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Index
A
Acetone-butanol-ethanol process, 253
ActaCell, 163
Advanced materials, 29, 74, 87, 184, 190, 281, 282, 513, 581
Air-quality standards, 88
Air transportation
air-traffic management, 157
consumption of energy, 157, 167
demand, 170
energy efficiency improvements, 45, 167, 170
freight, 86, 170
passenger, 86 n.8, 167, 170
Algal biodiesel, 75, 89, 252-253
Alkanes, 221, 225, 252
All Cell Technologies, 163
Altair Nanotechnologies, 163
Alternative transportation fuels.
See also Biofuels;
Cellulosic ethanol;
Coal-and-biomass-to-liquid fuels;
Coal-to-liquid fuels;
Corn ethanol;
Light-duty vehicles
barriers to deployment, 93-94, 250-252
biochemical conversion, 67, 90-91, 93, 219, 220-225, 234, 235-236, 237, 238, 241-242, 243, 244-245, 247, 248-249, 251, 252, 253, 256-258
carbon capture and storage, 4, 5, 64, 65, 66, 72, 73, 78, 94, 212, 220, 224-225, 226, 227, 228, 229-230, 231-233, 236, 237-238, 239, 250-251
carbon price, 38 n.1, 93, 234, 237, 238, 239-240, 244, 252, 371, 406
CO2 emissions, 4, 62, 71-73, 222, 224-225, 227-228, 232, 233-239, 243-244, 248-249, 262
coal liquefaction, 91, 211-212, 220-221, 226, 227, 230-232, 261, 335
compressed natural gas, 94, 258, 259-261
conversion technologies, 90-92, 219-233;
see also Biochemical;
Thermochemical
costs, 66-67, 92-93, 233-244, 252, 265-266
deployment scenarios, 93-94, 244-248, 252-267
dimethyl ether, 94, 258, 262-263
environmental impacts (non-greenhouse), 212, 248-249
feedstock supply, 213-219, 233-234, 235, 236, 241-244
findings, 3-4, 62-67, 73, 217-218, 224-225, 231-233, 243-244, 246-248
hydrogen, 4, 5, 6, 30, 44, 45, 67, 73, 74, 75, 84, 85, 94, 158, 160, 161, 164, 165, 166, 173, 174, 195, 258, 263-267
infrastructure for distribution, 90, 93, 221, 223, 224, 226, 251-252, 253, 254, 256, 259, 260, 263
methanol, 72, 94, 226, 258-259, 262
panel report, 31, 81
petroleum substitution potential, 73, 212, 245, 265-267
public policies and, 252, 264-265
RD&D, 74-75, 221, 247, 255, 265, 267
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supply, 233-234, 235, 236, 241-244
synthetic (GTL) diesel fuel, 94, 223, 258, 261, 263
technologies ready beyond 2020, 252-258
technologies ready beyond 2020 and 2035, 258-267
Aluminum industry, 175, 176, 179, 190, 185, 312
American Electric Power, 100, 314, 573, 602, 603, 625
American Iron and Steel Institute, 87, 182
American Lung Association, 404
American Recovery and Reinvestment Act, 272, 273, 274
American Society of Heating, Refrigerating and Air-Conditioning Engineers, 152 n.12, 194
American Wind Energy Association, 272, 310
Ammonia, 249, 401, 402, 422, 423, 431, 432, 434-435, 512
Anaerobic digestion, 253, 283
Appliances and electronics
availability, 153
biomass-fueled, 322
consumer-targeted programs, 200
demand for, 137
energy-efficiency standards, 154 n.13, 192, 193-194, 197, 198, 200
energy savings, 41, 193-194
improvements in, 142
information availability, 87-88
lifespan, 141
load management technologies, 84, 153, 585, 597, 605-606, 617, 630
manufacturing, 175
in new homes, 137, 151
potential savings, 146, 147, 148
R&D, 194-195
remanufactured, 185
tax credits, 195
wood-burning, 322
Arctic National Wildlife Refuge, 344, 345, 351, 354, 355
Argonne National Laboratory, 163, 370 n.21, 388, 523 n.19
Arsenic, 249
Australia, 20, 286, 485, 486, 535, 538, 540
Automotive Energy Supply joint venture, 163
B
Battery technologies
costs, 85, 163, 168, 582, 625
deployment timeframe, 116, 163, 626
industry alliances and partnerships, 163
for LDVs, 4, 5, 6, 76, 85, 159, 160, 162-163, 174, 263-264
lead-acid, 162, 582, 627
lithium ion, 162-163, 625, 627
nickel cadmium, 627
nickel metal hydride, 625, 627
performance capabilities, 85, 159, 163, 165
R&D opportunities, 6, 30, 76, 79, 85, 625-626
reliability issues, 582, 625
size/weight considerations, 159, 160
sodium-sulfur, 582, 625, 627
status of, 162
for T&D system storage, 6, 51, 61, 78, 291, 307, 309, 582, 584, 601, 616, 634, 625-626, 627
vanadium redox, 625, 627
ZEBRA, 627
zinc bromide, 625, 627
Behavior. See Consumer behavior
Biobutanol, 89, 213, 220, 221, 253-254
Biochemical conversion of fuel
air emissions, 248-249
biobutanol, 253
carbon capture and storage, 220, 224-225, 236, 237-238
cellulosic ethanol, 67, 90-91, 93, 221-225, 234, 235-236, 237, 244-245, 251
corn ethanol, 90, 91, 219-220, 234, 241-242
costs, 90, 92-93, 222, 223, 224, 234, 237, 238, 241, 251, 252
findings, 224-225
genomics applications, 225, 256-257
and greenhouse gases, 90, 222, 224-225, 234, 248-249
metabolic and bioprocess engineering applications, 256, 257-258
plant siting, 247-248
process, 220-225
RD&D, 90, 221-222, 224
supply of fuel from, 90-91, 241-242, 243, 244-245
synthetic biology applications, 257
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technical challenges, 225, 251
technology improvement scenarios, 222-225, 251, 256-258
transport and distribution challenges, 90, 221, 223
water use, 248
Biodiesel, 37, 62 n.17, 75, 89, 213, 252-253
Biofuels.
See also Biochemical conversion;
Biomass;
Biomass-to-liquid fuels;
Cellulosic ethanol;
Coal-and-biomass-to-liquid fuels;
Corn ethanol
advanced, 66, 221, 224-225
algal biodiesel, 75, 89, 252-253
bacteria- and yeast-based direct routes to, 255-256
biobutanol, 89, 213, 220, 221, 253-254
from CO2 feedstocks, 74-75
consumption, 21, 37
greenhouse gas emissions, 212, 213, 224-225
hydrocarbon fuels from biomass, 3-4, 225, 254-255
potential of, 66, 73, 212, 245
production strategy, 247-248
R&D, 74-75, 221-222, 224
Biomass
carbon issues, 72, 221, 229
co-fed coal, see Coal-and-biomass-to-liquid fuel
consumption, 17, 18, 332
cost of energy from, 58
on CRP lands, 89, 214, 215, 218, 234
diesel fuel components, 255
distance from conversion plant, 215-216, 217
electricity generation, see Biopower
environmental impacts of crops, 248
findings, 217-218
food/feed crop displacement, 89, 213, 217, 233, 289, 299
gasification technologies, 226, 227, 228, 229, 232, 361-362 n.15, 386, 422
gasoline blend stock, 254-255
greenhouse gas emissions, 69, 72, 212
hydrocarbon fuels from, 254-255
incentives for growers, 89-90, 216-217, 218
industrial use, 17, 180
non-electricity applications, 32, 321-322
price delivered to conversion plant, 215
supply, 32, 37, 66, 77, 89-90, 211, 213-217, 221, 229-230, 233, 235
sustainable production, 89, 214-215, 217-218
systems approach to production, 216-217
Biomass-to-liquid fuels.
See also Biochemical conversion
competitiveness, 239-240
costs, 67, 91, 217, 222-223, 224, 234, 237-238, 239-240, 241, 251, 252
environmental concerns, 212
feedstock supply, 213-217
greenhouse gas emissions, 71, 91, 212, 227, 234, 237-238, 239
R&D, 217-218
supply of fuel from, 37, 241-242, 243, 244-245
thermochemical conversion, 91, 226, 227, 228, 229, 232, 239-240
Biopower
build time, 128
capacity, 128, 390-391
carbon balance, 69, 288, 386-390
co-firing with coal, 361-362 n.15, 391
cost estimates, 57, 58, 126, 294-295, 390
defined, 287-288
employment, 304
environmental impacts, 101, 288, 302
feedstock supply, 32, 287-288, 289, 299
landfill gas fuel, 97, 272 n.2, 287, 288, 387
land-use values, 301
market share, 304
municipal solid waste fuel, 89, 97, 213-214, 217, 235, 235, 272, 273, 287
oxygen-blown gasification, 288-289, 386, 419, 421
policies, 273
pretreatment step, 221, 222, 224, 288-289, 251, 288
prospects, 299, 385-391
readiness for deployment, 291, 317
sources, 97, 235, 272 n.2
supply of electricity, 36, 51, 271-272, 288, 316, 317, 385-386
technology description, 97, 287-289
wood-based, 97, 272 n.2, 288
Biotechnology, 4, 254, 255-258
Brazil, 20
British Petroleum, 254, 336
Buildings sector.
