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OCR for page 22
B
Agenda
A Workshop on Global Change and Extreme Hydrologic Events: Testing Conventional Wisdom
Sponsored by the National Research Council Committee on Hydrologic Science (COHS)
January 5: Precipitation and floods
8:00 Welcome and Introductions
Charles Vörösmarty, Chair, COHS
Agenda Overview and Workshop Goals
Dennis Lettenmaier and Victor R. Baker, COHS
8:15 Understanding Changes in Precipitation and Runoff with a Changing
Climate
Kevin E. Trenberth, National Center for Atmospheric Research
9:00 Global to Regional Perspectives on Intensification of the Hydrologic Cycle:
Implications for Extreme Events
Tom Huntington, U.S. Geological Survey
9:45 Is Precipitation Becoming More Intense?
Pavel Groisman, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
10:45 A Process-Based “Bottom-Up” Approach for Addressing Changing Flood-
Climate Relationships
Katie Hirschboeck, University of Arizona
11:30 The Ghosts of Flooding Past, Present, and Future
Harry R. Lins, U.S. Geological Survey
1:00 Planning for Non-Stationary Extreme Events: Statistical Approaches
Richard M. Vogel, Tufts University
1:45 Planning for Non-Stationarity and Floods: A Management Perspective
Gerald E. Galloway, University of Maryland
2:45 Breakout groups
Rapporteurs: Victor R. Baker and Dennis Lettenmaier
4:00 Rapporteurs report back and summary of research and operational needs
22
OCR for page 23
Appendix B 23
January 6: Drought
8:30 Welcome and Day 2 Agenda Overview
Charles Vörösmarty, Chair, COHS
8:45 Synthesis of Day 1
Dennis Lettenmaier and Victor R. Baker, COHS
9:00 Mechanisms for Global Warming Impacts on the Large-Scale Atmospheric
Branch of the Hydrological Cycle
Richard Seager, Columbia University
9:45 Connecting Global-Scale Variability to Regional Drought: Mechanisms and
Modeling Challenges
Siegfried Schubert, NASA Goddard
10:45 Do We Need to Put Aquifers into Atmospheric Simulation Models? Evidence
for Large Water Table Fluctuations and Groundwater Supported ET under
Conditions of Pleistocene and Holocene Climate Change
Mark Person, New Mexico Tech
11:30 Breaking the Hydro-Illogical Cycle: The Status of Drought Risk
Management in the U.S.
Mike Hayes, National Center for Drought Mitigation
1:00 Breakout groups
Rapporteurs: Victor R. Baker and Dennis Lettenmaier
3:00 Rapporteurs report back and summary of research and operational needs
4:00 Adjourn
