Appendix B
Workshop Agenda and Presenters
AGENDA
Workshop on Improving Health Care Cost Projections for the Medicare Population
January 13, 2010
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9:00–9:30 a.m. |
OPENING SESSION |
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Welcome and Introductions |
Dana Goldman, University of Southern California |
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Welcoming Remarks on Behalf of the National Academies |
Constance Citro, Committee on National Statistics |
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Welcome and Sponsor’s Perspectives |
Richard Suzman, National Institute on Aging |
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Background and Context of the Workshop |
Dana Goldman |
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9:30–11:00 |
SESSION ONE |
Moderator: |
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Marilyn Moon, American Institutes for Research |
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Relative Merits of Current Models for Health Care Cost Projections for the Medicare Population |
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Presenters: |
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A Brief Overview of Background Paper on Current Models for Health Care Cost Projections for the Medicare Population |
John Friedman, Harvard University |
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Medicare Cost Modeling for Health Care Spending at CBO: Capabilities, Strengths, and Weaknesses |
Joyce Manchester, Congressional Budget Office |
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OACT Long-Range Health Expenditures Projections: Assumptions, Methods, and Purposes |
Richard Foster, Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services |
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Role of MEPS as a Resource for the Nation’s Economic Models and Their Projections of Health Care Expenditures and Use |
Steven Cohen, Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality |
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Comments and General Discussion |
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11:00–11:15 |
Break |
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11:15– 12:30 p.m. |
SESSION TWO |
Moderator: |
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Jonathan Skinner, Dartmouth Medical School |
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Modeling Medical Technology as a Driver of Medicare Health Care Spending |
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Presenters: |
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Current Law Brakes on Health Care Spending Growth |
Michael Chernew, Harvard University |
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Pharmaceutical Innovation, Future Health, and Spending |
Darius Lakdawalla, University of Southern California |
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Medical Technology as a Driver of Health Care Costs |
Kenneth Thorpe, Emory University |
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Comments and General Discussion |
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12:30–1:30 |
Working Lunch—continuation of discussion |
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1:30–3:00 |
SESSION THREE |
Moderator: |
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Joseph Newhouse, Harvard University |
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Factors Affecting Health Status as Drivers of Health Care Spending and Cost Projections for the Medicare Population |
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Presenters: |
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Health and Health Care Cost Consequences of Obesity Among the Medicare Population |
Justin Trogdon, RTI International |
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Role of Socioeconomic Status and Health-Related Behaviors in Driving Cost Projections for the Medicare Population |
Eileen Crimmins, University of Southern California |
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Role of Chronic Diseases and Disability in Medical Spending Among the Medicare Population |
Jay Bhattacharya, Stanford University |
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Comments and General Discussion |
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3:00–3:15 |
Break |
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3:15–4:15 |
SESSION FOUR |
Moderator: |
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Dana Goldman |
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Needed Research on Aging-Related Issues Toward the Goal of Improving Health Care Cost Projections for the Medicare Population |
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Panel of two key participants will lead off the discussion |
Eileen Crimmins, Darius Lakdawalla |
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Comments and General Discussion |
All participants |
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4:15–5:00 |
Closing Remarks |
Constance Citro, Richard Suzman, Dana Goldman |
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5:00 |
Adjourn |
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PRESENTERS
Jay Bhattacharya is an associate professor in the Center for Primary Care and Outcomes Research, Stanford University School of Medicine.
Michael Chernew is professor in the Department of Health Care Policy at the Harvard Medical School.
Constance F. Citro is director of the Committee on National Statistics, in the Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education, National Research Council.
Steven Cohen is director of the Center for Financing, Access, and Cost Trends at the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality in the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services.
Eileen Crimmins is associate dean of the Davis School of Gerontology and professor of gerontology and sociology at the University of Southern California.
Richard Foster is chief actuary in the Office of the Actuary of the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services in the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services.
John N. Friedman is assistant professor of public policy at the Kennedy School of Government at Harvard University.
Dana P. Goldman is professor and Norman Topping chair in medicine and public policy and director of the Leonard D. Schaeffer Center for Health Policy and Economics at the University of Southern California.
Darius Lakdawalla is associate professor in the School of Policy, Planning, and Development and director of research in the Leonard Schaeffer Center for Health Policy and Economics at the University of Southern California.
Joyce Manchester is unit chief of the Long-Term Modeling Group in the Health and Human Resources Division of the Congressional Budget Office.
Richard Suzman is associate director for behavioral and social research at the National Institute on Aging of the National Institutes of Health.