See also Appliances;
Commercial;
Residential
advanced technologies, 83-84, 149-152, 155
barriers to improving energy efficiency, 77, 152-154, 155
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capital investment needs, 83, 148, 152-154
combined heat and power production, 83, 144, 155
conservation supply curves, 40, 82, 83, 140, 144, 145-149
consumption of energy, 2, 14, 83, 137, 139, 141-142
cooling and heating systems, 14, 41, 47, 83, 145, 149, 150, 193
cost-effectiveness of improvements, 41, 148, 155
cost of conserved energy, 45-46, 47, 48-49, 145, 146-148, 149
drivers for improving, 84, 154, 155
electricity consumption, 41, 42, 47, 139, 141, 146-147, 155
electricity generation capacity, 154-155
end-use and technology approach, 145, 150
energy codes, 38-39 n.1, 40, 50, 88, 146, 153, 154, 192, 194, 198, 199, 200, 201, 319
energy efficiency, 2, 38-39 n.1, 40-41, 42, 47-49, 87-88, 136-137, 140, 141-155, 193, 194, 195, 197
energy intensity, 141-142
findings, 2, 47-49, 154-155
integrated (whole-building) approaches, 84, 143-144, 145, 149-152, 155
lighting, 47, 50, 83, 84, 142, 143-144, 146, 147, 149, 150-151, 153, 154 n.12, 155, 193, 194, 195, 197
limitations of studies, 143, 155
natural gas consumption, 14, 15, 17, 24, 37, 41, 48-49, 139, 146-147, 155, 259, 331
payback period for technologies, 82, 148, 153
petroleum consumption, 17, 24, 139
potential energy savings, 47-49, 50, 83, 143-145, 155
projected energy demand, 41, 42
RD&D, 150, 197
reference case, 141, 145-146
regulatory policies, 87, 152-153
retail price of energy, 47-48, 83, 148, 149, 152
services for improving energy efficiency, 153-154
stock of buildings, 141
tax credits, 195-196
windows, 84, 144, 149, 150-151, 155, 194-195, 197
Bureau of Land Management, 351, 352
Bush (George H.W.), administration, 26, 458 n.34
Bush (George W.), administration, 26, 458 n.34, 461, 470, 492, 510
Business-as-usual reference case, xi, 36
alternative transportation fuels, 93-94, 247
buildings sector, 2, 141, 145-146
CO2 emissions, 2, 11
deployment of technologies, 93-94
energy efficiency improvement, 2, 141, 145-146, 177, 178-179, 186
energy supply and consumption, 12, 36
fossil fuels, 11
industrial sector, 2, 141, 177, 186
nuclear power, 446-447
transmission and distribution system, 635
transportation sector, 2, 141, 247
C
California
air emission standards, 263, 393-394, 404
electricity demand, 617
electricity T&D, 567, 581 n.22, 617
energy efficiency standards, 191, 193, 196, 198, 199-200
geologic storage of CO2, 340
nuclear power, 481 n.82, 531
Canada
carbon capture and storage, 424
crude oil resources, 416
electricity T&D interconnections, 567, 573
methane hydrate mining, 418
natural gas exports, 15, 102-103, 336 n.3, 346
nuclear power, 507
tar sand resources, 340, 408-409
uranium resources, 485, 538
Cap and trade programs, 38 n.1, 189, 252, 393-394, 406
Carbon accounting, 230, 251, 368, 387-388
Carbon capture and storage (CCS).
See also Geologic storage of CO2;
specific energy sources
in biochemical conversion of fuel, 220, 224-225, 236, 237-238
capture-ready plants, 3, 39, 51, 230, 366-369
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chemical looping, 364, 365, 421, 430, 431
CO2 compression, 69-70, 105, 106 n.13, 224, 226, 227, 363, 424-425, 431, 434, 435
CO2 separation, 267, 363, 364-365, 397, 422, 423, 430-431, 434
co-capture of CO2 and other pollutants, 364, 365, 424
costs, 52, 67, 91, 212, 227-230, 360, 364, 368, 369-370, 434-435
and costs of electricity, 16, 425
demonstration of commercial viability, 5, 6, 39, 51-52, 65, 66, 68, 70, 73, 74, 91, 92, 107, 108-109, 212, 225, 227, 228, 230, 232-233, 250-251, 361, 360, 365, 378, 382-383, 397, 398, 431, 432
energy requirements, 367
environmental issues, 406-407
findings, 5, 39, 231-233
and greenhouse gas emissions, 69, 72, 300
importance, 30, 92, 300
industrial sector, 183
infrastructure, 339
NCGG plants, 365
nontechnical issues, 439-441
oxygen-blown gasification, 288-289, 386, 419, 421
oxygen production, 423-424
parallel programs, 225
partial capture, 368-369
pipelines for CO2, 60, 109, 339, 368, 377 n.24, 382, 396, 397, 402, 406-407, 419, 420-421, 435, 439
policy environment, 230, 251, 368, 382
R&D, 107-108, 364-365, 431-432
retrofitting plants for, 3, 5, 51, 53-54, 69-70, 72, 104, 105, 367, 369, 381-382, 383, 384, 392, 395
safety issues, 16, 212, 406-407, 436
siting, 439-440
status, 16, 39
strategies, 74, 421-426
thermochemical conversion of biofuels and, 74, 91-92, 94, 226, 227, 228, 229-230, 231-233, 250-251
Carbon controls, 78, 38 n.1, 189, 244, 393-394, 406.
See also Cap and trade;
Carbon price
Carbon dioxide emissions.
See also Carbon capture and storage;
Geologic storage of CO2;
Greenhouse gas emissions;
individual energy sources and sectors
alternative transportation fuels, 62, 64, 66
annual U.S. emissions, 68
biochemical conversion processes, 234
cap and trade programs, 38 n.1, 189, 393-394, 406
carbon prices, 28, 38 n.1, 52, 93, 234, 237, 238, 239-240, 244, 252, 371, 406
by energy source, 72
negative, 69, 71, 72, 91, 227, 230, 232, 237, 238, 362, 389, 391, 395
policies and regulations, 33, 52, 252, 361
timeframe for reducing, 68, 71
trends, 11
Carbon dioxide feedstock, 75
Carbon dioxide injection for enhanced oil recovery, 91, 224, 227, 338-340, 341, 342, 343, 396, 397, 398, 401, 402, 407, 424, 435-437
Carbon price/taxes, 28, 38 n.1, 52, 93, 105, 234, 237, 238, 239-240, 244, 252, 371, 378, 390, 402, 406
Carter administration, 26, 458 n.34
Cellulosic ethanol
barriers to deployment, 250, 251
capacity build, 244-245
carbon capture and storage, 5, 65, 66, 224-225, 236, 237-238
commercial development, 221-222, 224, 251
conversion technologies, 3, 67, 89, 90-91, 93, 221-225, 234, 235-236, 237, 244-245, 251
costs, 92-93, 125, 127, 222-223, 224, 237-238, 240, 251
deployment, 92-93, 125, 127, 222, 244-245
economic competitiveness, 66, 67, 92-93
environmental impacts, 248
feedstock, 4, 213-217, 222-223
greenhouse gas emissions, 5, 66, 71-72, 213, 224-225, 236, 238, 239
infrastructure issues, 221, 223-224, 225, 251-252, 254
petroleum replacement potential, 3-4, 63, 66, 90, 91, 221-222
production capacity, 90-91, 244-245
RD&D, 6, 64, 74, 221-222, 224
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sources, 235, 236
supply potential, 63, 66, 129, 241-242
systems approach, 250
waste-heat and waste-materials as energy sources, 221
Cement industry, 44, 86, 87, 175, 178, 182-183, 186, 402, 423
Cesium, 461, 519, 522, 523, 552
Chemical Engineering Plant Construction Cost Index, 372
Chemical manufacturing, 86, 175, 176, 178, 180, 184, 186, 190, 226, 331 n.2
China, 20, 77 n.19, 135, 175, 319, 504, 505, 509, 572, 605, 630
Chernobyl accident, 446
Chlorofluorocarbons, 11 n.3
Chrysler, 163
Clean Air Act, 26, 78, 384, 405
Clean Air Act Amendments, 189
Clean Air Interstate Rule, 40, 404 n.39
Clean Air Scientific Advisory Committee, 404
Clean-Fuel Fleet Program, 261
Clean Water Act, 405, 539
Climate change, 11 n.3, 25
Clinton administration, 26, 458 n.34
Clostridium beijernickii BA101, 253
Coal
air-blown PC plants, 106, 121, 124, 126, 128, 228, 361-365, 366, 369-379, 380, 381, 382, 383-385, 387, 388, 389, 395, 406-407, 419, 420, 425, 428, 430, 432
as alternative fuel source, 74,
see also Coal-and-biomass-to-liquid;
