Describing Socioeconomic Futures for Climate Change Research and Assessment: Report of a Workshop

4	Driving Forces and Critical Uncertainties in Adaptation, Vulnerability, and Mitigation	21
	Driving Forces and Critical Uncertainties in Scenario Construction,	21
	Brief Presentations on Specific Drivers,	22
	Discussion,	28
5	Representative Concentration Pathways and Socioeconomic Scenarios and Narratives	29
	Characteristics, Uses, and Limits of Representative Concentration Pathways,	29
	Multimodel Analysis of Key Assumptions Underlying Representative Concentration Pathways,	31
6	Lessons from Experience	33
	Personal Experiences with Scenarios,	33
	The U.S. National Assessment,	34
	The Millennium Ecosystem Assessment,	36
	The Asia Low-Carbon Society Project,	37
	The IPCC Special Report on Emissions Scenarios,	37
	The UK Climate Impacts Program and the Netherlands Experience,	38
	Discussion,	38
7	Reports from Breakout Groups	41
	Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability Scenarios for 2020-2050,	41
	Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability Issues to 2100, 42 Scenarios for Mitigation to 2100,	43
	Possible Products for the Fifth Assessment Report and Implications for Working Groups 2 and 3,	44
	What the IAV and IAM Communities Might Get from Each Other,	45
8	Concluding Comments	47
	References	49
	Appendixes
A	Workshop Agenda and List of Participants	51
B	Biographical Sketches of Panel Members and Staff	59