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Finding Common Ground: U.S. Export Controls in a Changed Global Environment, Commissioned Papers (1991)
National Academy of Sciences, National Academy of Engineering, Institute of Medicine (SEM)

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THE NOMOS CORPORATION 1100 Connecticut Ave., N W. Suite 535 Washington, D.C. 20036 Tel: (202) 862-5479 Fax: (202) 862-3929 eJ^E>^N ' S S T=^T ~ G :I C REDID ~ C ONT=O~ S ~ NE:W ==A Introduction For nearly 35 years, Japan's administration of strategic trade controls and participation in COCOM were carried out effectively, albeit usually out of the public eye. Both the formulation of strategic trade policy and the day-to-day administration of high technology export controls were only occasionally mentioned in the public press and were rarely matters of public debate. Indeed, even within the Japanese Government responsibility for the formulation of strategic trade policy and the administration of export controls rested principally within specialized offices of the Ministry of International Trade and Industry (MITI) and the Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MOFA). In their adherence to export control regulations Japanese firms were guided not only by the letter of the published laws and procedures, but also by established understandings with these authorities based on formal and informal guidances. These guidances often reflected the shared Allied objectives of

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maintaining technology security while still guaranteeing an environment which would promote the development of high technology industries and stimulate economic and industrial growth. The relationship between government and industry was based largely on -trust. The regulating authorities placed trust in Japanese firms to file their export license applications truthfully, while the firms trusted Tokyo to administer the controls quickly, fairly and effectively. Although there had been occasional unofficial accusations that Japan had become a fertile feeding ground for Soviet Bloc technology collection efforts, the system had worked without major controversy for over three decades. This trust was strained in 1987 with the revelations that Toshiba Machine Company had conspired to evade Japanese authorities in the illegal sale of high precision machine tools to the Soviet Union. The incident not only caused severe conflict in Japan's relations with its closest strategic ally, the United States, but thrust Japan's strategic trade control system into a public spotlight it had never known. Japan consequently set out to implement fundamental reforms to its system of strategic trade controls. The ensuing months saw amendments made to the underlying legal structure to Japan's export control system along with extensive changes to the administrative 2

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structure and regulatory procedures. More importantly, the issue of strategic trade controls emerged for the first time as a major public concern. In effect, Tokyo had been called to demonstrate to broad based audiences both at home and abroad, that Japan's commitment to technology security and administration of multilateral strategic trade controls was both responsible and effective. - Now, nearly three years after the Toshiba incident, Tokyo appears committed to administering and enforcing a far more rigorous and visible system of strategic trade controls than at any previous time. Ironically though, Japan and other COCOM allies are also now having to consider the implications of events in Eastern Europe which seem to question much of the underlying rationale for maintaining the COCOM system. Japan's Export Controls In Japan, exports are regulated under the Foreign Exchange and Foreign Trade Control Law (Control Law), and through export agreements and cartels created under the Export and Import Transactions Law. Export control is used in Japan for a variety of purposes: to preserve supplies of rare materials; to prohibit the export of narcotics, weapons and pornography; to carry out orderly marketing agreements and voluntary export restraints with foreign 3

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governments; and to observe international commitments such as the export restrictions on strategic and militarily critical equipment and technology required by Japan~s participation in COCOM. Controls on strategic high technology trade and adherence to COCOM commitments are administered solely under provisions of the Foreign Exchange and Foreign Trade Control Law, and through a series of related implementing ordinances. These regulations and a description of their hierarchical relationships are described in Appendix A. Unlike the United States, which views exporting as a privilege, in Japan exporting is construed as a fundamental right. Article 47 provides that the "export of goods will be permitted with such minimum restrictions thereon as are consistent with the purpose of this Law." Export restriction, including that required by COCOM, is allowed for under the Control Law through Articles 47- 51. (Restriction of technology transfer is allowed for under the Control Law through Articles 25 - 25.2.) The key sections of the law are Article 47, which sets forth a general principle of free export, and article 48, which, by providing for approval of exports t restricts that principle. 4

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While the Law has been amended more than twenty times since its enactment in 1949, the most significant changes came in 1987 as a consequence of the Toshiba incident. The amendments effectively redefined the circumstances under which MITI could regulate exports by adding provisions which enabled MITI to restrict exports for international security reasons in addition to its established authority to limit exports for economic reasons. A new Export Control Order was issued by MITI specifying the products and countries to which trade restrictions apply in order to enforce the trade embargoes set by COCOM. Currently Japanese law allows restricting exports for any of the following types of goods or technologies: o Items of excess competition (textile goods, binoculars, and other items of excess competition whose export may invoke import restrictions in the foreign countries of destination; o strategic co D odities and technologies based on the agreement of COCOM, Missile Technology Control Regime (MTCR), Australia Group, etc.; o items which require export restrictions in order to secure a stable supply-and-demand equilibrium in the domestic market (rare materials such as tungsten); 5