Coal-to-liquid
attributes, 332
carbon capture and storage, 3, 39, 51, 53, 58, 68, 69-70, 366-379, 421-426, 430-441
CO2 emissions, 16, 24, 68, 69-70, 356, 360
co-fed biomass and, 91, 235, 237-238, 242, 245-246
consumption, 14, 17, 18, 21, 22, 36, 218, 332, 336
costs, 16, 52, 57, 58, 219, 420-421
electricity generation, 3, 13, 14, 16, 17, 23, 24, 36, 49, 51, 53, 57, 58, 68, 69, 71, 74, 189, 218, 331, 358, 360, 366-379, 381-385, 419-430
environmental impacts, 16, 52, 92, 219, 249, 408
findings, 3, 219
future contributions, 381-385
industry use, 14, 17, 24, 176, 180, 182
infrastructure constraints, 13, 16, 23, 218
integrated gasification and combined cycle (IGCC) plants, 70, 74, 104, 106, 121, 124, 126, 128, 228, 361, 363-364, 365, 367, 369-373, 376, 377-378, 380, 381, 382, 383, 384, 385, 386, 387, 388, 389-390, 395, 406, 410, 419, 421, 425, 426, 428, 431, 432
liquefaction, 91, 211-212, 220-221, 226, 227, 230-232, 261, 335;
see also Coal-to-biomass-to-liquid fuels;
Coal-to-liquid fuels
locations of power plants, 398
mining, 16, 60, 218, 219, 249, 355, 408
new plants with CCS, 53, 381-385
oxyfuel plants, 70, 74, 104, 364, 365, 367, 395, 419, 423-424
oxygen-blown gasification, 288-289, 386, 419, 421
pollution control, 189
prices, 16, 25, 59, 235, 355, 358
production (domestic), 66, 336, 355
pulverized coal (PC) plants, 106, 121, 124, 126, 128, 228, 361-365, 366, 367, 369-379, 380, 381, 382, 383-385, 387, 388, 389, 395, 406-407, 419, 420, 425, 428, 430, 432
RD&D, 6, 64, 74, 221-222, 224, 430-441
reserves and resources, 16, 89, 92, 218-219, 336, 355-356, 357, 358
retirement of plants, 69, 105, 381, 382, 383, 394-395, 419, 426, 427, 428-429
retrofitted/repowered plants with CCS, 53, 69-70, 71, 77
safety management, 408
supercritical PC, 105, 361, 362, 367, 373, 419
supply curves, 234
supply of electricity, 36, 49
T&D system, 16
timeframe for deployment of clean technology, 430-441
ultrasupercritical PC, 70, 74, 104-105, 128, 362, 363, 367, 419, 430-431
Coal-and-biomass-to-liquid fuels
capacity build, 245-247
carbon capture and storage, 4, 65, 66, 73, 91-92, 94, 230, 239
commercial development, 227, 230
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conversion technologies, 3-4, 74, 91-92, 227, 228, 229, 230, 231, 232, 235, 237-238, 242, 245-246, 247-248, 249
costs, 67, 91, 92-93, 227, 228, 229, 230, 231, 240
demonstrations, 66, 227
deployment, 93-94, 245-247
environmental impacts, 4, 92, 249
feedstock requirements, 66, 92, 246
findings, 246-248
greenhouse gas emissions, 4, 66, 71-72, 91-92, 227, 232, 239
petroleum replacement potential, 4, 65, 66
production capacity, 5, 91, 92
siting of plants, 92, 247-248
supply, 32, 37, 63-64, 65, 211
Coal-to-liquid fuels
capacity build, 245
carbon capture and storage, 64, 65, 72, 73, 94, 212, 230, 239
competitiveness, 236-237
costs, 66, 67, 92-93, 228-231, 236-237, 240
direct liquefaction, 220, 230-231
environmental impacts, 249
feedstock supply, 218-219
greenhouse gas emissions, 64, 72, 211-212, 227, 239, 245
supply, 37, 63-64, 65, 245
thermochemical conversion, 220, 227, 228-229, 230-231
Coastal Zone Management Act, 305
Combined-heat-and-power systems (cogeneration), 44, 51, 86, 87, 88, 144, 176, 177, 178, 179, 181, 183, 186, 187, 190, 196, 198, 452
Commercial buildings.
See also Lighting
barriers to technology investments, 152, 153
combined heat and power systems, 144
consumption of energy, 17, 22, 36-37, 138, 141-142
cooling and heating systems, 193
electricity, 140, 147
energy efficiency savings, 40-41, 47-49, 140, 144, 147, 148
energy intensity, 141-142
energy management and control systems, 83-84, 142
lease structures, 153
low-energy buildings, 84, 144, 152
natural gas consumption, 140, 148
price of energy, 149
solar voltaic systems, 144
whole-building approach, 144
Comprehensive Environmental Response, Compensation and Liability Act, 405
Concentrating solar power
backup capability, 284
cooling systems, 84, 150
costs, 58, 285, 293, 294-295
dish-Stirling engine systems, 97, 284, 285
electricity generating capacity, 96, 272, 276-277
employment, 304
greenhouse gas emissions, 69
high-temperature chemical processing, 97, 101, 285
molten salt receivers, 285
non-electricity applications, 284, 285
optical materials, 97, 285
parabolic troughs, 97, 284, 285
power towers, 97, 284-285
resource base, 276-277
storage, 276, 284
technology description, 97, 284-285
Connecticut, 196, 481 n.82
Conoco Phillips, 261
Conservation Reserve Program (CRP), 89, 214, 215, 218, 234
Conservation supply curves, 40, 82, 83, 140, 144, 145-149
Consumer behavior
economic factors, 136-137, 154, 156, 172, 173
education, training, and technical assistance, 196-197, 200, 201
energy-efficient technologies, 49, 50, 79, 136-137, 154, 156, 172, 192
information/awareness factors, 136, 137, 154, 155
policies targeting, 196-197, 200, 201
preferences, 136, 137, 156, 192
risk aversion, 136, 192, 260
and transportation energy efficiency, 136, 156, 172
Consumption. See Energy consumption
Context for the report
aspects not assessed, 31-33
challenges to sustainable transformation, 25-27
charge to the committee, 10, 30-33, 36
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cost estimates, 32-33
current U.S. energy system, 11-25
panel reports, 31
strategy of the committee, 30-33
technology role, 27-30
timeframes, 30
Cooling systems, 14, 41, 47, 83, 145, 149, 150, 193.
See also Heating and cooling systems
Corn ethanol
biochemical conversion, 220-221, 234 n.6, 241-242
CO2 emissions, 72, 236, 238, 239
consumption, 17, 213
costs, 67, 234-236, 237, 240
grain supply, 233
plant build rates, 90-91, 127
price of corn, 235
production capacity, 90-91, 129, 245
social and environmental concerns, 63, 89, 213
supply, 233, 241-242, 243, 331
sustainability, 89, 220-221
Cost-effectiveness of energy-efficiency technologies, 2, 40-41, 49, 82, 148, 154, 155, 181
Costs.
See also specific sectors, resources, and technologies
before-tax discount rate, 126-127
comparison of power plant capital costs, 374-376
conditional assumptions, 32-33
of conserved energy, 45-46, 47, 48-49, 145, 146-148, 149
debt/equity, 126-127
drivers of, 292-293, 379
externalities, 14 n.7, 29, 252, 299
feedstock and food costs, 121, 124-125
financing period, 122, 126-127
levelized cost of electricity, 55-60, 293-297, 369-379, 380, 381, 390
life-cycle, 50, 56, 136
limitations, 121, 124-125
methodologies for estimating, 32-33, 55-56, 120-131
overnight costs, 122, 126-127
plant life, 121, 126-127
plant maturity, 121, 124-125
plant size, 121, 124-125
projections for evolutionary nuclear plants, 526-532
reference scenario, 120
simultaneous expansion and modernization of T&D system, 61
site-dependent impacts, 57
source of, 120-121
source of supply estimates, 122, 126-127
uncertainties in estimates, 56, 59
underlying assumptions, 32
Council on Environmental Quality, 403 n.35
Critical technologies, 30
D
Delivered electricity, 42, 43
Demand. See Energy demand;
Electricity demand
Demand-side management, 88
smart meters, 9 n.1, 45, 60, 118, 153, 292, 578, 579, 580, 589, 591, 598, 603, 605-606, 632
state/utility policies, 196, 199-200
Demonstrations. See Research, development, and demonstrations
Denmark, 138, 140
Deployment of new technologies, general.
