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Liquid Transportation Fuels from Coal and Biomass: Technological Status, Costs, and Environmental Impacts (2009)
National Academy of Sciences (NAS)
National Academy of Engineering (NAE)
National Research Council (NRC)

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Prepublication Copy—Subject to Further Editorial Correction 3 Biochemical Conversion of Biomass INTRODUCTION This chapter focuses on the biochemical conversion of biomass to liquid transportation fuels. It addresses the questions raised in the statement of task related to the application of biochemical conversion to the production of alternative liquid transportation fuels from biomass by discussing the following: • The technology alternatives for converting biomass to liquid transportation fuels. • The status of development of biochemical conversion of lignocellulosic biomass to ethanol. • The projected costs, performance, environmental impact, and barriers to deployment of biochemical conversion of lignocellulosic biomass to ethanol. • Challenges and needs in research and development (R&D), including basic- research needs for the long term. • Other technologies for converting biomass to liquid fuels that are not likely to be ready for commercial deployment before 2020. TECHNOLOGY ALTERNATIVES Liquid fuels can be derived from biomass through biochemical processing, chemical catalysis, or thermochemical conversion. Biochemical conversion and chemical conversion typically transform the biomass into sugars as intermediates. In contrast, thermochemical conversion uses heat to convert the biomass into building blocks, such as carbon monoxide (CO) and hydrogen (H2), which can be used for the synthesis of fuels (Figure 3-1). Other thermochemical conversion processes include pyrolysis and liquefaction. 90

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Prepublication Copy—Subject to Further Editorial Correction Biochemical Conversion to Fuels Biochemical conversion uses enzymes to break down structural carbohydrates (for example, the cellulose1 and hemicellulose2 found in plant cell walls) into sugars, which are transformed into alcohols, organic acids, or hydrocarbons by microorganisms in fermentation. The conversions typically take place at atmospheric pressure and temperatures ranging from ambient to 70°C. Early ethanol production technology based on biochemical conversion of sugar and starch has been deployed commercially. In that technology, ethanol is produced when wild-type yeast ferments six-carbon sugars. Sugar can be obtained directly from sugarcane (Brazil) and sugar beets (Europe) or indirectly from the hydrolysis of starch- based grains, such as corn (United States) and wheat (Canada and Europe). In the latter case, the starch feedstock needs to be ground to a meal that is hydrolyzed to glucose by enzymes. The resulting mash is fermented by natural yeast and bacteria. Finally, the fermented mash is separated into ethanol and residues (for feed production) via distillation and dehydration (Figure 3-2). Corn grain is the major source of ethanol in the United States, and its potential for growth is defined by production efficiencies, food-vs-fuel debates, and the question of sustainability and carbon footprint. Developments aimed at future processes are targeting cellulose conversions that could address those issues by providing a growth potential, a low carbon footprint, and sustainability. The infrastructure that was established by the corn grain ethanol industry will benefit the future cellulosic-ethanol industry because the use of ethanol as a transportation fuel has been proved to be feasible, a distribution system exists, and automobiles with internal-combustion engines that use ethanol efficiently are on the road. Recent analyses of the full life cycle of corn grain ethanol have indicated that it provides society with small net energy gains over the fossil energy needed to produce it (Farrell et al., 2006; Hill et al., 2006) and might lead to only small net greenhouse-gas advantages (Farrell et al., 2006; Hill et al., 2006; Fargione et al., 2008; Searchinger et al., 2008) or might release more greenhouse gas than do production and combustion of an energetically equivalent amount of gasoline once direct and indirect land-use changes are taken into account (Fargione et al., 2008; Searchinger et al., 2008). Issues with corn grain ethanol have led to increased interest in second-generation biofuel feedstocks—including switchgrass, Miscanthus, hybrid poplar, and the other lignocellulosic feedstocks—and in conversion methods that potentially can make biofuels that, relative to corn ethanol, offer larger energy gains and greenhouse-gas benefits and reduced competition with food crops. The development of biofuels needs to move toward conversion of lignocellulosic materials (so-called second-generation biofuels) that are unused agricultural or forestry residues, agricultural cover crops, dedicated perennial crops grown on marginal lands that are not suitable for commodity-crop production even with high commodity prices, or municipal solid wastes. The need to move away from corn grain ethanol is highlighted by the renewable fuel standard (RFS) as amended in the 2007 Energy Independence and Security Act. The RFS mandates that production of ethanol from corn grain level off 1 A complex carbohydrate, (C6H10O5)n, that forms cell walls of most plants. 2 A matrix of polysaccharides present in almost all plant cell walls with cellulose. 91

