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Advancing the Science of Climate Change (2010)
Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate (BASC)

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. "15 Solar Radiation Management." Advancing the Science of Climate Change. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press, 2010.

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Advancing the Science of Climate Change

surface would need to be constructed and put into orbit each year—or approximately an additional 10 square miles per day each and every day—for as long as CO2 emissions continue increasing at rates comparable to today’s (Govindasamy and Caldeira, 2000). Due to the magnitude of spaced-based deployment required for such an undertaking, and the enormous cost of putting objects into orbit, these options appear impractical for addressing threats posed by climate change this century.

Stratosphere-Based Options

One of the most widely discussed options for SRM involves the injection of sulfate aerosols into the stratosphere, although other types of particles could potentially serve the same function. As discussed in Chapter 6, particles can reflect solar radiation back to space, offsetting some of the warming associated with GHGs. The amount of sulfur that would need to be supplied to the stratosphere to offset the radiative forcing associated with GHG emissions could be delivered through a variety of means, including aircraft and artillery shells, with relatively small direct costs (Crutzen, 2006; NRC, 1992b; Robock et al., 2009; The Royal Society, 2009). Since sulfate particles are also injected into the stratosphere by volcanic eruptions, cooling following recent eruptions serves at least as a general “proof of concept” for this approach. For example, in the year following the eruption of Mount Pinatubo in June 1991, global temperatures cooled by approximately 0.9°F (0.5°C; Trenberth and Dai, 2007). Process understanding could be developed through small-scale tests, but an understanding of global climate effects would require either reliance on models or tests that would be of global scale and at least one-tenth the size of a full deployment. Full deployment would require a long-term, uninterrupted commitment to continued injection at the scale of tens of kilograms of material per second injected quasi-continuously. A sudden cessation after a sustained deployment could result in rapid temperature increases over a period of a few years, causing potentially severe impacts on ecological and social systems (Matthews and Caldeira, 2007).

Cloud-Based Options

A range of options have been proposed to “whiten” clouds, or make them more reflective, by increasing the number of water droplets in the clouds. The most widely discussed proposal involves whitening low clouds over remote parts of the ocean by

gravitational forces of the Earth and Sun are balanced by the centripetal force associated with that object’s orbit of the Sun.

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381
Front Matter (R1-R22)
Summary (1-16)
Part I (17-18)
1 Introduction: Science for Understanding and Responding to Climate Change (19-26)
2 What We Know About Climate Change and Its Interactions with People and Ecosystems (27-82)
3 A New Era of Climate Change Research (83-90)
4 Integrative Themes for Climate Change Research (91-150)
5 Recommendations for Meeting the Challenge of Climate Change Research (151-180)
Part II: Technical Chapters (181-182)
6 Changes in the Climate System (183-234)
7 Sea Level Rise and the Coastal Environment (235-256)
8 Freshwater Resources (257-270)
9 Ecosystems, Ecosystem Services, and Biodiversity (271-290)
10 Agriculture, Fisheries, and Food Production (291-308)
11 Public Health (309-322)
12 Cities and the Built Environment (323-332)
13 Transportation (333-348)
14 Energy Supply and Use (349-376)
15 Solar Radiation Management (377-388)
16 National and Human Security (389-400)
17 Designing, Implementing, and Evaluating Climate Policies (401-420)
References (421-474)
Appendix A: America's Climate Choices: Membership Lists (475-478)
Appendix B: Panel on Advancing the Science of Climate Change: Statement of Task (479-480)
Appendix C: Panel on Advancing the Science of Climate Change: Biographical Sketches (481-490)
Appendix D: Uncertainty Terminology (491-492)
Appendix E: The United States Global Change Research Program (493-496)
Appendix F: Geoengineering Options to Respond to Climate Change: Steps to Establish a Research Agenda (497-500)
Appendix G: Acronyms and Initialisms (501-504)