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Policy Implications of Greenhouse Warming: Mitigation, Adaptation, and the Science Base (1992)
Committee on Science, Engineering, and Public Policy (COSEPUP)

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860
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SIR CRISPIN TICKELL is warden of Green College, Oxford, United Kingdom. He entered the British diplomatic service in 1954. From 1984 to 1987 he was permanent secretary of the Overseas Development Administration in the United Kingdom. From 1987 to 1990 he was permanent representative of the United Kingdom to the United Nations. He is author of Climate Change and World Affairs (University Press of America, 1986).

VICTORIA J. TSCHINKEL is senior consultant with Landers, Parsons and Uhlfelder in Tallahassee, Florida. From 1981 to 1987 she was secretary of the Florida Department of Environmental Regulation. An expert on environmental regulation and management, she is a member of the National Academy of Public Administration. She is also a member of the Electric Power Research Institute Advisory Council and the Advisory Committee for Nuclear Facility Safety.

PAUL E. WAGGONER is distinguished scientist at the Connecticut Agricultural Experiment Station in New Haven, Connecticut. He chaired the American Association for the Advancement of Science panel on Climatic Variability, Climate Change, and the Planning and Management of United States Water Resources. He is a member of the National Academy of Sciences.

Effects Panel Members

GEORGE F. CARRIER, Chairman, is T. Jefferson Coolidge Professor of Applied Mathematics, emeritus, at Harvard University in Cambridge, Massachusetts. He specializes in mathematical modeling of fluid dynamics. He chaired the 1985 Academy Committee on Atmospheric Effects of Nuclear Explosions. He is a member of the National Academy of Sciences and the National Academy of Engineering.

WILFRIED BRUTSAERT is professor of hydrology at Cornell University in Ithaca, New York. Among other topics, his research includes interactions between microclimate and hydrologic systems, including evaporation, infiltration, and drainage.

ROBERT D. CESS is distinguished service professor of atmospheric sciences at the State University of New York in Stony Brook, New York. He heads an international program to compare atmospheric global circulation models. His research interests include atmospheric radiation and climate modeling.

HERMAN CHERNOFF is professor of statistics at Harvard University in Cambridge, Massachusetts. His research has included statistical problems in econometrics, sequential design of experiments, rational selection of decision

Page
860
Front Matter (R1-R26)
Part One: Synthesis (1-2)
1 Introduction (3-4)
2 Background (5-11)
3 The Greenhouse Gases and Their Effects (12-28)
4 Policy Framework (29-35)
5 Adaptation (36-47)
6 Mitigation (48-64)
7 International Considerations (65-67)
8 Findings and Conclusions (68-72)
9 Recommendations (73-83)
Individual Statement by a Member Of The Synthesis Panel (84-86)
Part Two: The Science Base (87-88)
10 Introduction (89-90)
11 Emission Rates and Concentrations Of Greenhouse Gases (91-99)
12 Radiative Forcing and Feedback (100-110)
13 Model Performance (111-116)
14 The Climate Record (117-134)
15 Hydrology (135-139)
16 Sea Level (140-144)
17 A Greenhouse Forcing and Temperature Rise Estimation Procedure (145-152)
18 Conclusions (153-154)
Part Three: Mitigation (155-156)
19 Introduction (157-170)
20 Framework for Evaluating Mitigation Options (171-200)
21 Residential and Commercial Energy Management (201-247)
22 Industrial Energy Management (248-285)
23 Transportation Energy Management (286-329)
24 Energy Supply Systems (330-375)
25 Nonenergy Emission Reduction (376-413)
26 Population (414-423)
27 Deforestation (424-432)
28 Geoengineering (433-464)
29 Findings and Recommendations (465-498)
Part Four: Adaptation (499-500)
30 Findings (501-507)
31 Recommendations (508-514)
32 Issues, Assumptions, and Values (515-524)
33 Methods and Tools (525-540)
34 Sesitivities, Impacts, and Adaptations (541-652)
35 Indices (653-656)
36 Final Words (657-658)
Individual Statement by a Member of the Adaptation Panel (659-660)
Appendixes (661-662)
A Questions and Answers About Greenhouse Warming (663-691)
B Thinking About Time in the Context of Global Climate Change (692-707)
C Conservation Supply Curves for Buildings (708-716)
D Conservation Supply Curves for Industrial Energy Use (717-726)
E Conservation Supply Data for Three Transportation Sectors (727-758)
F Transportation System Management (759-766)
G Nuclear Energy (767-774)
H A Solar Hydrogen System (775-778)
I Biomass (779-785)
J Cost-Effectiveness of Electrical Generation Technologies (786-791)
K Cost-Effectiveness of Chlorofluorocarbon Phaseout—United States and Worldwide (792-797)
L Agriculture (798-807)
M Landfill Methane Reduction (808-808)
N Population Growth and Greenhouse Gas Emissions (809-811)
O Deforestation Prevention (812-813)
P Reforestation (814-816)
Q Geoengineering Options (817-835)
R Description of Economic Estimates of the Cost of Reducing Greenhouse Emissions (836-839)
S Glossary (840-846)
T Conversion Tables (847-848)
U Prefaces from the Individual Panel Reports (849-854)
V Acknowledgments from the Individual Panel Reports (855-857)
W Background Information on Panel Members and Professional Staff (858-868)
Index (869-918)