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Oceanography in 2025: Proceedings of a Workshop (2009)
Ocean Studies Board (OSB)

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124
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Oceanography in 2025: Proceedings of a Workshop

Research on Higher Trophic Levels

Daniel P. Costa,* Yann Tremblay, Sean Hayes


Our understanding of the mechanisms responsible for biophysical coupling in marine ecosystems has developed significantly over the last two decades, but is limited to the mechanisms that relate physical oceanographic processes to primary production and primary consumers (zooplankton). In contrast, our knowledge of the linkages between biology and physics of higher trophic levels remains quite descriptive at best. This is unfortunate because higher trophic level species are increasingly under threat of extinction along with a loss in marine biodiversity. This is occurring as we are becoming aware of the importance of upper trophic levels in structuring marine communities due to both their role as predators (Estes et al. 1998; Myers and Worm 2003) and as they transport nutrients across and within the water column (Smetacek and Cloern 2008).

As the first Census of Marine Life (CoML, www.coml.org) ends in 2010 we will have gained significant insights and developed new tools to study a wide variety of marine habitats, from the coastal margin to the deep sea. However, these studies were separated in space and time. Imagine what could be accomplished if this research was applied in an integrated manner, providing a seamless transition from the benthos through the water column to the intertidal. With measurements of the movement patterns of top predators coupled with the abundance of

*

University of California, Santa Cruz

Institut pour la Recherche et le Développement, France

Fisheries Ecology Division, Southwest Fisheries Science Center

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Front Matter (R1-R12)
Introduction and Goals--Linwood Vincent (1-2)
Integrated Oceanography in 2025--John J. Cullen (3-5)
Oceanography in 2028--Mark Abbott (6-10)
The Changing Relationship Between Humans and the Ocean--J. G. Bellingham (11-13)
Societal Implications for Ocean Research in 2025--Matthew Alford (14-16)
Oceanography in 2025: Responding to Growing Populations on a Rapidly Changing Planet--Scott Glenn (17-21)
Some Thoughts on Physical Oceanography in 2025--Ken Melville (22-25)
The Next-Generation Coupled Atmosphere-Wave-Ocean-Ice-Land Models for Ocean Research and Prediction--Shuyi S. Chen (26-27)
Science in Action, Episode 1: Exploring Boundaries--Meghan F. Cronin (28-30)
Real Time Decision Support Everywhere--Nathaniel G. Plant (31-35)
Trends in Oceanography: More Data, More People, More Relevance--J. Thomson (36-38)
Future Developments to Observational Physical Oceanography--Tom Sanford (39-42)
Prospects for Oceanography in 2025--Michael Gregg (43-45)
Oceanography in 2025--John Orcutt (46-48)
Thoughts on Oceanography in 2025--Daniel Rudnick (49-51)
The Role of Observations in the Future of Oceanography--Raffaele Ferrari (52-54)
The Future . . . One More Time--Rob Pinkel (55-57)
The Role of Acoustics in Ocean Observing Systems--Peter Worcester and Walter Munk (58-62)
Oceanography in 2025--Walter Munk (63-64)
Physical Oceanography in 2025--Chris Garrett (65-67)
A Vision of Future Physical Oceanography Research--James J. O'Brien (68-69)
Some Thoughts on Logistics, Mixing, and Power--J. N. Moum (70-72)
Ageostrophic Circulation in the Ocean--Peter Niiler (73-76)
The Future of Ocean Modeling--Sonya Legg, Alistair Adcroft, Whit Anderson, V. Balaji, John Dunne, Stephen Griffies, Robert Hallberg, Matthew Harrison, Isaac Held, Tony Rosati, Robbie Toggweiler, Geoff Vallis, and Laurent White (77-80)
Towards Nonhydrostatic Ocean Modeling with Large-eddy Simulation--Oliver B. Fringer (81-83)
Simulations of Marine Turbulence and Surface Waves: Potential Impacts of Petascale Technology--Peter P. Sullivan (84-88)
Computational Simulation and Submesoscale Variability--James C. McWilliams (89-91)
Ocean Measurements from Space in 2025--A. Freeman (92-97)
Future of Nearshore Processes Research--Rob Holman (98-100)
Future Directions in Nearshore Oceanography--H. Tuba Özkan-Haller (101-103)
Science Strategies for the Arctic Ocean--Mary-Louise Timmermans (104-106)
Submesoscale Variability of the Upper Ocean: Patchy and Episodic Fluxes Into and Through Biologically Active Layers--Daniel Rudnick, Mary Jane Perry, John J. Cullen, Bess Ward, and Kenneth S. Johnson (107-110)
Who's Blooming? Toward an Understanding of Why Certain Species Dominate Phytoplankton Blooms--Mary Jane Perry, Michael Sieracki, Bess Ward, and Alan Weidemann (111-114)
Understanding Phytoplankton Bloom Development--Bess Ward and Mary Jane Perry (115-117)
From Short Food Chains to Complex Interaction Webs: Biological Oceanography in 2025--Kelly J. Benoit-Bird (118-120)
The Interface Between Biological and Physical Processes--Mark Abbott (121-123)
Research on Higher Trophic Levels--Daniel P. Costa, Yann Tremblay, and Sean Hayes (124-129)
Marine Biogeochemistry in 2025--Kenneth S. Johnson (130-134)
Next-Generation Oceanographic Sensors for Short-Term Prediction/Verification of In-water Optical Conditions--Mark L. Wells (135-137)
Evolution of Autonomous Platform for Sustained Ocean Observations--Russ E. Davis (138-140)
Toward an Interdisciplinary Ocean Observing System in 2025--Eric D'Asaro (141-143)
Small Scale Ocean Dynamics in 2025--Jonathan Nash (144-145)
Oceanography in 2025--Dana R. Yoerger (146-149)
The Research Vessel Problem--J. N. Moum, Eric D'Asaro, Mary-Louise Timmermans, and Peter Niiler (150-152)
"Ocean Mapping" in 2025--Larry Mayer (153-156)
Seismic Oceanography: Imaging Oceanic Finestructure with Reflection Seismology--W. Steven Holbrook (157-162)
The Ocean Planet 2.0: A Vision for 2025--Justin Manley (163-165)
Force Projection Through the Littoral Zone: Optical Considerations--Kendall Carder (166-170)
Large Scale Phase-resolved Simulations of Ocean Surface Waves--Yuming Liu and Dick K.P. Yue (171-176)
Appendixes (177-178)
Appendix A: Workshop Agenda (179-180)
Appendix B: Workshop Participants (181-186)