See also specific technologies and energy sources
accelerated, 6, 35, 37-38, 39, 76-79
barriers to, 60, 76-79, 87-88, 93-94, 136-137, 152-154, 155, 172-173, 185-189, 191-192, 202, 250-252, 447, 477-482, 494-495, 497-498
consumer resistance to, 35, 50
coupling energy-supply and supporting technologies, 78
“crash” effort, 35
economic effects on end-users, 35, 50
industrial capacity and personnel for, 77-78
options, 38-39
parallel tracks, 30, 57, 174, 225, 400, 605
portfolio approach, 68
readiness for, 38, 39
siting concerns, 57, 60
supply factors, 77-78
timeframes for, 35
turnover rate of infrastructure and, 77
Diesel fuel
biodiesel, 37, 62 n.17, 75, 89, 213, 252-253
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components from biomass, 255
freight transport, 171
synthetic (GTL), 223, 258, 261, 263
supply, 37
thermal efficiency, 262
thermochemical conversion, 228
Dimethyl ether, 94, 258, 262-263
Dimethyl furan, 254
Duke Energy, 187, 376
DuPont, 254
E
EaglePicher, 163
Eastern Wind Integration and Transmission Study/Joint Coordinated System Planning Study, 100, 314-315
Economic growth, 25
Economic recession, xii, 15, 77, 95, 222, 272, 526
Electric motors, 145, 159, 162, 180, 184, 193, 263
Electric Power Research Institute, 293, 382, 420, 527 n.24, 531, 550 n.62, 592, 632
Electricity consumption
energy efficiency savings, 40-41, 140, 146-147, 150, 154
per capita, 199
projected, 146
by sector, 41, 42, 47, 139, 140, 141, 146-147, 155, 180, 181, 184
time-of-use pricing programs, 186
Electricity demand
building sector, 155
charges and demand-response incentives, 189
electrified vehicle fleet and, 4, 44-45, 155, 366
energy-efficiency technologies and, 32, 44-45, 155, 189
price of energy and, 186, 199
T&D system and, 27
Electricity generation.
See also Nuclear energy
age of baseload plants, 23
air-blown PC plants, 106, 121, 124, 126, 128, 228, 361-365, 366, 369-379, 380, 381, 382, 383-385, 387, 388, 389, 395, 406-407, 419, 420, 425, 428, 430, 432
baseload, 57, 58-59, 60
biomass, 51, 57, 58
capacity increases, 154-155
carbon capture and storage, 78, 107-108, 360-361, 362-369, 421-426, 430-441
challenges, 359-361
CO2 emissions, 333, 358-359, 360, 362-365, 366, 428-429
coal-fired plants, 3, 13, 14, 16, 17, 23, 24, 36, 49, 51-52, 53, 57, 58, 59, 68, 69, 71, 74, 104-105, 189, 218, 331, 358, 359, 360, 365-369, 381-385, 395, 419-430
combined-heat and power plants, 51
competitiveness of technologies, 51, 59
consumption of liquid fuels, 37
costs, 55-60, 105-107, 360, 366, 369-379, 380, 395, 420-421, 428
findings, 394-396
fossil fuel, 51, 58, 104-107, 358-396
fuel costs, 57, 58-59, 365-366
health concerns, 60
integrated gasification and combined cycle (IGCC) plants, 70, 74, 104, 106, 121, 124, 126, 128, 228, 361, 363-364, 365, 367, 369-373, 376, 377-378, 380, 381, 382, 383, 384, 385, 386, 387, 388, 389-390, 395, 406, 410, 419, 421, 425, 426, 428, 431, 432
intermittent, 57, 58-59
investment barriers, 359-361, 366
mix of coal, natural gas, and biomass plants, 391-394, 395, 425-426
natural gas, 3, 13, 14, 15, 16, 23, 24, 36, 51, 55, 57-58, 59, 68-69, 105-106, 259, 273, 314, 358, 360, 365-366, 425-426
NGCC plants, 23, 57-59, 69, 70, 105-106, 126, 128, 274, 361, 365, 366, 369-373, 377-378, 378, 380, 385, 387, 388, 389, 390, 393, 394, 426
new plants, 42, 45, 105, 359-360, 394-395, 427-428
oxyfuel plants, 70, 74, 104, 364, 365, 367, 395, 419, 423-424
PC/IGCC competition, 361-365
petroleum, 51, 359, 360, 365-366
portfolio approach, 4-5, 51, 107-108, 396
projections, 358
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RD&D, 395-396
renewable sources, 13, 51, 52, 57, 58, 59, 359
retail price of electricity, 47-48, 49, 56, 100, 188, 529
siting of facilities, 57, 60
supply curves, 391-394, 426-430
supply from new technologies or technology mixes, 49, 51-60
from waste heat and materials, 221, 235
water use, 60, 409-410
wholesale power markets, 56-57, 59
Electricity sector
barriers to improvement, 77
demand side technologies, 45, 60
energy efficiency improvements, 40-41
greenhouse gas emissions, 4, 5, 16, 24, 68-69, 70, 73
Electricity supply curves, 140
Electricity transmission and distribution (T&D) systems
AC and DC lines and cables, 580-581
accommodating all generation and storage options, 51, 60, 61, 576, 614-615
addressing problems, 574-575
advanced equipment and components, 116, 579-584, 604
barriers to deployment, 78, 117-118, 599-602, 606-607
benefits of modernization, 3, 60-61, 118, 594-599
cascading failures and blackouts, 60
characteristics of a modern grid, 611
communications system, 116-117, 586-587, 631-632
control technologies, 587-588
costs of connecting, 293 n.5, 296-297, 298, 317
costs of modernization, 58-59, 61, 117, 592-594, 606, 632-636
cultural and communication barriers, 601-602, 607
current system, 564-569, 604
custom power, 116, 578, 580, 583, 603, 622-623
customer motivation and involvement, 61, 617
decision-support tools, 117, 579, 589, 590, 591, 599, 603-604, 605, 613, 618, 633
deployment of a modern system, 602-604, 605-606
distribution system, 61, 605-606, 611
economic benefits, 115, 595-596
electrified vehicle fleet and, 4, 597-598
emergency response capability, 611
environmental benefits, 116, 596-599
FACTS technology, 116, 578, 579-580, 583, 588, 602-603, 617, 621-622
findings, 3, 60-61, 604-607
grid visualization, 117, 589, 590, 591, 613, 631
HVDC, 571, 572, 579, 580-581, 598, 603, 615, 616, 619, 623-624
integrating intermittent/renewable resources integrated in, xiii, 3, 27, 34, 57, 58, 59, 60, 61, 98-99, 116, 118, 133, 290, 291, 292, 296-297, 298, 305-307, 308, 314-315, 316, 322, 563, 576, 581-582, 584, 597, 604, 607, 614-615, 620, 624, 625
intelligent control and communications, 291, 292, 297, 322-323, 576-577, 586-588, 604, 611
investment barriers, 78, 600, 606
market accommodations, 61
modern system characteristics, 575-579
Northeast blackout of 2003, 573
operations planning and design, 590-591, 613-614
optimization and efficiency, 577, 613, 619-620
personnel and equipment shortages, 605
potential for deployment, 583-584, 588-589, 591
power electronics, 579-580
power quality, 577, 619
problems, 13, 78, 569-574
public safety benefits, 599
R&D, 607-608
regional ownership and regulation, 78, 152-153
regulatory and legislative barriers, 78, 152-153, 600-601, 606-607
reliability measures, 61, 611, 612
restoration after an emergency, 613
security, 115, 577, 579, 582, 587, 594-595, 596, 600, 601, 604, 618
self-healing, 576, 577, 579-580, 587, 616-617, 618, 621
sensing and measurements, 116-117, 584-585, 604, 628-630
smart meters, 9 n.1, 45, 60, 118, 292, 578, 579, 580, 589, 591, 598, 603, 605-606, 632
storage, 6, 51, 61, 78, 291, 307, 309, 581-583, 584, 601, 616, 624-626, 627, 634
system operations, 589-590, 591, 613
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systems operator training, 590
technical barriers, 600, 606
technologies, 116-117, 578-592, 604-605
terrorist threats, 618
transformers, 193, 375, 564 n.1, 571, 583, 598-599, 618, 620, 621, 622, 626-628, 633
transmission system, 60, 61, 314-315, 317, 564, 605, 606
wholesale power markets, 576, 615-616
Electronics. See Appliances and electronics
Emergency Economic Stabilization Act, 273
Endangered Species Act, 40, 405
Energy conservation, xiii, 33, 40 n.3, 61, 135 n.1, 145 n.7
Energy consumption.
