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Analysis of Global Change Assessments Lessons Learned C Climate Change Science Program Synthesis and Assessment Products In its 2003 strategic plan, the Climate Change Science Program (CCSP) identified 21 synthesis and assessment products that the program would produce (CCSP 2003). The products are listed below, organized by CCSP goals and with the federal agency leading each effort in parentheses. CCSP GOAL 1 Extend knowledge of the Earth’s past and present climate and environment, including its natural variability, and improve understanding of the causes of observed changes Product 1.1 Temperature trends in the lower atmosphere: steps for understanding and reconciling differences (NOAA) Product 1.2 Past climate variability and change in the Arctic and at high latitudes (USGS) Product 1.3 Reanalyses of historical climate data for key atmospheric features: implications for attribution of causes of observed change (NOAA) CCSP GOAL 2 Improve quantification of the forces bringing about changes in the Earth’s climate and related systems Product 2.1 Scenarios of greenhouse gas emissions and atmospheric concentrations and review of integrated scenario development and application (DOE)
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Analysis of Global Change Assessments Lessons Learned Product 2.2 North American carbon budget and implications for the global carbon cycle (NOAA) Product 2.3 Aerosol properties and their impacts on climate (NASA) Product 2.4 Trends in emissions of ozone-depleting substances, ozone layer recovery, and implications for ultraviolet radiation exposure and climate change (NOAA) CCSP GOAL 3 Reduce uncertainty in projections of how the Earth’s climate and related systems may change in the future Product 3.1 Climate models: an assessment of strengths and limitations for user applications (DOE) Product 3.2 Climate projections for research and assessment based on emissions scenarios developed through the Climate Change Technology Program (NOAA) Product 3.3 Climate extremes including documentation of current extremes: prospects for improving projections (NOAA) Product 3.4 Risks of abrupt changes in global climate (USGS) CCSP GOAL 4 Understand the sensitivity and adaptability of different natural and managed ecosystems and human systems to climate and related global changes Product 4.1 Coastal elevation and sensitivity to sea-level rise (EPA) Product 4.2 State of knowledge of thresholds of change that could lead to discontinuities (sudden changes) in some ecosystems and climate-sensitive resources (USGS) Product 4.3 Analyses of the effects of global change on agriculture, biodiversity, land, and water resources (USDA) Product 4.4 Preliminary review of adaptation options for climate-sensitive ecosystems and resources (EPA) Product 4.5 Effects of global change on energy production and use (DOE) Product 4.6 Analyses of the effects of global change on human health and welfare and human systems (EPA) Product 4.7 Within the transportation sector, a summary of climate change and variability sensitivities, potential impacts, and response options (DOT) CCSP GOAL 5 Explore the uses and identify the limits of evolving knowledge to manage risks and opportunities related to climate variability and change
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Analysis of Global Change Assessments Lessons Learned Product 5.1 Uses and limitations of observations, data, forecasts, and other projections in decision support for selected sectors and regions (NASA) Product 5.2 Best-practice approaches for characterizing, communicating, and incorporating scientific uncertainty in decision making to be determined Product 5.3 Decision-support experiments and evaluations using seasonal-to-interannual forecasts and observational data (NOAA)
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