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Prepublication Copy—Subject to Further Editorial Correction from 2008 to 2015 and that production of cellulosic and other advanced biofuels to increase from 2008 to 2020. The key differences in production between grain ethanol and cellulosic ethanol are the pretreatment of the biomass and the use of byproducts (Figure 3-2). This chapter focuses on the conceptual design, conversion technologies, and economics of the biochemical conversion of cellulosic biomass to ethanol. It will also discuss other technologies to produce advanced biofuels that use nonfood renewable feedstocks. The other technologies could produce fuels more desirable than ethanol—for example, lipids, higher alcohols, hydrocarbons, and other products that can be separated by low-energy distillation. New routes of biochemical conversion of biomass to liquid fuels will probably encounter complications as they are being developed and scaled up; these issues will have to be addressed in a continuous R&D program. Chemical Conversion to Fuels In contrast with biochemical conversion, chemical conversion uses inorganic catalysts in a series of aqueous-phase reactions to convert sugars to hydrocarbons that can be used as fuels. It is a developing technology that will not be ready for commercial deployment by 2020, but it will be discussed later in this chapter. Thermochemical Conversion to Fuels In what is currently the most developed thermochemical route, biomass is initially converted into CO and H2 via gasification. The gas stream can be cleaned of impurities and shifted to the needed H2:CO ratio, and CO2 can be removed to produce a gas stream that can be catalytically converted to liquid fuels by several routes, including Fischer- Tropsch (FT) and methanol synthesis followed by methanol-to-gasoline (MTG) conversion. Thermochemical conversion is discussed in Chapter 4. Other thermochemical conversion routes involve production of bio-oil by pyrolysis or liquefaction and refinement of the bio-oil (Huber et al., 2006); this technology is not as well developed as FT or MTG. BIOCHEMICAL CONVERSION OF CELLULOSIC BIOMASS This section discusses the biochemical processes for converting cellulosic biomass to ethanol in a biorefinery. The processes discussed here occur at the end of the supply chain, when the biomass has been delivered to the biorefinery (Figure 3-3). The process economies are those within the biorefinery. Process Overview The biochemical conversion of cellulosic biomass involves six major steps: feedstock preparation, pretreatment to release cellulose from the lignin shield, 92

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Prepublication Copy—Subject to Further Editorial Correction saccharification (breaking down of the cellulose and hemicellulose by hydrolysis to sugars, such as glucose and xylose), fermentation of sugar to ethanol, and distillation to separate the ethanol from the dilute aqueous solution (Figure 3-4). The residues, primarily lignin, can be combusted to provide energy (Figure 3-4). The integration of those steps with each other and with the living microorganisms and enzymes that carry out the catalytic conversions in a biorefinery is essential to the development of cost- effective processes. Feedstock Preparation Some feedstocks have to be washed to remove inorganic and other undesirable materials before pretreatment. Whether washing is needed depends on the source and the manner of storage before the feedstock is delivered to the conversion facility. The biomass is then chopped or ground to the desirable size range to feed into the pretreatment stage. The extent of grinding and size reduction will depend on the type of biomass and the pretreatment technology being used. Cellulosic feedstock can be chopped or ground with existing forestry or agricultural techniques. Pretreatment Producing fuel ethanol from lignocellulosic feedstocks has been challenging because of the recalcitrant nature of the cellulose that is embedded in the plant cell-wall structure. Therefore, pretreatment is a key step in production of cellulosic ethanol. Pretreatment greatly increases the rates and extents of enzyme action in breaking down cellulose to fermentable sugars (Ladisch et al., 1978) by improving the accessibility of the structural carbohydrates in the cell wall (Figure 3-5). Yields of fermentable sugars from untreated native lignocellulosic materials are low because of the highly packed cellulose structure and the presence of hemicellulose and lignin, which shield cellulose from acid or enzymatic hydrolysis. Maximizing the use of all lignocellulosic material that is capable of yielding simple (six- and five-carbon) sugars is essential for improving ethanol yield and lowering the cost of ethanol production. Hence, pretreatment of lignocellulosic material is required to improve the hydrolytic efficiency of cellulose by removing and hydrolyzing hemicellulose, by separating the cellulose from the lignin, and by loosening the structure of cellulose and thereby increasing its porosity. The pretreatment of lignocellulosics is particularly important for enzymatic hydrolysis to reduce the amount of enzyme and the time required to convert cellulose to glucose. Among the various pretreatment methods, hydrothermolysis with steam or water has been shown to be effective in removing and solubilizing hemicellulose and thus in improving hydrolytic efficiency (Mosier et al., 2005; Wyman et al., 2005a; Wyman et al., 2005b). Hot-water pretreatment of lignocellulosic biomass at a controlled pH effectively dissolves hemicellulose and some of the lignin and minimizes the formation of monosaccharides and other coproducts that could interfere with biological processes downstream (Yang and Wyman, 2008). For example, monosaccharides inhibit cellulase 93

