|
6.13
|
|
Cash flows for Case 1,
|
|
81
|
|
6.14
|
|
Greenhouse gas emissions from hydrogen supply over time,
|
|
83
|
|
6.15
|
|
Case 1 gasoline consumption relative to the reference case,
|
|
83
|
|
6.16
|
|
Case 1 greenhouse gas emissions relative to the reference case,
|
|
83
|
|
6.17
|
|
Case 2 assumed market penetration for gasoline ICEVs and advanced gasoline HEVs,
|
|
86
|
|
6.18
|
|
Case 2 assumed on-road fuel economy for new gasoline ICEVs and gasoline hybrid ICEVs over time,
|
|
86
|
|
6.19
|
|
Gasoline consumption for Case 2 and for the reference case,
|
|
87
|
|
6.20
|
|
Greenhouse gas emissions for Case 2 and for the reference case,
|
|
87
|
|
6.21
|
|
Annual production of biofuels assumed for Case 3,
|
|
88
|
|
6.22
|
|
Case 3: Added biofuel production relative to the reference case,
|
|
88
|
|
6.23
|
|
Case 3: Oil displacement relative to the reference case,
|
|
88
|
|
6.24
|
|
Case 3: Greenhouse gas emission reductions relative to the reference case,
|
|
88
|
|
6.25
|
|
Oil consumption for Cases 1-3 compared,
|
|
89
|
|
6.26
|
|
Greenhouse gas emissions for Cases 1-3 compared,
|
|
89
|
|
6.27
|
|
Oil use for Cases 1 and 2 combined,
|
|
89
|
|
6.28
|
|
Greenhouse gas emissions with HFCVs for Cases 1 and 2 combined,
|
|
89
|
|
6.29
|
|
Oil use for Cases 2 and 3 combined,
|
|
90
|
|
6.30
|
|
Greenhouse gas emission reductions for Cases 2 and 3 combined,
|
|
90
|
|
6.31
|
|
Assumed number of vehicles in the fleet for Case 4,
|
|
90
|
|
6.32
|
|
Oil use in million gallons per year for Case 4,
|
|
90
|
|
6.33
|
|
Greenhouse gas emissions for Case 4,
|
|
91
|
|
6.34
|
|
Cumulative reduction of greenhouse gas emissions for Case 2, Case 3 plus Case 2, and Case 4,
|
|
91
|
|
6.1.1
|
|
Sensitivity of breakeven year to changes in HCFV fuel economy, HFCV price, H2 cost, and gasoline price,
|
|
85
|
|
6.1.2
|
|
Sensitivity of buydown cost (billion dollars) to changes in HFCV fuel economy, HFCV price, H2 cost, and gasoline price,
|
|
85
|
|
6.1.3
|
|
Sensitivity of capital investment to breakeven year (incremental price of HFCVs + H2 infrastructure capital, billion dollars),
|
|
85
|
|
7.1
|
|
Total annual expenditures for vehicles and hydrogen supply for transition to the breakeven year for the Hydrogen Success case, excluding RD&D costs,
|
|
97
|
|
7.2
|
|
Annual government expenditures through the transition to 2023,
|
|
98
|
|
7.3
|
|
Total annual costs of transition to the breakeven year for the Case 1 scenario, including RD&D costs plus total vehicle and hydrogen supply costs,
|
|
99
|
|
7.4
|
|
Total annual costs of RD&D plus incremental costs of HFCVs over conventional vehicles up to the breakeven year for the Case 1 scenario,
|
|
100
|
|
7.5
|
|
Diagram of the early structure of the hydrogen and fuel cell industries, identifying areas where skilled people will be needed,
|
|
101
|
|
8.1
|
|
Illustrative example of a price-based policy approach, indicating the per-vehicle subsidy from government for each fuel cell vehicle sold in a particular year for the Hydrogen Success (Case 1) scenario,
|
|
105
|
|
8.2
|
|
Illustrative example of a quantity-based policy approach, indicating the required fraction (quota) of all new vehicles sold in a particular year that must be fuel cell vehicles for the Hydrogen Success (Case 1) scenario,
|
|
105
|
|
C.1(a)
|
|
Flow diagram of simple transition model (STM) (part 1),
|
|
122
|
|
C.1(b)
|
|
Flow diagram of simple transition model (STM) (part 2), oil and greenhouse gas emissions saved,
|
|
123
|
|
C.2
|
|
Delivered hydrogen costs in selected cities,
|
|
123
|
|
C.3
|
|
Oil saved per year with different scenarios compared to the reference case,
|
|
124
|
|
C.4
|
|
Greenhouse gas emissions avoided compared to the reference case,
|
|
124
|