See also Electricity consumption;
specific fuels
air transportation, 157, 167
buildings sector, 2, 14, 83, 137, 139, 141-142
business-as-usual reference case, 2, 21, 36-37
comparison of sectors, 17, 22, 36-37
current, 2, 17, 135
factors affecting, 142
energy efficiency technologies and, 2, 11-12, 137-138
by fuel source, 17, 18, 21, 22, 36-37, 139, 332
historical, 19, 21, 137-138
industry, 14, 15, 17, 22, 36-37, 44, 136-137, 138, 139, 175-176, 180-183, 186
international comparison, 11-12, 20, 135, 138, 140
per capita, 19, 20, 138, 140
per dollar of GDP, 19, 20, 137-138, 140
projected, 2, 19, 21, 36-37
total, 22
Energy costs. See Costs
Energy demand.
See also Electricity demand
drivers of, 138
economic conditions and, 15, 25
impacts of technology development, 32
potential energy sources relative to, 13
projected, 41, 42
Energy-efficient technologies.
See also Appliances;
Buildings;
Industrial;
Light-duty vehicles;
Lighting;
Transportation
advanced, 83-84, 149-152, 155
availability, 82, 138-139, 140, 155, 191
barriers to deployment, 6, 76-77, 78, 87-88, 136-137, 152-154, 155, 172-173, 185-189, 191-192, 202
baseline/reference cases, 83, 177
capital investment needs, 83, 148
combined heat and power production, 44, 51, 86, 87, 88, 144, 176, 177, 178, 179, 181, 183, 186, 187, 190, 196, 198, 452
conservation distinguished from, 135 n.1, 145 n.7
conservation supply curves, 40, 82, 83, 140, 144, 145-149
consumer behavior, 49, 50, 79, 136-137, 154, 156, 172, 192
cost of conserved energy, 45-46, 47, 48-49, 145, 146-148, 149
cost-effectiveness, 2, 40-41, 49, 82, 148, 154, 155, 181
and demand for electricity, 32, 44-45, 155, 189
drivers of, 84, 88, 154, 155, 175, 189-190
dynamic nature of, 135, 149, 201-202
economic disincentives, 152-153
electricity generation capacity, 154-155
electricity savings, 40-41, 140, 146-147, 150, 154
end-use and technology approach, 145
findings, 1-2, 3, 4, 40-49, 50, 154-155, 173-174, 190-191, 202
informational and education needs, 87-88, 153, 187-188, 191
infrastructure considerations, 86, 88, 156-157, 160, 171, 174
integrated approaches, 84, 85, 143-144, 145, 149-152, 155, 200
international comparisons, 157, 170, 175, 176, 190
limitations of studies, 143, 155
natural gas savings, 43, 45 n.8, 48-49, 139, 140 146-147, 148, 154
panel report, 31, 81
payback period, 148, 153, 186
potential savings in energy, 1-2, 25, 40-49, 50, 62, 82, 83, 84, 88, 135, 137-138, 140-141, 143-145, 154, 155, 156, 157-169, 173, 192-198, 202
price of energy and, 47-48, 82, 83, 84, 88, 148, 149, 152, 156, 157, 165, 176, 186, 188, 189, 192, 197
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Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 222, 278, 470
Mercury, 149, 152, 249, 369, 408, 425, 482, 533, 596-597
Metabolic and bioprocess engineering, 256, 257-258
Methane
coal-bed, 103, 346, 347, 398, 402, 433, 435, 438
emissions, 11, 19, 259, 359, 368, 671
greenhouse forcing potential, 258, 260
hydrates, 75, 94, 258, 261, 346-347, 416-418
landfill gas power plants, 288
natural gas vehicles, 258
Methanol, 94
Methanol-to-gasoline technology, 67, 72, 93, 220, 226-227, 228, 229, 235, 236-237, 238, 239, 240, 252, 258-259, 262, 263
Micro-grids, 617
Micro-manufacturing, 179
MicroSun, 163
Micro-turbines, 598, 621
Microwave technologies, 179, 190, 291, 628-829
Minnesota, 196, 404 n.39, 481
Mobius Power, 163
Molecular biology, 74
Municipal solid waste, 89, 97, 213-214, 217, 235, 235, 272, 273, 287
N
Nanotechnology and nanomaterials, 179, 184, 185, 190, 283, 284, 291, 454, 513, 581
Naphtha, 226, 228, 261
National Academies, 404 n.38
National Energy Technology Laboratory, 362 n.16, 368 n.19, 370
National Environmental Policy Act, 26, 352, 405
National Mining Association, 404 n.37
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, 403 n.35
National Petroleum Council, 341-342, 343, 344 n.8, 345, 349, 354, 404 n.36
National Petroleum Reserve, 351, 355
National Renewable Energy Laboratory, 310, 313
National Science Foundation, 76
Natural gas.
See also Liquefied natural gas;
Methane
access issue, 12, 71, 103, 348, 350-355
age of power plants, 23
attributes, 332
buildings sector, 14, 15, 17, 24, 37, 43, 48-49, 139, 146-147, 155, 259, 331
carbon capture and storage, 58, 69, 70, 71, 379-380, 422-423
CO2 emissions, 3, 16, 24, 68, 69, 70, 71, 102, 259-260, 360
combined cycle (NGCC) plants, 23, 57-59, 69, 70, 105-106, 126, 128, 274, 361, 365, 366, 369-373, 377-378, 378, 380, 385, 387, 388, 389, 390, 393, 394, 426
combustion turbine, 273
competitiveness, 105-106, 273, 314, 379-380, 406
compressed, 94, 258, 259-261
constraints on production, 338
consumption, 17, 18, 21, 22, 37, 139, 146-147, 259, 332-333, 335, 351
costs, 48-49, 273, 360
economic importance, 15
electricity generation, 3, 13, 14, 15, 16, 23, 24, 36, 51, 55, 57-58, 59, 68-69, 105-106, 259, 273, 314, 358, 365-366, 425-426
energy efficiency savings, 43, 45 n.8, 48-49, 139, 140, 146-147, 148, 154
environmental impacts, 355
exploration and production technology, 336, 343, 347-348
feedstock for fuel, 94, 258, 261
findings, 3
industrial use, 14, 15, 17, 24, 37, 139, 176, 180, 183, 184, 259
import dependence (potential), 3, 15, 16, 25, 37, 71, 103, 259, 314, 336, 350, 358
methane emissions, 259
new plants, 70
offshore, 346, 347, 348, 351-352, 353
pipelines, 109, 332, 334, 406, 407, 409
potential, 16
prices, 3, 15, 25, 48, 49, 57-58, 59, 71, 103, 188, 260, 261, 348, 349, 350, 360, 372
production (domestic), 15, 16, 37, 259, 335, 346-350, 351, 357
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reserves and resources, 2, 3, 15, 37, 102-103, 149, 259, 332, 335, 336, 346-350, 351-355, 357, 416-418
retrofitted plants with CCS, 70, 71
safety management, 260, 409, 418
shales, 15, 103, 105-106, 342, 343, 346, 347-348, 349, 350, 355, 358, 385, 405, 426
single-cycle plants, 23
“stranded,” 261
supply and demand, 103, 106, 354-355, 358, 361, 379-380, 426
tight gas sands, 15, 103, 346, 347
transportation fuel, 37, 139, 259-260
Natural Resources Defense Council, 404 n.7
NEC, 163
New Source Performance Standards, 78, 189, 384
New York, energy efficiency programs, 193, 198, 199, 200
New Zealand, 226
Nickel cadmium batteries, 627
Nickel metal hydride batteries, 625, 627
Nigeria, 261
Nissan, 163
Nitrogen oxide emissions, 11 n.3, 19, 159, 189, 248, 249, 260, 262-263, 288, 300 n.7, 301, 302, 313, 333, 359, 363-364, 421
Nixon administration, 26, 458 n.34
Norway, 107, 437, 524
Nuclear energy
accidents, 446, 453, 480, 489-491, 503, 553-555, 556-557
aging/retirement of plants, 13, 23, 53-54, 112, 447, 448, 472, 473, 474 n.70, 475, 481, 483, 497
barriers to deployment, 113-114, 447, 477-482, 494-495, 497-498
capacity factor, 54, 445, 448, 528
cogeneration, 452
consumption, 17, 18, 21, 22, 332
costs, 57, 58, 113, 198, 447, 463-471, 496, 526-532
demonstration needs and constraints, 55
downtime decreases, 110, 449, 451
economic barriers, 70-71, 113, 477-478, 497
electricity costs, 2, 464-470
environmental impacts, 114-115, 482-489
federal incentives, 39 n.2, 55, 58, 59, 447, 468-469, 532 n. 31
findings, 2, 3, 39, 70-71, 494-499
fossil fuel power plants compared, 467
greenhouse gas emissions, 16, 69, 70-71, 445, 482-484, 498, 533-536
improvements to existing plants, 52-53, 110, 448-451, 463-464, 474-475, 497
international interest, 446-447
new plants, 3, 51, 53, 445, 467
operating license extensions, 53-55, 110, 112, 450-451, 463-464, 473, 476, 497, 515, 546, 548
personnel and parts shortages, 481-482, 498
potential for deployment, 3, 13, 70-71, 112-113, 471-477
power uprates, 52-53, 110, 449-450, 474-475, 497
proliferation risk, 111, 458-459, 460, 462, 489, 491-492, 496, 499, 504, 518, 519, 522, 524
public concerns, 113-114, 447, 479-481, 497-498
refueling outages, 110, 451
regulatory and legislative issues, 113, 478-479, 498
R&D, 451, 499
safety and security, 115, 480, 489-492
share of electricity generation, 447-448
supply of electricity, 3, 14, 49, 51, 52-55, 114, 197, 447, 496-497
technologies, 110-112, 448-463;
see also Nuclear reactors
terrorist attacks, 489-491
water use, 485-486, 539-541
Nuclear Energy Advisory Committee, 456 n.27
Nuclear fuel cycle.