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Prepublication Copy—Subject to Further Editorial Correction in the hydrolysis of cellulose downstream. The sugars could degrade further to form such toxic substances as furfural during the pretreatment step (Ladisch et al., 1998; Kim and Ladisch, 2008; Hendriks and Zeeman, 2009). Other pretreatments are similarly effective, and they use acid, bases, ammonia, or other materials (Mosier et al., 2005; Jorgensen et al., 2007; Murnen et al., 2007; Sendich et al., 2008; Yang and Wyman, 2008; Hendriks and Zeeman, 2009). Several of the promising pretreatment methods have been demonstrated on a pilot scale, but the lowest-cost approach is yet to be determined. Saccharification In the saccharification step, the cellulose polymers (long chains of sugar) are broken down by hydrolysis into five-carbon and six-carbon sugars (xylose and glucose) for fermentation into alcohol (Figure 3-6). The enzymes used for hydrolysis are referred to as cellulolytic enzymes, and they are classified into three main groups: cellobiohydrolases, endoglucanases, and beta-glucosidases. The cellobiohydrolases and endoglucanases are modular proteins with two distinct independent domains; the first domain is responsible for the hydrolysis of the cellulose chain, and the second is a cellulose-binding domain (CBD) that has the dual activity of increasing adsorption of cellulolytic enzymes onto insoluble cellulose and affecting cellulose structure. A schematic of the action is shown in Figure 3-7. By intercalating between fibrils and surface irregularities of the cellulose surface, CBDs help to reduce particle size and increase specific surface area. Microscopy of cellulose treated with isolated CBDs generated from recombinant organisms has shown the release of small particles from insoluble cellulose with no detectable hydrolytic activity and an increase in the roughness of highly crystalline fibers. The cellobiohydrolases are the most important cellulolytic enzyme group in that cellobiohydrolase I makes up 60 percent of the protein mass of the cellulolytic system of Trichoderma reesei, and its removal by gene deletion reduces overall cellulase system activity on crystalline cellulose by 70 percent. The concerted effects of pretreatment and enzymatic hydrolysis affect the plant at the cellular level as illustrated in Figure 3-8. According to the prevailing understanding, cellobiohydrolases attack the chain ends of cellulose polymers to release cellobiose, the repeat unit of cellulose. Endoglucanases decrease the degree of polymerization of cellulose by attacking amorphous regions of cellulose through random scission of the cellulose chains. Beta-glucosidase completes the process by hydrolyzing cellobiose to glucose. Cellulolytic systems, such as those in filamentaous T. reesei, have enzymes in all three groups: two cellobiohydrolases, four endoglucanases, and one beta-glucosidase (Mosier et al., 1999). The mechanism by which cellulolytic enzymes act in hydrolyzing cellulose is complex and requires a system of different enzymes to achieve deploymerization of the oligosaccharides to monosaccharides, such as glucose and xylose. Most studies have been done with cellulases, which are produced industrially from T. reesei. The development of the cellulases has resulted in effective systems that are capable of hydrolyzing cellulose to glucose almost completely. Similar studies are being done on hemicellulases, enzymes that are responsible for breaking down hemicellulose to xylose. Hemicellulases are not as well developed as cellulases. 94

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Prepublication Copy—Subject to Further Editorial Correction Despite the complexities, much progress has occurred in the development of enzymes for the hydrolysis of pretreated cellulose. Costs are being reduced, with the ultimate goal of combining cellulases with glucose- and xylose-fermenting microorganisms in a concept referred to as consolidated bioprocessing (Lynd et al., 2005). Hydrolysis and fermentation (combined bioprocessing) are being demonstrated on a pilot scale with the goal of reducing costs. Fermentation Pretreatment and enzymatic hydrolysis of plant matter—such as wood, corn stover, or grasses—result in a mixture of five-carbon and six-carbon sugars. Many microorganisms, particularly yeasts, will ferment glucose to ethanol. Typically, however, 25-30 percent of the sugar derived from likely candidates as cellulosic feedstocks for bioprocessing (for example, hardwoods, agricultural residues, and some types of grasses) are pentoses—sugars that have five carbon atoms rather than six carbon atoms. Other potential sources of biomass, such as softwoods, have a lower proportion of hemicelluloses and hence less pentoses. Pentoses are not readily fermented to ethanol, so yeasts or bacteria that have been genetically modified to ferment both hexoses (six- carbon sugars) and pentoses are needed to maximize the yield of ethanol from cellulosic materials. Some researchers have been successful in engineering microorganism that are able to use pentose efficiently but cannot do so naturally to produce ethanol. An alternative would be to supply ethanol-producing microorganisms with pentose-using pathways (Nevoigt, 2008). Development of such microorganisms presents a number of challenges. They have to be capable of fermenting the sugars to ethanol, and they have to be sufficiently robust to withstand antimicrobial agents released by the pretreatment and hydrolysis of the lignocellulose and to withstand relatively high alcohol concentrations. The glucose and xylose that result from the saccharification step are fermented into ethanol by microorganisms. Traditionally, fermentation is a separate step from saccharification. As noted above, the ideal development would be organisms that could do both simultaneously. Although Saccharomyces cerevisiae (wild-type yeast) has been used for fermentation in ethanol production from corn grain, it cannot ferment xylose sugars obtained from lignocellulose unless it is genetically modified (Sonderegger et al., 2004). Organisms that ferment xylose and glucose have been developed through metabolic engineering (Aristidou and Penttila, 2000). The composition of the biomass feedstock determines the amount of ethanol that can be produced per ton of biomass (Table 3-1). The ultimate yield is determined by the maximum yield of sugars that can be obtained from a given biomass type, and the yield of sugars is determined by the combined starch, cellulose, and hemicelluloses content of the biomass. The ethanol yield can range from 105 to 135 gal/ton (on a dry-weight basis) if all bioprocessing steps occur at 100 percent efficiency, that is, all the structural carbohydrates—starch, cellulose, and hemicelluloses—are used to produce ethanol (Table 3-1). Because the efficiency is typically less than 100 percent—ranging from about 95 percent overall for a corn-grain-to-ethanol plant to 50 percent with some current cellulose-conversion technologies—the actual yields are substantially lower. Ethanol yields can be improved with a combination of advanced pretreatments and enzymes to 95

