PART II:
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2 |
Operations Research and Intelligence Analysis |
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Edward H. Kaplan |
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3 |
Applications of Game Theory in Support of Intelligence Analysis |
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Bruce Bueno de Mesquita |
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4 |
Use of Signal Detection Theory as a Tool for Enhancing Performance and Evaluating Tradecraft in Intelligence Analysis |
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Gary H. McClelland |
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5 |
Qualitative Analysis for the Intelligence Community |
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Kiron K. Skinner |
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6 |
Individual Reasoning |
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Barbara A. Spellman |
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Page 95 |
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| Front Matter (R1-R14) |
| Executive Summary (1-4) |
| 1 Challenges for the Intelligence Community (5-22) |
| 2 Learning and Evaluation (23-32) |
| 3 Analysis (33-48) |
| 4 The Workforce (49-60) |
| 5 Collaboration (61-72) |
| 6 Communication (73-80) |
| 7 Conclusions and Recommendations (81-94) |
| Appendix A: Contents: Intelligence Analysis: Behavioral and Social Scientific Foundations (95-96) |
| Appendix B: Biographical Sketches of Committee Members and Staff (97-102) |
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OCR for page 95
Intelligence Analysis for Tomorrow: Advances from the Behavioral and Social Sciences
Appendix A
Contents
Intelligence Analysis: Behavioral and Social Scientific Foundations
PART I:
INTRODUCTION
1
Analysis in the U.S. Intelligence Community: Missions, Masters, and Methods
Thomas Fingar
PART II:
ANALYTIC METHODS
2
Operations Research and Intelligence Analysis
Edward H. Kaplan
3
Applications of Game Theory in Support of Intelligence Analysis
Bruce Bueno de Mesquita
4
Use of Signal Detection Theory as a Tool for Enhancing Performance and Evaluating Tradecraft in Intelligence Analysis
Gary H. McClelland
5
Qualitative Analysis for the Intelligence Community
Kiron K. Skinner
PART III:
ANALYSTS
6
Individual Reasoning
Barbara A. Spellman
OCR for page 96
Intelligence Analysis for Tomorrow: Advances from the Behavioral and Social Sciences
7
Intuitive Theories of Behavior as Inputs to Analysis
Hal Arkes and James Kajdasz
8
Group Processes in Intelligence Analysis
Reid Hastie
9
Social Categorization and Intergroup Dynamics
Catherine H. Tinsley
PART IV:
ORGANIZATIONS
10
Communicating About Analysis
Baruch Fischhoff
11
Structuring Accountability Systems in Organizations: Key Trade-offs and Critical Unknowns
Philip E. Tetlock and Barbara A. Mellers
12
Workforce Effectiveness: Acquiring Human Resources and Developing Human Capital
Steve W.J. Kozlowski
13
Implementing Change: Organizational Challenges
Amy Zegart