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Oceanography in 2025: Proceedings of a Workshop Research on Higher Trophic Levels Daniel P. Costa,* Yann Tremblay,† Sean Hayes‡ Our understanding of the mechanisms responsible for biophysical coupling in marine ecosystems has developed significantly over the last two decades, but is limited to the mechanisms that relate physical oceanographic processes to primary production and primary consumers (zooplankton). In contrast, our knowledge of the linkages between biology and physics of higher trophic levels remains quite descriptive at best. This is unfortunate because higher trophic level species are increasingly under threat of extinction along with a loss in marine biodiversity. This is occurring as we are becoming aware of the importance of upper trophic levels in structuring marine communities due to both their role as predators (Estes et al. 1998; Myers and Worm 2003) and as they transport nutrients across and within the water column (Smetacek and Cloern 2008). As the first Census of Marine Life (CoML, www.coml.org) ends in 2010 we will have gained significant insights and developed new tools to study a wide variety of marine habitats, from the coastal margin to the deep sea. However, these studies were separated in space and time. Imagine what could be accomplished if this research was applied in an integrated manner, providing a seamless transition from the benthos through the water column to the intertidal. With measurements of the movement patterns of top predators coupled with the abundance of * University of California, Santa Cruz † Institut pour la Recherche et le Développement, France ‡ Fisheries Ecology Division, Southwest Fisheries Science Center