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Prepublication Copy—Subject to Further Editorial Correction improve cellulose-conversion efficiency and with the application of fermenting microorganisms that are able to convert glucose, xylose, and other pentoses to ethanol (Wyman et al., 2005a). Cellulolytic enzymes are subject to product inhibition in which the rate of an enzymatic reaction is inhibited by the end products of the reaction (Gong et al., 1977; Gong et al., 1979; Ladisch et al., 1981). Some work has been done on process strategies and modified enzymes to reduce that inhibition, but more is needed. Simultaneous saccharification, in which the enzyme and the microorganism are used in the same tank, could enable reduced enzyme use because the reaction is not inhibited by the product of enzymatic action, glucose or cellobiose (Gauss et al., 1976; Takagi et al., 1977; Wright et al., 1977; Saddler et al., 1982a; Saddler et al., 1982b; Wyman et al., 1986; Spindler et al., 1987; Lynd et al., 2002). The ethanol product that is formed also inhibits enzymatic activity but to a smaller extent than glucose and cellobiose. The reduction in inhibition allows the reaction to proceed to the final desired product—ethanol in this case—more rapidly. TABLE 3-1 Compositions of Corn Grain, Corn Cob, Corn Stover, and Poplar Graina Cobb Stoverc Poplarc Type of Material Starch 071.7% n/m n/m 000n/m Cellulose 002.4% 042.0% 36.0% 040.3% Hemicellulose 005.5% 033.0% 26.0% 22.0% Protein 010.3% n/m 005.0% n/m Oil 00.43% n/m n/m n/m Lignin 000.2% 18.0% 19.0% 23.7% Ash 001.4% 1.5% 12.0% 0.6% Other 004.2% 5.5% 2.0% 13.4% Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% Maximum yield of monosaccharides (lb/ton 0.1,778 0.1,684 001,392 0.1,396 with 100% efficiency) Calculated best-case ethanol yield (gal/ton with 100% 000135 000128 105 000106 efficiency) Dry weight d 00.52% 10% 0.48% .0052% a Gulati et al., 1996. b Corn-cob composition measured at Laboratory of Renewable Resources Engineering, Purdue University. c DOE, 2007a. d Pordesimo et al., 2005. Absolute weight of corn grain is based on corn grain data provided by the U.S. Department of Agriculture National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS, 2005), which were used for calculation of ethanol yields. Absolute weights of corn cob and corn stover are derived from the given weight percentages based on the absolute weight of corn grain. Note: n/m, not measured. SOURCE: Adapted from Schwietzke et al. (2008b). 96

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Prepublication Copy—Subject to Further Editorial Correction Distillation The ethanol solution from the fermentation step is distilled to produce 95 percent ethanol. Ethanol is further dried with molecular sieves to produce the required purity. The distillation requires large quantities of energy (Katzen et al., 1981; Shapouri et al., 2002). Distillation of ethanol is a well-established technology and is used in commercial corn grain ethanol plants. However, recovery of solids will require improved engineering design. Combustion of Residual Solids The bottoms from distillation are centrifuged to concentrate them. Solids from other portions of the process might also be added. The residual solids are rich in lignin and can be burned in a boiler to generate steam and electricity for the biorefinery. Pathways of using lignin as a fuel with low carbon emission are well defined. Current Status A substantial amount of ethanol has been produced in the United States since the 1970s, and the feedstock of choice has been corn grain. The process of producing ethanol from corn grain has been steadily improved in efficiency, and costs have been greatly reduced. The process can be considered fully commercial, well understood, and optimized. There were over 130 corn grain ethanol plants in the United States in 2008. In contrast, there are no large-scale commercial cellulosic-ethanol plants, although many of the components are in pilot demonstration. In February 2008, the Department of Energy announced that it would invest up to $385 million for six biorefinery projects over 4 years to bring cellulosic ethanol to market (DOE, 2007b), and a number of private companies are actively pursuing pilot demonstration of integrated cellulosic plants, which could lead to commercial-scale demonstrations and eventual deployment of cellulosic- ethanol plants. If the current effort in development and demonstration of cellulosic ethanol is sustained or accelerated, cellulosic-ethanol plants could be ready for commercial demonstration in the next 3-5 years, and the first plant could be built by 2015. Technical Challenges As discussed above, the key issues associated with cellulosic ethanol are related to the ability to develop enzymes and microorganisms that can break cellulose bundles and depolymerize cellulose and hemicellulose to produce soluble sugars and the ability to produce the enzymes and microorganisms at a reasonable cost. Microorganisms capable of fermenting five-carbon and six-carbon sugars in a separate steps are available, and their performance is rapidly being proved in the laboratory. The challenge will be to demonstrate their robustness under industrial conditions. A longer-term challenge 97