See also Uranium
alternative, 111, 113, 456-462, 470-471, 491, 499, 524-525, 551
breeding, 111, 456, 458, 507, 508, 510, 517, 518, 521-522, 523 n.19, 524
burning, 456, 457, 458, 459 n.41, 460-461, 462, 495, 496, 508, 510-511, 517, 518-519, 520, 521-522, 525
closed, 111, 410, 458-459, 461, 462, 471, 485-486, 510, 517-521, 523-525, 539, 540
costs, 470-471
defined, 458 n.32
disposal of spent fuel, 60, 486-489, 496
environmental impacts, 486-489, 536-539
full recycle, 461, 496, 519, 521
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high burn-up fuel, 455, 487, 499, 514, 551
inert matrix fuel (IMF), 462, 519-520, 521, 525
limited recycle, 458 n.14, 461, 462, 470-471, 519, 520, 521, 525
mining and milling impacts, 60, 301, 484-485
mixed-oxide fuel (MOX), 462, 495, 470, 471, 519, 520, 521
once-through, 458, 459 n.40, 462, 464 n.52, 470, 471, 485, 491, 492, 499, 517, 520, 524, 525, 534 n.35, 539, 540, 542
R&D opportunities, 455, 460-461, 524-525
recycling used fuel, 458, 459, 460, 461, 462, 470-471, 491, 495-496, 517, 519, 520, 521-523, 525, 539
separations technologies, 111, 459, 460, 462, 470, 471, 491, 495, 520, 522, 531-523
simulation and modeling, 525
thorium, 506, 523-524
transuranic targets, 458 n.23, 462, 521
world capasity, 446-447
Nuclear fusion, 29, 463, 495
Nuclear reactors
advanced boiling-water reactor, 453, 454 n.20, 474, 504, 505-506
advanced pressurized water, 453-454, 474, 504, 505, 506
advanced simulation codes, 515-516, 525
alternative designs, 111, 452-453, 455-457, 470-471, 503, 504-508, 509-510, 512, 524-525
AP1000, 453, 454
boiling-water, 452, 453, 472-473, 475, 505
coolants and cooling systems, 452, 453, 454, 485-486, 489-490, 499, 503, 506, 508, 512-513, 514, 539-540, 553, 554, 556
costs, 70-71
degradation phenomena, 450, 514-515
demonstration of commercial viability, 5, 6, 68, 70-71
design certification, 453, 454, 478, 479, 505, 506, 507, 509-510, 511
digital instrumentation and control, 455, 515
economic simplified boiling-water reactor (ESBWR), 453, 474
European pressurized water, 503, 504
evolutionary designs, 2, 5, 6, 39, 49, 68, 70-71, 110, 112, 113, 115, 124, 446-447, 448, 452, 453, 455, 463, 464-470, 472 n.68, 473, 486, 490, 494, 503-506, 509, 512, 513, 526-532, 540
fast, 111, 453, 456, 457, 461, 462, 470, 471, 506-507, 508, 521, 525
fuel rods, 454, 455
gas-cooled, 455 n.24, 504 n.5, 507, 508, 509, 511
heat transfer materials, 454, 499, 513-514
light water, 452, 453, 455, 456, 457, 459, 461, 462, 467, 470, 472, 503, 504, 509, 511, 512, 513, 514, 518, 519-521, 522, 524, 525, 544
neutron moderator, 452, 453
pressurized water, 452, 453, 503, 504, 473, 475, 505, 549
R&D opportunities, 6, 454-455, 457, 512-516
readiness for deployment, 39
small modular reactors, 456, 506-507, 509-510
sodium-cooled, 455 n.24, 457 n.30, 470, 504 n.5, 506 n.7, 507, 508, 509, 510, 511, 513
technologies, 451-457
thermal, 452, 453, 456, 458 n.33, 462, 486, 506-507, 508, 519, 521
U.S. evolutionary power, 453, 454, 474, 503, 504, 505
very-high-temperature, 456, 506-507, 508, 511-512
Nuclear waste management, 60
burning fuel cycles and, 518-519
costs, 528, 551
decommissioning wastes, 486-487, 528, 542, 543, 548, 550-551
environmental impacts, 486-489
final disposal, 480-481, 545-547
high-level wastes, 115, 436, 458 n.34, 486, 487-488, 496, 518, 545-547, 552
interim storage, 115, 488-489, 541, 543, 549, 547-548
low-level wastes, 461, 520, 543, 548-550
other operating wastes, 543, 548-550
public concerns, 447, 480-481, 498
used fuel disposal, 455, 542-544
Yucca Mountain high-level-waste storage, 115, 436, 458 n.34, 486, 487-488, 496, 545-547, 552
NuScale, Inc., 456, 506, 509
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O
Obama administration, 27, 41 n.4, 45 n.7, 62, 85 n.7, 157 n.18, 166 n.22, 193 n.24, 457 n.31, 458, 488, 492, 496, 510, 511, 545
Oil.
See also Gasoline;
Petroleum
access issue, 12, 344, 345, 350-355
Alaska production, 343, 351, 353
Arctic National Wildlife Refuge, 344, 345, 351, 354, 355
carbon capture and storage, 341, 402
CO2 emissions, 341, 342
CO2 enhanced oil recovery, 91, 224, 227, 338-340, 341, 342, 343, 396, 397, 398, 401, 402, 407, 424, 435-437
constraints on production, 338, 341-343
costs, 152, 338, 339, 341
consumption, 335, 351
crisis, 137
demand, 15
environmental impacts/management, 341, 342, 355, 408-409
exploration and production technology, 336, 337, 343
heavy oil, 171, 337, 339, 340, 342
import dependence, 333, 336
in situ retorting, 340-341
light oil, 261, 338-340, 402
liquid fuel consumption, 62-65, 171
offshore resources, 339, 343, 344, 345, 347, 349, 350, 351, 352-353, 354, 355
political importance, 14-15
prices, xii, 15, 67, 152, 211, 342, 344, 345, 354-355, 360
production (domestic), 14 n.8, 211, 335, 341-342, 344-346, 351, 356-357
projections, 344-346
reserves and resources, 13, 102, 335, 336, 338-346, 350-355, 415-416
residual zone EOR, 339, 340
shales, 75, 102, 108, 109, 339, 340-341, 342, 357, 406, 408-409
steam injection, 340
supply and demand, 354-355, 357-358
tar sands, 108, 109, 339, 340, 341, 342, 357, 406, 408-409
timeframe for recovery, 339
Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), 336, 354
Outer Continental Shelf Lands Act, 405
P
Pakistan, 452
Panasonic/Sanyo, 163
Particulate emissions, 159, 249, 263, 288, 322, 333, 404, 405, 408, 541
Passenger transportation
air, 86 n.8, 167, 170
consumption of energy, 156
mass transit, 156, 260-261
systemic improvements, 171-172
vehicular, see Light-duty vehicles
Petroleum.
See also Fossil fuels;
Oil
attributes, 332
buildings sector, 17, 24, 139
CO2 emissions, 16, 24, 72, 156
consumption, 17, 18, 21, 22, 24, 62, 89, 102, 139, 137, 138, 155-157, 243, 332
demand, 15, 332-333
dependence, xi, 25, 63, 67, 89
economic importance, 14
electricity generation, 36, 360
energy efficiency improvements and, 67
import dependence, 3, 14, 16, 17, 24, 25, 26, 62, 84, 89, 93, 139, 156, 160, 180, 211, 212, 243
industrial sector, 17, 24, 139, 175, 176, 180
prices, 25, 156
production rates (domestic), 3, 14, 62-63, 102
refining, 86, 87, 175, 176, 178, 180, 182, 186, 188, 254-255, 334, 403, 423, 512
replacement or reduction, 3, 14, 62-67, 73, 160, 212, 245, 265-266
resources and reserves, 332
transportation fuel, 3, 14, 16, 17, 24, 62, 84, 89, 108, 139, 156, 180, 211, 243, 331
Photobioreactors, 253, 258
Photovoltaics industry roadmap, 310, 316
Plutonium, 111, 459, 460, 462, 470, 471, 491, 495, 517, 519, 520, 522, 531-523
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Policies and programs.