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o items of embargo ~ arms, weapons, counterfeit money, obscene literature, narcotic drugs, national treasures, etc. ); 0 - items which may inf range upon intangible property rights in the destination country. Japan's list of controlled commode ties is contained in a series of attachments to the Export Trade Control Order ~ Export Order ), one of the implementing ordinances of the Foreign Exchange and Foreign Trade Control Law. The commodities control list is made up cuff two parts (Annex I and Annex II to the Export Order ): o Annex I, which establishes 217 classes of commodities whi ch are contra ~ ~ ed f or s ecuri ty reasons; ~ Annex lI, which specif ies 4 2 items which are controlled for other reasons; ~ Japan's list of controlled technologies is attached to the Foreign Exchange Control Order (Exchange Order) as an Annex; o Annex to the Foreign Exchange Order, which specifies 38 categories of technologies which are controlled for security reasons. 6

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Japan's authority to regulate strategic high technology exports was not always so clear. In 1969 MITI's authority to restrict exports based on COCOM guidelines was not only questioned, but was declared illegal by the Tokyo District Court. In what has become known as The COCOM Case (Pekin-Shanhai Nihon Kogyo Tenrankai v. Japan), the sponsoring association for the 1969 Peking-Shanghai Industrial Exhibition applied to MITI for approval to export nearly 3,000 items to be displayed at the exhibit in the People's Republic of China. MITI disapproved export of nineteen of the items, claiming that their export would conflict with COCOM guidelines. Consequently, the association brought suit against MITI in the Tokyo District Court. The Court held that MITI's disapproval was illegal since it did not fail within one of the limited exceptions to the general principle of free trade specified in the Control Law. In its decision the Court stated: The meaning of Article ~ of the Export Control Trade Order is that since the freedom of export is a fundamental human right, its restriction by MITI can be permitted only if such restriction is deemed purely and directly necessary for the sound maintenance of the balance of international payments and the sound development of international trade or the national economy. 7

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The government contended that to deviate from the COCOM agreement would disrupt friendly relations with the United States and other allies as well and could possibly lead to economic retaliation. The government argued further that any retaliatory measures would seriously undermine the sound development of Japan's international trade and domestic economy, and therefore, the restriction based on COCOM criteria was consistent with the spirit of the Control Law and the Export Trade Control Order. In response, the Court declared that if Japan had chosen to participate in COCOM for political or strategic reasons (as it had), export controls, which are enforced for economic reasons, would have to be based on other domestic laws. The court held We must conclude that export restrictions imposed for other than economic reasons are not encompassed by Article I of the Export Trade Control Order, even if such restrictions have an indirect economic effect. In the long term, the Court's finding proved to be almost irrelevant. Despite the negative finding of the Court on MITI's authority to restrict exports for strategic and national security reasons, the Ministry continued to impose controls based on COCOM guidelines. MITI's authority and procedures were accepted by Japanese exporters who rarely questioned the Ministry's decisions. 8

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New and Improved In order to prevent further recurrences of illegal sales like the Toshiba Machine case, the Government of Japan embarked in the early fall of 1987 upon a wholesale improvement of its export control system. Having its system of export controls thrust into the public spotlight forced Tokyo to demonstrate a more conscientious and effective system of strategic trade controls not only to domestic audiences, but to its allies as well. The changes made by the Government of Japan addressed all elements of strategic trade controls. Legislative amendments strengthened significantly the legal underpinnings of the system, while substantial additions were made to the administrative and regulatory structures as well. Enforcement and compliance were improved dramatically through the establishment of more effective interagency coordination mechanisms as well as through the institution of new requirements. Exporters themselves were, for the first time, to be given clear responsibility for complying with strategic trade controls through adoption of internal corporate security procedures. Among the most dramatic changes made to Japan's export control system were amendments made to the Foreign Exchange and Foreign Trade Control Law which fundamentally improved the legal standing of COCOM controls in Japan. In many respects they eliminated the 9

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potential loopholes and ambiguities posed by the 1969 COCOM case, and set the stage for the more visible and firmly based system of administering export controls. As mentioned above, the new law goes beyond the limitations of the previous statute which limited MITI's authority to regulate exports to instances in which restrictions were necessary to either maintain the balance of payments or provide for the sound development of international trade and the national economy. The new statute now contains provisions authorizing Japanese authorities to restrict exports for reasons to maintain international peach and security. This has, from a legal standpoint, legitimized Japanese participation in COCOM and erased any ambiguity surrounding Japan's ability to fulfill its COCOM obligations that may have been created by the 1969 COCOM case. The new provisions are contained in amendments to Article 48, which regulates exports of goods, and to Article 25, which regulates exports of technology, technical data and other "services" by requiring MITI approval as follows: Article 48~: Those who intend to make exports of specific kinds of goods to a destination in specified areas which are recognized as an obstacle to the maintenance of international peace and security, as stipulated by government ordinance, must obtain authorization from the Minister of International Trade and Industry; 10