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Prepublication Copy—Subject to Further Editorial Correction involves development of microorganisms and enzymes that can break down cellulose structures, depolymerize them to sugars, and ferment the sugars in the same vessel. If hydrolysis and fermentation are to be carried out separately, the development of microorganisms that can withstand and ferment sugars at higher temperatures would provide opportunities to increase the rate of fermentation and reduce the need for cooling the fermentation itself. The amount of energy that would be required to heat the broth to distillation temperature would also be reduced. Research, Development, and Demonstration One research gap is in understanding of the molecular biology of the plants that provide the feedstock and of the microorganisms that provide the biocatalysts and enzymes for transforming the feedstocks into ethanol and other biofuels. Fundamental studies on the structure and function of the enzymes that catalyze the breakdown of cellulosic components to fermentable sugars are key to improving the rates at which the enzymes operate and to reducing product inhibition. The nature and chemical structure of inhibitors and how they interact with the active catalytic sites of the enzymes need to be defined so that strategies to mitigate the inhibition can be developed at the catalytic level or through engineering approaches to remove the inhibitors by bioseparation. Another research gap is in the fundamental understanding of how the plant cell- wall structure resists enzyme attack. Genomic studies could provide insights into how lignin (the key agent in resistance of the cell wall to enzymatic conversion) might be modified at the molecular level to enable facile transformation but retain the properties that provide resistance to pathogens. The molecular biology and metabolic pathways involved in directing the flow of carbon into ethanol or other advanced biofuels and the manner in which modified bacteria and other microorganisms are able to break down cellulose are also important topics. Research will help to reduce enzyme costs, a major component of cellulose-conversion costs. Research on pretreatments that exploit the knowledge gained and biochemical engineering that will define design principles of low- cost manufacturing through enzyme-catalyzed reactions, thermal processing, fermentation, and advanced bioseparation needs to be pursued. The fundamental research would also address how temperature, pressure, and pretreatment media interact at the microscopic and macroscopic levels so that plant cells are readily attacked by biological or chemical catalysts. COST AND PERFORMANCE Prior Work The corn grain ethanol plants have created an industry, and they provide a basis for estimating some of the capital and operating costs of cellulosic-ethanol plants. Several key studies also provide information on and analysis of the design and performance of cellulosic-ethanol plants (Aden et al., 2002; Johnson, 2006; Kwiatkowski et al., 2006; Kim et al., 2008). 98

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Prepublication Copy—Subject to Further Editorial Correction Modeling On the basis of experience gained from corn-ethanol plants, published studies, and its own expertise, the panel used SuperPro Designer to estimate the capital and operating costs of ethanol-production plants (Intelligen, 2009). SuperPro Designer is a chemical-process simulation software that contains a set of unit operations that can be customized to the specific modeling needs of the corn grain-to-ethanol and cellulosic biomass-to-ethanol processes. It has a well-developed economic-evaluation package, which includes an extensive database of chemical components and mixtures, extensive equipment and resource databases, equipment sizing and costing information, and economic-evaluation parameters—such as financing, depreciation, running royalty expenses, inflation rate, and taxes—for cost estimates. A grain-ethanol plant was used as the baseline to validate the model and input parameter values. Once validated, the model was applied to estimate capital and operating costs for cellulosic-ethanol production. Most of the unit operations for cellulosic-ethanol production are similar to those for grain-ethanol production. The panel decided to develop its own model for cost estimates. The process-flow diagram used for the panel’s modeling is shown in Figure 3-9. The panel conducted three sets of analyses with the cellulosic-ethanol plant model. First, it assessed the sensitivity of the capital and manufacturing cost estimates with respect to such process parameters as enzyme cost, types of feedstock, plant size, solids loading, and yields in the pretreatment, hydrolysis, and fermentation steps. The results are presented in the form of process cost estimates for three scenarios representing the most pessimistic with little advancement in technologies or process efficiencies from where they are today (2008) to reduce costs (low), reasonable advancement (medium), and the most optimistic (high) in terms of technology and process improvement. Second, the panel assessed the sensitivity of operating costs to different types of feedstock. As mentioned earlier, process efficiency depends on feedstock composition. Assuming reasonable advancement in process technologies (that is, using the medium case), the panel compared the costs of ethanol produced from different biomass alternatives. Third, the panel assessed whether and how the capital and operating costs of a cellulosic-ethanol plant vary with size; in this analysis, the panel used the medium case to estimate costs and assumed that plants of different size used poplar chips as a feedstock. Design criteria The panel used a biorefinery with a capacity of 40 million gallons of ethanol per year as the basis of its calculations and assessed the effect of biorefinery size later. The capacity was used because it is comparable with that of grain-ethanol plants, matches well previous studies and current cellulosic-ethanol projects in the planning stage, and could serve well geographic areas that have a lower concentration of biomass. The distribution of biomass could pose a limit on the volumes that could be economically supplied to a biorefinery in some areas, and transportation of large volumes of biomass over a long distance could be expensive and consume more fossil fuel (see Chapter 2). Producing 40 million gallons of ethanol per year with a fermentor effluent concentration of 4-5 percent ethanol by weight requires nine fermentors, each of which 99

