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Appendix A Agenda Global Climate Change and Extreme Weather Events: Understanding the Potential Contributions to the Emergence, Reemergence, and Spread of Infectious Disease December 4-5, 2007 The Hotel Monaco, Paris Room Washington, DC DAY 1: DECEMBER 4, 2007 8:30-9:00 Registration and complimentary breakfast 9:00-9:15 Welcoming remarks Forum Leadership 9:15-9:40 Welcoming remarks  Harvey Fineberg, M.D., Ph.D., President, Institute of Medicine 9:40-10:20 Keynote address  Ecological, environmental, and infectious disease impacts of global climate change and extreme weather events Donald Burke, M.D. University of Pittsburgh 10:20-11:00 Questions from Forum members and audience 11:00-11:15 Break 245

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246 GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE AND EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS Session I The Direct and Indirect Influences of Extreme Weather Events and Climate Change on the Prevalence and Geographic Range of Vector- and Non-Vector-Borne Diseases Moderator: Lonnie King, D.V.M., Centers for Disease Control and Prevention 11:15-12:15 • Sir Andrew Haines, M.D., M.B., B.Ch. London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine • Paul Epstein, M.D., M.P.H. Harvard University 12:15-12:45 Questions from Forum members and audience 12:45-1:30 Lunch and continuation of Day 1 morning discussion Session II Environmental Trends and Their Influence on the Emergence, Reemergence, and Movement of Vector- and Non-Vector-Borne Infectious Diseases Moderator: Ralph “Loren” Erickson, M.D., Dr.P.H., M.P.H., Department of Defense, Global Emerging Infections Surveillance and Response System 1:30-2:00 Climate change impacts on plant disease dynamics ����������������������� Karen A. Garrett, Ph.D. Kansas State University 2:00-2:30 Climate change: its effects on healthy aquatic and marine wildlife populations ���������������������� Leslie Dierauf, V.M.D. U.S. Geological Survey, National Wildlife Health Center 2:30-3:00 Sub-Saharan Africa—chikungunya and Rift Valley fever Jean-Paul Chretien, M.D., Ph.D.  Department of Defense, Global Emerging Infections Surveillance and Response System 3:00-3:20 Break

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APPENDIX A 247 3:20-3:50 Arctic environment Alan Parkinson, Ph.D.  Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Arctic Investigation Program 3:50-4:20 Plague and climate variation and change: a worldwide overview with a bias towards central Asia Nils Christian Stenseth, Ph.D. University of Oslo, Norway 4:20-5:20 Discussion of Session II 5:20-6:15 Open discussion of Day 1 6:15 Adjourn—Day 1 6:45-9:30 Dinner with speakers and Forum members and continuing discussion of Day 1 DAY 2: DECEMBER 5, 2007 8:30-9:00 Continental breakfast 9:00-9:15 Summary of Day 1 Margaret “Peggy” Hamburg, M.D. Vice Chair Forum on Microbial Threats Session III Scientific, Technological, and Policy Considerations Related to Prediction and Intervention in Vector- and Non-Vector-Borne Disease Outbreaks and Integration Strategies Moderator: Patrick Fitch, Ph.D., National Biodefense Analysis and Countermeasures Center 9:15-9:45 The use of historical data sets in understanding ecosystem responses to climate change and the importance of long-term monitoring programs: drought Rodolfo Acuña-Soto, M.D. Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico

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248 GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE AND EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS 9:45-10:15 Can on-the-ground monitoring of wildlife help detect the impacts of climate and environmental change on infectious disease epidemiology? William Karesh, D.V.M. Wildlife Conservation Society 10:15-10:30 Break 10:30-11:00 Marine environment Rita Colwell, Ph.D. University of Maryland 11:00-11:30 Use of remote sensing for detecting the impacts of climate and environmental change on infectious disease epidemiology ��������������������������� Compton James Tucker, Ph.D. NASA Goddard Space Flight Center 11:30-12:00 The use of satellite-generated meteorological data to predict mosquito-borne encephalitis transmission ������������������������ William K. Reisen, Ph.D. University of California, Davis 12:00-12:45 Open discussion of Session III 12:45-1:30 Lunch and continuation of Day 2 discussion Session IV The International Public Health and Foreign Policy Implications of Drought, Flooding, and Extreme Weather Events on the Emergence and Spread of Infectious Diseases Moderator: David Relman, M.D., Stanford University 1:30-2:00 Implications for international public health policy Diarmid Campbell-Lendrum, Ph.D. World Health Organization 2:00-2:30 Influences of migration and population mobility Douglas W. MacPherson, M.D. McMaster University

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APPENDIX A 249 2:30-3:00 Global climate change: impacts on national security ��������������������������������������� Maj. Gen. Richard L. Engel, USAF (Ret.) National Intelligence Council 3:00-3:30 Open discussion of Session IV 3:30-4:00 Wrap-up 4:00 Adjourn