Surface Temperature Reconstructions for the Last 2,000 Years

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Surface Temperature Reconstructions for the last 2,000 Years

	Lake and Peat Sediments,	60
	Speleothems,	62
	Summary,	64
6	ICE ISOTOPES	65
	Physical Basis for Deriving Climate Signals from Ice Isotopic Ratio Records,	66
	Calibration and Resolution,	67
	Results from Ice Isotopic Ratio Records,	67
7	GLACIER LENGTH AND MASS BALANCE RECORDS	71
	Reconstructing Temperature Records from Glacier Records,	72
	More Detailed Background on Glacier-Length-Based Reconstructions,	72
	Other Information Available from Glaciers,	75
8	BOREHOLES	77
	Boreholes in Rock and Permafrost,	78
	Limits on Borehole-Based Reconstructions,	80
	Boreholes in Glacial Ice,	81
9	STATISTICAL BACKGROUND	83
	Linear Regression and Proxy Reconstruction,	84
	Principal Component Regression,	89
	Validation and the Prediction Skill of the Proxy Reconstruction,	92
	Quantifying the Full Uncertainty of a Reconstruction,	95
10	CLIMATE FORCINGS AND CLIMATE MODELS	98
	Climate Forcings,	99
	Climate Model Simulations,	105
	Anthropogenic Forcing and Recent Climate Change,	107
11	LARGE-SCALE MULTIPROXY RECONSTRUCTION TECHNIQUES	110
	Evolution of Multiproxy Reconstruction Techniques,	111
	Strengths and Limitations of Large-Scale Surface Temperature Reconstructions,	115
	Overall Findings and Conclusions,	117
	What Comments Can Be Made on the Value of Exchanging Information and Data?,	118
	What Might Be Done to Improve Our Understanding of Climate Variations Over the Last 2,000 Years?,	119
	REFERENCES	120
	APPENDIXES
	A Statement of Task	139
	B R Code for Figure 9-2	140
	C Biographical Sketches of Committee Members	142

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Surface Temperature Reconstructions for the Last 2,000 Years (2006)
Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate (BASC)

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Free PDF Access

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Related Titles

Surface Temperature Reconstructions for the Last 2,000 Years (2006) Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate (BASC)

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Surface Temperature Reconstructions for the Last 2,000 Years (2006)
Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate (BASC)