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Prepublication Copy—Subject to Further Editorial Correction has a capacity of 800,000 gal if a fermentation time of 72 h is assumed. The 800,000-gal capacity of the fermentors was selected on the basis of typical industry practice. The runtime was assumed to be 80 h/batch. The current analysis is based on an output of 40 million gallons per year. Further economic benefits as a result of scale will be realized as the technologies develop and larger plants are constructed. In the model, each fermentor has a train of pretreatment and saccharification tanks that work in batch mode. Each train supplies its own fermentor, thereby avoiding the need for holding tanks for intermediate storage and minimizing the potential for fouling the saccharified mash. The pretreatment unit, saccharification tank, and fermentor, therefore, scale linearly with the size of the plant. Other units—such as distillation, centrifugation, shredding, drum drying, and boiler and steam generator—operate continuously. The continuously operating units were sized so that they can supply and process the contents of a single fermentor over a period equal to t/N, where t is the duration of each batch, and N is the number of processing units. Because the fermentations are staggered for efficient loading and emptying, overall batch time is set at 80 h, which is the time required for cycling the full set of eight to 10 fermentors. Although fermentations operate in batch mode, using multiple vessels enables a staged operation so that the upstream processing, including pretreatment, can be carried out continuously. The major process determinants that affect the size and operation of a plant are • Yield in saccharification, • Yield in pretreatment, • Fermentation time and yield and • Solids loading. With the exception of fermentation time, which was set at 72 h for all simulations, the parameters listed above were varied with the ranges indicated in Table 3-2 representing low, medium, and high performance scenarios. Once those parameters were defined, the design of the various units, the sizing, and cost calculations were automatically handled by SuperPro Designer. Details of the modeling and analyses are presented in Appendix I. TABLE 3-2 Assumptions for Low, Medium, and High Performance Cases Variable Low Medium High Size of reactors 800,000 gal 800,000 gal 800,000 gal Solids loading for fermentation 18% 21% 25% and hydrolysis Pretreatment yield 80% 85% 95% Saccharification extent 90% 95% 95% Fermentation glucose 85% 90% 90% Fermentation xylose 75% 81% 81% Cellulose cost $0.40/gal $0.25/gal $0.10/gal Cost of biomass (wet weight) $44/ton $35/ton $25/ton Cost of biomassa (dry weight) $88/ton $70/ton $50/ton a Biomass costs in this table are used as illustrations and do not represent the range of costs estimated by the panel. 100

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Prepublication Copy—Subject to Further Editorial Correction potential and are receiving renewed interest (Savage, 2007). The approaches being taken include using well-established recombinant-DNA techniques to insert genes into microorganisms to make specific fuel precursors or even direct synthesis of hydrocarbon fuel components. Another approach involves redesigning genes with computer assistance to perform specific reactions and then synthesizing the desired genes for insertion into microorganisms. Yeasts can also be engineered to produce larger amounts of lipids, which with additional metabolic engineering can be converted to useful products, potentially fuels. That work has not progressed as far as the work on bacteria. Those techniques might make it possible to modify bacteria to produce and excrete specific hydrocarbon molecules that have desired fuel or other chemical properties. Microorgaisms that produce and excrete specific hydrocarbons minimize the costs of energy-consuming separation, although developing organisms that excrete the fuel products is a major challenge in that most synthesis products, including hydrocarbons, accumulate in the cell. No specific processes can be considered to be approaching commercial production at this point, but the magnitude of activity and the current rate of progress could change that in the not-too-distant-future. Several companies are using synthetic biology to produce bacteria that make increased amounts of fatty acids or other lipids that are then converted to hydrocarbons and excreted. The bacteria make and excrete hydrocarbons of any desired length and structure. The phase-separation of hydrocarbons from the growth medium, markedly reducing separation costs. The feedstock for the bacteria is renewable sugars, which can be obtained from sugar cane or grain or from cellulosic biomass (LS9, 2008). It is difficult to project future developments. Some companies are producing fuels, but projected costs of fuels have not been reported (Service, 2008). Technologies to Improve Biochemical Conversion Important advances are being made in genomics, molecular breeding, synthetic biology, and metabolic and bioprocess engineering that will probably enable discontinuous innovation and advancement in alternative transportation fuels. Those advances and related technologies have the potential to accelerate the creation of dedicated or dual-purpose energy crops and microorganisms that can be used for both biofuel production and feedstock conversion. Genomics The sequencing of full genomes continues to become faster and less expensive, and this is enabling the sequencing of energy crops, such as trees, perennial grasses, and such nonedible oilseeds as castor and jatropha. Their sequence data are extremely important for improving overall yields, for enabling improved nutrient and water use, and for understanding and manipulating biochemical pathways to enhance the production of desired materials. Sequence data can also be used to target specific genes for downregulation by classical methods, such as antisense and RNA interference, and via complete inactivation with new and evolving procedures for homologous recombination- 114