See also Legislation;
Regulations and standards;
individual statutes
barriers to adoption of technologies, 6, 76-77, 78, 152, 191-192
California experience, 191, 193, 196, 198, 199-200
carbon controls, 78, 38 n.1, 189, 244, 393-394, 406
combined heat and power systems, 196, 198
consumer education, training, and technical assistance, 196-197, 200, 201
costs of, 45 n.8, 148
energy savings estimates, 88, 192-198
energy efficiency, 82, 86, 88, 148, 152, 154, 172-173, 189, 191-202
ENERGY STAR® program, 88, 142, 150, 151, 154 n.13, 196-197, 198
environmental, 350-355
federal, 192-198
fiscal, 152, 172, 188, 200, 307
incentives and grants, 6, 38 n.1, 200, 201, 264-265, 273
investment impacts, 307
land-use management, 86, 172
lessons learned, 201
New York experience, 193, 198, 199, 200
RD&D, 88, 194-195, 197, 200, 201
revision, 201-202
state/utility, 88, 154, 191, 192, 193, 194, 196, 198, 199-200, 273
tax credits, 38 n.1, 51, 95, 99, 101, 144, 188, 192, 195-196, 273, 274, 298, 299, 307, 308, 317, 447, 468, 530
Population
distribution considerations, 142, 171-172, 291, 319, 407, 540, 581, 598, 607
growth, 11-12, 25, 83, 409-410, 540
Potential energy sources
defined, 13
Power grid. See Electricity transmission and distribution systems
Price of energy
and energy-efficient technology adoption, 47-48, 82, 83, 84, 88, 148, 149, 152, 156, 157, 165, 176, 186, 188, 189, 192, 197
environmental and social costs, 152
Primary energy sources, 12, 21, 22, 33
Princeton Environmental Institute, 124, 125, 227-228, 369-370, 374-375, 376, 385, 420
Production of energy, trends, 20.
See also individual sources
Public engagement, 29-30
Public Utilities Regulatory Policies Act, 88, 196, 197, 198
Pulp and paper industry, 43-44, 86, 87, 175, 177, 178, 181
PUREX, 111, 459, 460, 462, 470, 471, 491, 495, 520, 522, 531-523
Q
Qatar, 261, 416
R
Reagan administration, 26, 458 n.34
Recycling, 86, 179, 186
Regulations and standards.
See also Legislation;
individual statutes
appliance efficiency standards, 88, 154 n.13, 192, 193-194, 197, 198, 200, 201
building energy codes, 38-39 n.1, 40, 50, 88, 146, 152-153, 154, 192, 194, 198, 199, 200, 201, 319
CAFE, 28, 45 n.7, 46, 85, 157, 166-167, 192-193, 197, 198, 267
barriers to technology investments, 152-153, 188-189
energy efficiency, 27, 28, 38-39 n.1, 40, 45, 46, 62, 78-79, 85, 87, 88, 142, 154, 157, 166-167, 188-189, 191, 192-193, 197, 198, 267
environmental, 26-27, 78, 88, 189, 322, 384
performance-oriented, 6, 78, 189, 200, 384
renewables portfolio standards, 28, 39 n.2, 51, 95, 273, 299
utility tariffs and interconnection standards, 152-153
Remanufacturing of used products for resale, 87, 185
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Renewable energy.
See also Biopower;
Geothermal;
Hydropower;
Solar;
Wind 20% electricity generation, 13, 95, 98-99, 305-306, 309-316, 317
atmospheric emissions, 300-302, 313
combined energy-waste-and-water plants, 291
competitiveness, 97-98, 289, 290, 299
consumption of energy from, 21, 22, 332
co-siting of different technologies, 98, 290, 306-307, 308-309, 315-316
costs, 33, 51, 99-100, 273, 274, 292-299
deployment barriers, 12, 97-98, 101
deployment scenarios, 309-317
development potential, 97-99, 303-309
electricity generation capacity, 2, 31, 51, 94-96, 271-274, 279-292
electricity generation costs, 293-297
employment, 304
environmental impacts, 101-102, 299-303
findings, 2, 291-292, 297, 299, 302-303, 307-309, 317
greenhouse gas emissions, 16, 101, 300, 302, 313, 317
human and materials resource constraints, 101, 303-304, 308, 323
industry use, 176
integration in T&D systems, xiii, 3, 27, 34, 57, 58, 59, 60, 61, 98, 99, 101, 116, 118, 133, 290, 291, 292, 296-297, 298, 305-307, 308-309, 314, 316, 322-323, 563, 576, 581-582, 584, 597, 604, 614-615, 620, 624, 625
land-use impacts, 101-102, 300-303, 313
levelizied cost estimates, 293-297
market factors, 307
non-electricity (distributed), 99-100, 318-322
policy setting, 101, 273-274, 279, 302, 307, 317
production constraints, 304-305
R&D, 98, 289-290, 296, 307-308
resource base, 95-96, 275-279
speculative technologies, 291-292
status, 271-274
supply of electricity, 13, 51, 52, 197
technology descriptions, 96-97, 280-289
timeframes for deployment of technologies, 289-292
Renewable Fuel Standard, 245
Research, development, and demonstrations (RD&D)
advanced materials, 76
alternative liquid fuels, 74-75, 221, 247, 255, 265, 267
basic research, 75-76
battery technologies, 6, 30, 76, 79, 85, 625-626
biofuels, 74-75, 90, 221-222, 224
biosciences, 74
buildings sector, 150, 197
CCS demonstrations, 5, 6, 39, 51-52, 65, 66, 68, 70, 73, 74, 91, 92, 107, 108-109, 212, 225, 227, 228, 230, 232-233, 250-251, 361, 360, 365, 378, 382-383, 397, 398, 431, 432
cellulosic ethanol demonstrations, 6, 64, 74, 90, 221-222, 224
climate-related, 75
CO2 recycling, 75
coal technologies, 6, 64, 74, 221-222, 224, 430-441
electricity generation, 395-396
energy efficiency, 6, 74, 85, 150, 174, 192, 194-195, 197, 200, 201
evolutionary nuclear reactor demonstrations, 5, 6, 68, 70-71, 74
federal support, 76, 194-195, 296
geoengineering, 75
geothermal power, 75
industry, 182, 190, 195
investments in, 39, 74, 75-76
LDV technologies, 6, 74, 75
national effort, 28
natural gas from hydrates, 75
nuclear fuel cycle, 75
oil shale extraction technologies, 75
opportunities for, 6, 30, 73-76, 79, 85, 625-626
portfolio approach, 5-6, 73, 201, 267, 378-379
radioactive waste management, 75
solar photovoltaics, 75, 76
scale of demonstrations, 28
social science research, 75
urgency of, 5, 30, 71
wind energy, 75
Reserves.
See also individual energy sources
defined, 13
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Residential buildings.
See also Appliances;
Buildings;
Lighting
consumption of energy, 17, 22, 36-37, 138, 141, 146
electricity, 140
energy efficiency savings, 40-41, 47-49, 140, 144, 147, 150
energy intensity, 141, 175
ENERGY STAR® new homes, 142
heating and cooling, 144
low-energy and zero-net-energy new homes, 84, 144, 151
natural gas, 140, 147
price of energy, 149
rental units, 50, 87, 136-137, 153
solar power at point of use, 59, 83, 151
tax credits, 144
weatherization assistance program, 198
whole-house approach, 144, 151
Resource Conservation and Recovery Act, 405
Resources, defined, 13.
See also individual energy sources
Resources for the Future, 404 n.38
Russia, 261, 452, 457 n.30, 463, 470, 493, 494, 505, 506, 510, 511, 519 n.16, 524, 533, 538
Russian Federation, 415, 416
S
Safe Drinking Water Control Act, 407
Sasol, 226, 261
Saudi Arabia, 345
Secondary energy source. See Electricity generation
Sensor development, 87, 176, 180, 183, 185, 190
Separation processes and technologies
biofuel production, 224, 256, 258
CO2 separation, 267, 364-365, 378, 397, 422, 423-425, 430-431, 434
cryogenic, 423, 424, 431
electrochemical, 458-459, 517, 519, 520, 522-523
industry energy efficiency measures, 87, 111, 176, 180, 181, 184, 188, 190
PUREX, 111, 456, 459, 460, 462, 470, 471, 491, 495, 520, 522, 531-523
spent nuclear fuel processing, 111, 459, 460, 462, 470, 471, 491, 495, 496, 520, 521-523, 524-525, 552
UREX+, 459, 520, 522, 523, 552
Shell, 261
Silicon, 96, 281, 283, 284, 303-304, 305
SiLyte, 163
Smart meters, 9 n.1, 45, 60, 118, 292, 578, 579, 580, 589, 591, 598, 603, 605-606, 632
Sodium-sulfur batteries, 582, 625, 627
Solar America Initiative, 310, 316
Solar Energy Industry Association, 296
Solar power, general
consumption, by sector, 17
costs, 57, 58, 96
growth, 95, 272
resource base, 96, 276-278, 279
satellites collectors in space, 291
Solar power, photovoltaic (PV)
backup power, 151 n.10
competitiveness, 99-100
costs, 58, 99-100, 101, 281, 283-284, 293, 294-295
dye-sensitized solar cell, 283, 284, 292
electricity generation capacity, 272, 277-278, 316
employment, 304
energy savings, 151
environmental impacts, 302
greenhouse gas emissions, 69
integration in power grid, 3
nanotechnology, 283, 284, 291
organic solar cells, 283, 292
point-of-use (residential) installations, 59, 96, 272-273, 299
potential of, 13, 151
R&D opportunities, 6, 59
resource base, 277-278
silicon flat-plate arrays, 96, 277-278, 281, 283-284, 303-304, 305
technology description, 96-97, 281, 283-284, 305
thin-film technologies, 96-97, 283-284, 305
Solar power, thermal nonelectric, 318-320.