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Oceanography in 2025: Proceedings of a Workshop zooplankton. Such an integrated effort would need to be focused on a number of regions where existing infrastructure is in place or locations that are representative of critical marine habitats. Such an integrated effort would provide not just a onetime snapshot of the biodiversity of a marine habitat, but would provide a dynamic view into the processes that maintain biodiversity and a better understanding of how it can be protected. A critically important aspect of this is that we will be able to monitor how life in the ocean is changing in response to climate change. Such information will be critical to policy makers to provide them with the information necessary to mitigate such impacts. Models will be an important component of such an effort, as much of the data collected will be descriptive. While NPZ models have proven quite informative for lower trophic levels, they do not scale up to higher trophic levels. Individual Based Models (IBMs) can represent the movements of a single marine animal and can create an energy budget that incorporates the costs of movement and acquiring prey. Such a model would be spatially explicit, and influenced by environmental and other relevant factors affecting animal behavior. A suite of these IBMs can be released into a model to represent a population of a given species. The movement patterns relative to oceanographic features and prey availability can then be modeled along with information on species interactions. The development of such models would require a mechanistic understanding of the habitat utilization patterns of higher trophic levels. Electronic tags can be used to help elucidate the habitat utilization patterns of marine organisms and provide data that are appropriate for incorporation into IBMs. Integration of oceanographic data with marine animal distribution and behavior can be used to build models that describe the interrelationships of marine animal movements to their physical and ecological habitat. Such a modeling approach would provide an “experimental test bed” to examine the processes that determine animal distributions, local abundance and movement patterns. Under the auspices of the CoML, a variety of technologies have been developed, among them is the use of electronic tagging that has been deployed on a large scale in an integrated manner to track the movements and behavior of large marine vertebrates, in the Tagging of Pacific Pelagics (TOPP) program (www.topp.org) and in the Pacific Ocean Shelf (POST) tracking project program (www.post.org). The primary methods for tracking marine organisms include: GPS, ARGOS satellite, acoustic and archival data storage tags (Figures 1 and 2). Over the last decade the capability of electronic tags has increased considerably. However, there are a number of technological advances that need further development, including novel ways of powering the tags, increased sensor capabilities (including oceanographic sensors and animal behavior and/or physiol-

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Oceanography in 2025: Proceedings of a Workshop FIGURE 1 Southern elephant seal with a Sea Mammal Research Unit CTD tag attached to its head. These tags transmit information on the animal’s surface track (Figure 2A), dive behavior (Figure 2B) and temperature and salinity profiles (Figure 2C). ogy), better attachment methods, miniaturization of tags, and alternative methods of data recovery. While new higher capacity batteries may be developed, an alternative would be to develop other methods of obtaining power. For example, these animals move through the water and some undergo considerable changes in pressure. Conceptually, this seems very straightforward, but the development of reliable power harvesting systems has not begun. Other sensors that could be added to the tags include FIGURE 2 Tracks of southern elephant seals showing the range of data that can be derived. A) surface track only, B) surface track with underwater behavior, and C) track with CT profile along route of the animal.

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Oceanography in 2025: Proceedings of a Workshop such important oceanographic measure as O2, pH, CO2, and chlorophyll, as well as important measures of animal behavior as 3-axis acceleration, feeding and heart rate and possibly active sonar to measure prey fields in front of the animal. Finally, novel methods of data recovery would greatly enhance the range of species that these tags could be deployed on. Currently, archival tags have to be recovered to obtain the data. This is done when the animal returns to a rookery (seals and birds), the tag is released and floats to the surface where it transmits a subset of the information (pop up tags), or the data are transmitted via ARGOS when the animals come to the surface (air-breathing vertebrates and some sharks). A major advance would be achieved if the data obtained by electronic tags could be telemetered underwater via an acoustic modem. The data could be collected when the animal swims past an acoustic receiver such as being proposed by the Ocean Tracking Network program (OTN; www.oceantrackingnetwork.org). As these tools evolved, they reached a sophistication and reliability where the data collected were equivalent to the industry standards for oceanographic sampling tools. For example, elephant seals can sample the water column 60 times a day reaching depths of 1000 m under their own power across broad expanses of the ocean that are difficult to reach by ships or other conventional means (Figure 3) (Boehlert et al. 2001). The research subjects became research tools and can provide oceanographic data for a fraction of the costs and can provide coverage in regions where conventional methods do not work such as polar regions (Charrassin et al. FIGURE 3 Left: tracks of 12 southern elephant seals instrumented with ARGOS linked CTD tags. Right Top: a close up showing the actual profiles data collected; Right Middle: a close up of the temperature profiles that can be interpolated from those casts; Right Bottom: a close up of the conductivity profiles that can be interpolated from those casts.