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Prepublication Copy—Subject to Further Editorial Correction based gene disruption. Rapid sequencing of breeding populations of energy crops will enable marker-assisted selection to accelerate breeding programs in ways previously not possible. Furthermore, rapid and inexpensive sequencing of fermentative and photosynthetic microorganisms is redefining and shortening the timelines associated with strain-development programs for converting sugars, lignocellulosic materials, and CO2 to alternative liquid fuels. Strains generated through classical mutagenesis that have improved biocatalytic properties can now be analyzed at the molecular level to determine the specific genetic changes that result in the improved phenotype, and this allows the changes to be implemented in additional strains. In addition, “metagenome” sequence data obtained by randomly sequencing DNA isolated from environmental samples is providing huge numbers of new gene sequences that can be used in genetic engineering to improve crops and microorganisms. Synthetic Biology and Synthetic Genomics Improved technologies for synthesizing megabase DNA molecules are being developed to allow the introduction of entire biochemical pathways into energy crops and biofuel-producing microorganisms. The technologies could have a great effect on scientists’ ability to generate plants and microorganisms with specific desirable traits. For example, it is becoming conceivable to replace large portions of, or even complete, chromosomes of microorganisms (including photosynthetic microorganisms) in ways that will focus the vast majority of their cells’ biochemical machinery toward production of next-generation biofuel molecules and thus provide cost and product advantages. Maintaining the purity of such cultures and finding ways to disadvantage mutants that gain competitive ability by producing less of the desired secondary chemicals could be serious hurdles. Metabolic and Bioprocess Engineering In addition to genetic manipulation, new bioengineering technologies that will lower the cost of biofuel formation and recovery are coming on line. Synthetic biology can now provide synthetic DNA for transferring heterologous genes into suitable host cells, but metabolic engineering is the enabling technology for constructing functional and optimal pathways for microbial fuel synthesis. This field has matured in only a few years and has an impressive record of accomplishments, many already being applied in industry (for example, in the production of biopolymers, alcohols, 1,3-propanediol, oils, and hydrocarbons). Microbial strains that secrete hydrophobic fuels that are similar to constituents of diesel fuel and gasoline into the culture medium have been developed. The fuels can be separated from the aqueous phase in a manner that simplifies distillation and thereby reduces energy inputs and facilitates continuous production. By taking a systems view of metabolism, metabolic engineering developed tools for overall biosystems optimization that are now facilitating the optimal construction of biosynthetic pathways and elicitation of novel multigenic cellular properties of critical importance for biofuels production, such as tolerance of fuel toxicity. In the bioprocessing sphere, the 115

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Prepublication Copy—Subject to Further Editorial Correction successful development of membrane-based alcohol separation would greatly reduce energy costs relative to the typically used distillation process (Vane, 2008). Gas- stripping, liquid-liquid extractions of secreted fuel molecules or new adsorbent materials that will allow continuous production modes for fermentation-based products are also being developed (Vane, 2008). For photosynthetic production of biofuels, the development of low-cost photobioreactors and associated recovery systems for algal biofuel production is of great interest and could have substantial beneficial effects on overall process economics. FINDINGS AND RECOMMENDATIONS Grain-based ethanol is a bridge to advanced biofuels that has important potential for greenhouse-gas displacement. Advanced biofuels do not directly compete with food and feed supply, and they minimize indirect land-use change if appropriate feedstocks are selected and sustainable practices are used in their production. Grain ethanol has initiated public awareness of the use of ethanol in the current and future transportation fleet and of the pitfalls of feedstock supply for a new industry. Grain ethanol has helped to establish an industrial infrastructure for advanced biofuels and for distribution and use of fuel ethanol. Lignocellulosic feedstocks for production of advanced biofuels could be agricultural or forestry residues, agricultural cover crops, dedicated perennial crops grown on marginal lands that are not suitable for commodity-crop production even with high commodity prices, or municipal solid wastes. Biochemical conversion of cellulose to liquid fuels emulates commercial corn grain-to-ethanol technology but might require additional processing steps and could result in other types of alcohols and hydrocarbon- rich fuels. The technologies for biochemical conversion of cellulosic biomass to ethanol are in the early stages of demonstration and commercial development. Several demonstration plants are expected to be operational by 2012. The panel judges that cellulosic bioethanol will be commercially deployable before 2020, and other advanced biofuels are likely to emerge after 2020. Finding 3-1 Engineering and operational knowledge can be gained only from designing and building commercial-scale, integrated cellulosic-ethanol facilities and then operating them for a reasonable period. The first few commercial plants will be more expensive than commercial facilities that follow because of the learning that occurs with a first-of- its-kind facility. The initial learning that occurs with first-of-a-kind plants will lead to further cost-reducing improvements in commercial facilities deployed thereafter. The pace of learning is expected to be similar to that in the chemical industry, in which costs have historically decreased by 30-40 percent over several cycles of deployment and concurrent process improvement. 116