See also Concentrating solar power
South Korea, 20, 190, 453, 504 n.4
Spain, 285, 446
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Steam heating and process heating, 180, 181, 184
Strontium, 461, 519, 522, 523, 552
Sulfur oxides, 189, 249, 288, 301, 313, 333, 369, 408
Superior Graphite, 163
Supply of energy. See Energy supply
Surface Mine Control and Reclamation Act, 405
Sweden, 446, 535
Synthesis gas, 220, 226, 232, 242, 249, 258-259, 261, 263, 284, 289, 364, 367, 419, 425
Synthetic biology, 257-258
T
Taxes
barriers to technology deployment, 88
carbon, 38 n.1, 244, 406
credits, 38 n.1, 51, 95, 99, 101, 144, 188, 192, 195-196, 273, 274, 298, 299, 307, 308, 317, 447 n.7, 468, 489, 530
depreciation deductions, 152, 188, 190
fuel/energy, 157, 192
Technetium, 522, 523, 552
Technology. See Critical technologies;
Energy-supply and end-use technologies;
Research, development, and demonstrations;
specific technologies
Texas, 338, 339, 397, 398, 401, 436, 567, 568
Thailand, 20
Thermochemical conversion
biomass-to-liquid fuel, 91, 226, 227, 228, 229, 232, 239-240, 252
carbon capture and storage, 74, 91-92, 226, 227, 228, 229-230, 231-233, 239, 250-251
co-fed biomass and coal, 3-4, 91-92, 227, 228, 229, 230, 231, 232, 235, 237-238, 242, 245-246, 247-248, 249
coal-to-liquid fuel, 91, 92, 220, 227, 228-229, 230-231, 249
commercialization, 226-227
cost analysis, 91, 227-231, 244
direct liquefaction of coal, 230-231
environmental impacts, 249
findings, 231-232
Fischer-Tropsch process, 67, 72, 93, 220, 226, 228, 229, 230-231, 235, 236, 237, 238, 239, 240, 242, 252, 261
greenhouse gas emissions, 91-92, 227-228, 232, 236-237, 239
indirect liquefaction process, 220, 226-230, 232
methanol-to-gasoline process, 67, 72, 93, 220, 226-227, 228, 229, 235, 236-237, 238, 239, 240, 252, 258-259, 262
RD&D, 74, 231, 247
siting of plants, 247-248
supply of fuel from, 92, 242-243, 244
water usage, 249
3M, 163
Townsend Advanced Energy, 163
Toxic Substances Control Act, 405
Toyota, 163
Transportation sector.
See also Air transportation;
Alternative transportation fuels;
Freight transportation;
Passenger transportation
barriers to improving energy efficiency, 172-173
baseline case, 141
commercial, 156, 159-160
consumption of energy, 137, 138, 155-157, 243
energy efficiency, 2, 3, 4, 38-39 n.1, 40, 41, 43, 44-46, 62, 82, 84-86, 88, 141, 155-174
energy intensity, 175
findings, 3, 4, 44-45, 173-174
greenhouse gas emissions, 4, 5, 16, 73, 84, 108, 156, 160, 211, 212, 333
infrastructure considerations, 86, 156-157, 160, 171, 174
intelligent systems, 86, 171-172
international comparisons, 157, 170
liquid fuel consumption, 36-37, 62-65, 139
petroleum dependence, 3, 14, 16, 17, 24, 62, 84, 89, 108, 139, 156, 180, 211, 243, 331
portfolio approach, 4, 5, 68, 71
potential for energy savings, 44-46, 62, 82, 84, 156, 157-169, 173
public policies, 86, 172-173
regulations, 38-39 n.1
system-level improvements, 86, 171-172, 174
TVA, 186, 473 n.68
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U
Underground Injection Control program, 407
Union of Concerned Scientists, 404
United Kingdom, 446, 463, 519, 522, 533
Ukraine, 452
Uranium
demand, 538, 539
downblending, 538 n.38
enrichment, 483-484, 523 n.32, 536, 538
fuel cycle, 519
hydride fuel and moderator, 507, 509
imports, 538 n.39
mining and milling, 60, 485, 486, 536, 537-538
oxide fuel, 520, 521, 514
prices, 470, 528
radioactive emissions, 541
tailings, 537, 538
resources and reserves, 13, 115, 458, 492-494, 496, 499, 518, 524, 535, 536
U.S. Department of Energy, 219
20% wind electricity generation scenario, 13, 95, 98-99, 305-306, 309-316
Advanced Fuel Cycle Initiative, 470, 510, 522
employment, 304
FutureGen, 360, 432
Job and Economic Development model, 313
Next Generation Nuclear Plant program, 456, 511
Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy Office, 185, 293
Office of Nuclear Energy, 522
Office of Science, 76
RD&D programs, 194-195, 198, 221-222, 293
Solar America Initiative, 310, 316
U.S. Department of the Interior, 403 n.35
U.S. Department of Transportation, 219
U.S. energy system.
See also individual resources
aging of, 13
critical characteristics, 11-13
current profile, 11-25
regional considerations, 31-32
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, 219, 359
carbon storage regulations, 407, 441
Clean Air Interstate Rule, 404 n.39
Clean-Fuel Fleet Program, 261
coal mining standards, 408
New Source Review program, 188-189
pollutant limits, 322, 404
radiation exposure limits, 546
vehicle size and weight limits, 46
websites on environmental regulation and assessments, 403 n.35, 542 n.45
U.S. Geological Survey, 340, 351
U.S. Maritime Transportation Security Act, 409
U.S. Minerals Management Service, 340, 351, 355, 403 n.35
U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, 113, 114 n.18, 445, 449, 450-452, 454, 460, 472, 475, 478-479, 481, 487, 488, 490-491, 493, 496, 504, 505, 506, 507, 509-510, 541, 545, 546, 548, 550, 555, 558, 557
U.S. Office of Management and Budget, 310
Useful energy sources, defined, 12
V
Vanadium redox, 625, 627
Vermont, 196
W
Washington state, 196
Waste-heat and waste-materials as energy sources, 86, 87, 181, 182
Water use, 248, 409-410
Western Governors’ Association, 316
Western Wind and Solar Integration Study, 314
Windows, 84, 144, 149, 150-151, 155, 194-195, 197
Wind power
20% penetration scenarios, 13, 95, 98-99, 100, 309-316, 317
capacity, 98-99, 305-306
consumption, by sector, 17
costs, 57, 58, 96, 99, 100, 101, 121, 126, 274, 281, 293, 294-295, 296-299, 313-314, 317
deployment challenges, 60, 99, 101, 304-305
electricity generation capacity, 17, 27, 36, 51, 57, 95, 128, 272, 275-276, 316
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employment, 304
energy flows, 12, 13
environmental impacts, 101, 301, 302, 313
financing, 95, 274
and greenhouse gas emissions, 69, 312
high-altitude kites, 291
integration in power grid, 3, 34, 57, 60, 81, 96, 99, 100, 101, 133, 280, 290, 296-297, 298, 306-307, 314-315, 317
manufacturing, materials, and labor requirements, 98, 311-313
offshore, 36, 58, 100, 126, 281, 294-295, 313-314
onshore, 36, 57, 58, 99, 100, 126, 276, 281, 293 n.5, 294-295, 297, 299
potential, 96, 99
price of, 273
public policies, 95, 99, 101, 273, 274, 307, 308
resource base, 96, 128, 275-276, 279
self-erecting towers, 281
siting, 60, 101, 308-309, 315-316
storage and load management, 75, 99, 280, 281, 297, 308-309
supply curve, 297, 298
technology description, 96, 280-281, 282
turbines, 95, 96, 100, 276, 279, 280-281, 282, 296, 304-305, 311-312, 315, 317
World GTL, 261
World Resources Institute, 404 n.38
Worldwatch Institute, 404 n.38
Wyoming, 339, 397
Z
ZEBRA battery, 627
Zinc bromide battery, 625, 627
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