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Oceanography in 2025: Proceedings of a Workshop 2008; Costa et al. 2008). At the same time technologies have been improving to study the movements of smaller fish species at sea. Instrument size currently limits satellite telemetry to the largest fish species such as sharks and tunas. Archival tag technology has become sufficiently miniaturized so that juvenile fish less than 100 g can be tagged without significant increases to their mortality. However, for juvenile salmon which reliably return to a river of origin where they can be predictably captured, marine survival rates are only 2-5%, making the cost of deploying archival tags prohibitive. As a result, acoustic technologies have moved to the forefront of marine fisheries movement research. In the North Pacific alone thousands of fish from over a dozen species are now being tagged with small, relatively inexpensive acoustic transmitters, and their movements are being monitored by a growing network of acoustic arrays led by the OTN and POST. These networks are providing new insights into the movements of fish past fixed listening arrays in the ocean without the need for tag recovery. Unfortunately, these data have two limitations over the archival and satellite tag technologies. The first is a lack of oceanographic habitat sensors to collect data in the environment where the fish is found and second is array deployment limited to the continental shelf. These limitations could be overcome by deploying “business card tags” (BCTs) on larger marine animals such as elephant seals. BCTs are capable of alternating between transferring and receiving data from other BCTs and regular acoustic pinger tags when they come within range. As more tags are deployed there would be a high probability of regular encounters between a BCT tagged elephant seal and other acoustically tagged species. While one might consider the ocean to be vast, marine organisms are likely to converge on the same oceanographic features, dramatically increasing the probability of encounters. An added advantage is that larger marine organisms could not only carry the larger BCT tag, but could carry additional sensors that would provide information on the physical environment (e.g., CTD). REFERENCES Boehlert, G.W., D.P. Costa, D.E. Crocker, P. Green, T. O’Brien, S. Levitus, and B.J. Le Boeuf. 2001. Autonomous Pinniped Environmental Samplers: Using Instrumented Animals as Oceanographic Data Collectors. Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology. 18: 1882-1893. Charrassin, J.-B., M. Hindell, S.R. Rintoul, F. Roquet, S. Sokolov, M. Biuw, D. Costa, L. Boehme, P. Lovell, R. Coleman, R. Timmermann, A. Meijers, M. Meredith, Y.-H. Park, F. Bailleul, M. Goebel, Y. Tremblay, C.-A. Bost, C.R. McMahon, I.C. Field, M.A. Fedak, and C. Guinet. 2008. Southern Ocean Frontal Structure and Sea-ice Formation Rates Revealed by Elephant Seals. PNAS. 105: 11634-11639.

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Oceanography in 2025: Proceedings of a Workshop Costa, D.P., J.M. Klinck, E.E. Hofmann, M.S. Dinniman, and J.M. Burns. 2008. Upper Ocean Variability in West Antarctic Peninsula Continental Shelf Waters as Measured Using Instrumented Seals. Deep Sea Research Part II: Topical Studies in Oceanography. 55: 323-337. Estes, J.A., M.T. Tinker, T.M. Williams, and D.F. Doak. 1998. Killer Whale Predation on Sea Otters Linking Oceanic and Nearshore Ecosystems. Science. 282: 473-476. Myers, R.A. and B. Worm. 2003. Rapid Worldwide Depletion of Predatory Fish Communities. Nature. 423: 280-283. Smetacek, V. and J.E. Cloern. 2008. Oceans—On Phytoplankton Trends. Science. 319: 1346-1348.