National Academies Press: OpenBook
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Suggested Citation:"Front Matter." National Research Council. 2012. Climate Change: Evidence, Impacts, and Choices: PDF Booklet. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/14673.
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Suggested Citation:"Front Matter." National Research Council. 2012. Climate Change: Evidence, Impacts, and Choices: PDF Booklet. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/14673.
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Climate Change Evidence, Impacts, and Choices answers to common questions about the science of climate change

Contents Part I. Evidence for Human-Caused Climate Change 2 How do we know that Earth has warmed? 3 How do we know that greenhouse gases lead to warming? 4 How do we know that humans are causing greenhouse gases to increase? 6 How much are human activities heating Earth? 9 How do we know the current warming trend isn't caused by the Sun? 11 How do we know the current warming trend isn't caused by natural cycles? 12 What other climate changes and impacts have been observed? 15 The Ice Ages 18 Part II. Warming, Climate Changes, and Impacts in the 21st Century and Beyond 20 How do scientists project future climate change? 21 How will temperatures be affected? 22 How is precipitation expected to change? 23 How will sea ice and snow be affected? 26 How will coastlines be affected? 26 How will ecosystems be affected? 28 How will agriculture and food production be affected? 29 Part III. Making Climate Choices 30 How does science inform emissions choices? 31 What are the choices for reducing greenhouse gas emissions? 32 What are the choices for preparing for the impacts of climate change? 34 Why take action if there are still uncertainties about the risks of climate change? 35 Conclusion 36

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What is climate? Climate is commonly thought of as the expected weather conditions at a given location over time. People know when they go to New York City in winter, they should take a heavy coat. When they visit the Pacific Northwest, they should take an umbrella. Climate can be measured as many geographic scales - for example, cities, countries, or the entire globe - by such statistics as average temperatures, average number of rainy days, and the frequency of droughts. Climate change refers to changes in these statistics over years, decades, or even centuries.

Enormous progress has been made in increasing our understanding of climate change and its causes, and a clearer picture of current and future impacts is emerging. Research is also shedding light on actions that might be taken to limit the magnitude of climate change and adapt to its impacts.

Climate Change: Evidence, Impacts, and Choices is intended to help people understand what is known about climate change. First, it lays out the evidence that human activities, especially the burning of fossil fuels, are responsible for much of the warming and related changes being observed around the world. Second, it summarizes projections of future climate changes and impacts expected in this century and beyond. Finally, the booklet examines how science can help inform choice about managing and reducing the risks posed by climate change. The information is based on a number of National Research Council reports, each of which represents the consensus of experts who have reviewed hundreds of studies describing many years of accumulating evidence.

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