Overview of Mitigation Strategies
Robert Hirsch (Science Applications International Corporation)
OCR for page 28
Trends in Oil Supply and Demand, the Potential for Peaking of Conventional Oil Production, and Possible Mitigation Options: A Summary Report of the Workshop
8:50-9:35
Key Technology Trends Impacting Exploration and Production
Donald Paul (chief technology officer, Chevron Corporation)
9:35-10:10
The Potential of Heavy Oil
Robert Heinemann (president and CEO, Berry Petroleum Company)
10:10-10:45
Oil Sands Development and Future Outlook
Eddy Isaacs (managing director, Alberta Energy Research Institute)
10:45-11:20
The Potential of Shale Oil
Stephen Mut (Shell Exploration and Production Company)
11:20-11:55
Producing Liquid Fuels from Coal
David Gray (director, Energy Systems Analysis, Mitretek Systems)
11:55-1:00 pm
Recess
1:00-1:35
Liquid Fuels from Natural Gas
Emil Jacobs (vice president, R&D, ExxonMobil Research and Engineering)
1:35-2:10
Producing Liquid Fuels from Biomass
Daniel Sperling (professor and director, Institute for Transportation Studies, University of California at Davis)
2:10-2:55
Opportunities for Reducing Oil Demand for Transportation
John Heywood (director, Sloan Automotive Laboratory, Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
2:55-3:10
Break
Potential Follow-up Studies and Activities—Robert Hirsch, Chair
3:10-3:15
Overview and Purpose of the Session
Robert Hirsch (Science Applications International Corporation)
3:15-4:30
Group Discussion
4:30-5:00
Summary of Salient Points from the Group Discussions and Suggestions for Follow-on Studies
Robert Hirsch (Science Applications International Corporation)
5:00
Adjourn
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