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Prepublication Copy—Subject to Further Editorial Correction Recommendation 3-1 The federal government and industry should aggressively pursue technology demonstration or small-scale commercial plants, which will lead to full-scale commercial production of cellulosic ethanol to define its potential and to provide data on engineering and cost performance to help in preparation for full commercial deployment. In the immediate term, pretreatment and enzymatic hydrolysis, fermentation, or combined enzymatic hydrolysis and fermentation need to be substantially improved to allow efficient deconstruction of carbohydrate polymers to simple sugars and fermentation of the sugars to ethanol. Research in and improvement of pretreatment, with engineering of appropriate microorganisms for optimal use of the resulting simple sugars in an adverse fermentation environment, will have a direct impact on reducing the cost of transforming cellulosic feedstocks to ethanol. The cost of producing sugars directly affects the cost of ethanol. In addition, the sugars have to be converted to ethanol efficiently to minimize feedstock and operational costs. Feedstock, pretreatment, and enzymes are key components of a cellulose-to- ethanol process, and they are all related to the goal of preparing lignocellulosic feedstocks (through agronomics, plant molecular genetics, and pretreatment) so that they are readily transformed to sugars and ethanol at low cost. Other targets for improvement include increasing solids loading and developing engineered microorganisms and enzymes that have increased tolerance of toxic compounds in biomass hydrolysates and of the biofuel products themselves. Incremental improvements in biochemical conversion technologies and the learning and experience gained from R&D and demonstration can be expected to reduce nonfeedstock processing costs by 25 percent by 2020 and 40 percent by 2035 (see Table 3-3). Finding 3-2: Process improvements in cellulosic-ethanol technology are expected to be able to reduce the plant-related costs associated with ethanol production by up to 40 percent over the next 25 years. Over the next decade, process improvements and cost reductions are expected to come from evolutionary developments in technology, from learning gained through commercial experience and increases in scale of operation, and from research and engineering in advanced chemical and biochemical catalysts that will enable their deployment on a large scale. Recommendation 3-2 The federal government should continue to support research and development to advance cellulosic-ethanol technologies. R&D programs should be pursued to resolve the major technical challenges facing ethanol production from cellulosic biomasss: pretreatment, enzymes, tolerance to toxic compounds and products, solids loading, engineering microorganisms, and novel separations for ethanol and other biofuels. A long-term perspective on the design of the programs and allocation of limited resources is 117

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Prepublication Copy—Subject to Further Editorial Correction needed; high priority should be placed on programs that address current problems at a fundamental level but with visible industrial goals. Recommendation 3-3: The pilot and commercial-scale demonstrations of cellulosic-ethanol plants should be complemented by a closely coupled research and development program. R&D is necessary to resolve issues that are identified during demonstration and to reduce costs of sustainable feedstock acquisition. Industrial experience shows that such reductions typically occur as processes go through multiple phases of implementation and expansion. Finding 3-3: Future improvements in cellulosic technology that entail invention of biocatalysts and biological processes could produce fuels that supplement ethanol production in the next 15 years. In addition to ethanol, advanced biofuels (such as lipids, higher alcohols, hydrocarbons, and other products that are easier to separate than ethanol) should be investigated because they could have higher energy content and would be less hydroscopic than ethanol and therefore could fit more smoothly into the current petroleum infrastructure than ethanol. Recommendation 3-4: The federal government should ensure that there is adequate research support to focus advances in bioengineering and the expanding biotechnologies on developing advanced biofuels. The research should focus on advanced biosciences—genomics, molecular biology, and genetics—and biotechnologies that could convert biomass directly to produce lipids, higher alcohols, and hydrocarbons fuels that can be directly integrated into the existing transportation infrastructure. The translation of those technologies into large-scale commercial practice poses many challenges that need to be resolved by R&D and demonstration if major effects on production of alternative liquid fuels from renewable resources are to be realized. Finding 3-4: Biochemical conversion processes, as configured in cellulosic-ethanol plants, produce a stream of relatively pure CO2 from the fermentor that can be dried, compressed, and made ready for geologic storage or used in enhanced oil recovery with little additional cost. Geologic storage of the CO2 from biochemical conversion of plant matter (such as cellulosic biomass) further reduces greenhouse-gas life-cycle emissions from advanced biofuels, so their greenhouse-gas life-cycle emissions would become highly negative. 118

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Prepublication Copy—Subject to Further Editorial Correction Recommendations 3-5: Because geologic storage of CO2 from biochemical conversion of biomass to fuels could be important in reducing greenhouse-gas emissions in the transportation sector, it should be evaluated and demonstrated in parallel with the program of geologic storage of CO2 from coal-based fuels. 119

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