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Review of the U.S. Climate Change Science Program’s Synthesis and Assessment Product 5.2, “Best Practice Approaches for Characterizing, Communicating, and Incorporating Scientific Uncertainty in Climate Decision Making” REFERENCES Arvai, J. L., G. Bridge, N. Dolsak, R. Franzese, T. Koontz, A. Luginbuhl, P. Robbins, K. Richards, K. Smith Korfmacher, B. Sohngen, J. Tansey, and A. Thompson. 2006. Adaptive management of the global climate problem: Bridging the gap between climate research and climate policy. Climatic Change 78:217-225. Berger, J.O. 1994. An overview of robust Bayesian analysis (with discussion). Test 3: 5-124. Cash, D., W. Clark, F Alcock, N. Dickson, N. Eckley, and J. Jäger. 2002. Salience, Credibility, Legitimacy and Boundaries: Linking Research, Assessment and Decision Making. KSG Working Papers Series RWP02-046. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=372280 or DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.372280 Epstein, S. 1994. Integration of the cognitive and the psychodynamic unconscious. American Psychologist 49. Finucane, M.L., E. Peters, and P. Slovic. 2003. Judgment and decision making: The dance of affect and reason. In: Emerging perspectives on judgment and decision research. Pp. 327-364. S.L. Schneider and J. Shanteau (eds.). New York: Cambridge University Press. Friedman, S.M., S. Dunwoody, and C.L. Rogers (Eds.). 1999. Communicating Uncertainty. Mahwah, NJ: Lawrence Erlbaum Associates. Garthwaite, P.H., J.B. Kadane, and A. O'Hagan. 2005. Statistical methods for eliciting probability distributions. Journal of the American Statistical Association 100: 680-701. Genest, C and J.V. Zidek. 1986. Combining probability distributions: A critique and annotated bibliography (with discussion). Statistical Science 1: 114-148. Gregory, R., D. Ohlson, and J. L. Arvai. 2006. Deconstructing adaptive management: Criteria for applications to environmental management. Ecological Applications 16:2411-2425. Jaeger, C., O. Renn, E.A. Rosa, and T. Webler. 1998. Decision analysis and rational action. In: Human Choice and Climate Change, Vol. 3: Tools for Policy Analysis. Pp. 141-215. S. Rayner and E.L. Malone (eds.). Columbus, OH: Battelle Press. Kasperson, J.X., R.E. Kasperson, N. Pidgeon, and P. Slovic. 2003. The social amplification of risk: Assessing fifteen years of research and theory. In: The social amplification of risk. Pp. 13-46. N. Pidgeon, R. Kasperson, and P. Slovic (eds.). London: Cambridge University Press. Lerner, J.S. and L.Z. Tiedens. 2006. Portrait of the angry decision maker: how appraisal tendencies shape anger’s influence on cognition. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making 19:115-137. Lerner, J.S., R.M. Gonzalez, D.A. Small and B. Fischhoff. 2003. Effects of fear and anger on perceived risks of terrorism: a national field experiment. Psychological Science 14(2):144-150.
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Review of the U.S. Climate Change Science Program’s Synthesis and Assessment Product 5.2, “Best Practice Approaches for Characterizing, Communicating, and Incorporating Scientific Uncertainty in Climate Decision Making” Mosteller, F and C. Yountz. 1990. Quantifying probabilitsic expressions (with discussion). Statistical Science 5: 2-34. NRC (National Research Council). 1996. Understanding Risk: Informing Decisions in a Democratic Society. Washington, DC: The National Academy Press. NRC (National Research Council). 2004. Implementing Climate and Global Change Research: A Review of the Final U.S. Climate Change Science Program Strategic Plan. Washington, DC: The National Academy Press. Peters, E., P. Slovic, and R. Gregory. 2003. The role of affect in the WTA/WTP disparity. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making 16: 309-330. Peters, E., D. Västfjäll, T. Gärling, and P. Slovic. 2006. Affect and decision making: A “hot” topic. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 19, 79-85. Slovic, P. 2006. Affect, reason, risk and rationality. European Working Group “Multicriteria Aid for Decisions”, 3(13), 1-5. Slovic, P., E. Peters, M.L. Finucane, and D.G. MacGregor. 2005. Affect, risk, and decision making. Health Psychology 24: S35-S40. Slovic, P. 2004. What's fear got to do with it? It's affect we need to worry about. Missouri Law Review 69: 971-990. Slovic, P., M. Finucane, E. Peters, and D.G. MacGregor. 2004. Risk as analysis and risk as feelings: Some thoughts about affect, reason, risk, and rationality. Risk Analysis 24(2): 1-12. Slovic, S., and P. Slovic. 2004/2005. Numbers and nerves: Toward an affective apprehension of environmental risk. Whole Terrain 13: 14-18. Sunstein, C. R. 2005. Laws of Fear: Beyond the Precautionary Principle. New York: Cambridge University Press. Thompson, M. and S. Rayner. 1998. Cultural discourses. In: Human Choice and Climate Change, Vol. 1: The Societal Framework. Pp. 265-344. S. Rayner and E.L. Malone (eds.). Columbus, OH: Battelle Press. Vaughn, D. 1996. Challenger Launch Decision: Risky Technology, Culture, and Deviance at NASA. Chicago: University of Chicago Press. Wilson, R. S., and J. L. Arvai. 2006. When less is more: How affect influences preferences when comparing low and high-risk options. Journal of Risk Research 9:165-178. Zajonc, R. B. 1980. Feeling and thinking: Preferences need no inferences. American Psychologist 35:151-175.
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