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Article 25~1.1~: A transaction which is intended to provide to certain specified areas the design of goods of specified kinds or technology related to manufacturing or usage of a specific kind (henceforth described as specific technology) which are recogni zed in government ordinances as obstructions to the preservation of international peace and security. Further amendments to the law addressed concerns that surfaced during the Toshiba Machine affair over whether Japanese enforcement measures were an adequate deterrent to potential violators. Under the new law the penalties for violations had been raised substantially as follows: o Administrative sanctions were strengthened from the previous one-year revocation of export privileges to a maximum of three years. Fines were increased from the previous limits of 1 million yen or three times the value of the shipment to maximums of 2 million yen or 5 times the value of the shipment. O Criminal penalties were also increased from a maximum period of three years to five years, and the statute of limitations was also extended from three years to five years. Another important amendment to the law was the addition of penalties for attempted diversions of goods. Previously, only infractions which had actually been completed could be prosecuted under the law. There were Do penalties for attempts or proven

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procedures and obligations. The pamphlet, entitled "Never Again" describes the Japanese export licensing requirements, company procedures to ensure compliance, and the necessity of compliance for contributing to Japanese and overall Western security. It was distributed to each member of the company. An Awakening in COCOM As a result of the Toshiba Machine incident the Japanese government also pledged to take a more active role in COCOM affairs. Since deciding to participate in COCOM in 1952, Japan had been its most conspicuous wallflower, even as Japanese technological prowess and industrial strength grew. Japanese authorities are now quick to point that a more visible and forceful Japanese presence at COCOM would be commensurate with the responsibilities Japan has assumed for guaranteeing Western technology security through its development as a leading world technological power. While the precise details of COCOM deliberations are secret, there are some indications that Tokyo is serious about its commitment. First and foremost is the formation of CISTEC, noted above, to assist government authorities in preparing detailed initiatives and negotiating positions on issues such as streamlining of the COCOM control lists. 24

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Within COCOM sessions Japan has already demonstrated a greater willingness to take the lead in substantive discussions. For example, during recent debates concerning liberalization of the controls on advanced machine tools, an initiative entered by Tokyo was used to break a stalemate by offering a compromise between proposals entered previously by the United States and West Germany. Japanese authorities have indicated that Japan will now be more willing to present concrete proposals containing specific technical parameters to COCOM discussions on liberalizing the control lists. In other ways, too, Japan has sought to support the COCOM objective of harmonizing participating countries' licensing and enforcement systems. Changes to licensing procedures have been made which have brought the Japanese system more in line with that of the United States and other COCOM partners. For example, in April 1989 Japan instituted its first distribution license system. To date approximately 25 firms in Japan have received distribution ~ icenses . In order to qualify for a distribution license an exporter must show that: o At least twenty-five export licenses must have been approved for the same recipient during the previous year; 0 The exporter must have an adequate and approved internal control program; 25

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o Importers in non-COCOM member countries must also demonstrate adequate internal control programs; o An importer in a non-COCOM member country must demonstrate that it is subject to control by the exporter through any of the following relationships: o An overseas subsidiary exporter must have greater interest; or o An overseas subsidiary in which the exporter has a greater than SO% interest; or o An overseas subsidiary in which a company in a COCOM-member country has greater than a ~0% interest and that company has a greater than SON interest in the exporter. Only certain specified commodities and technical data are eligible for export under a distribution license. As can be expected, many more articles are eligible for export to the COCOM- member countries under the distribution license than to the specified non-COCOM member countries, which include all non- con~unist countries plus China. While distribution licenses can be granted for shipments to China, to date none have been approved. 26

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~ second area where Japan has moved to make its licensing procedures reflect those currently in use by the United States and other COCOM partners is in issuance of its first general license. MITI began issuing its version of the US's G-COM or G-COCOM general licenses during April of 1990. The new license, called General Bulk License, will facilitate exports of controlled commodities to other COCOM-member countries. The New View Towards East Europe The disintegration of communist rule in East Europe and the continuing thaw in relations with the Soviet Union are now posing new challenges to the COCOM membership. Ironically, the calls for liberalization of the COCOM regime are coming at a time when Japan now sports its most effective strategic trade control apparatus since entering COCOM. Japan's response, from both official and business circles, can be characterized as conservative and deliberate. What is most striking about Japan's positions is the unanimity of opinion among foreign policy officials, trade policymakers and the business community. Japan states that it is clearly important to streamline the COCOM list. However' many Japanese trade of f icials and corporate leaders have taken a rather conservative view and claim to share many of the same strategic interests as the United States. 27

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Japanese officials are quick to point out that while political events in Eastern Europe and the Soviet Union have greatly altered the strategic scene in Europe, the picture in the Eastern parts of the Soviet Union and the Pacific have not been changed significantly. In the strategic context, Japanese officials continue to view the Soviet Union as a potent military threat in the Pacific. There have been no reductions on Soviet naval forces nor have there been any indications of troop withdrawals from Soviet bases. From the political perspective, there remain major outstanding questions of Japan's relations with the USSR. First and foremost is the continuing question of Japan's Northern Territories which the Soviets have thus far refused to discuss with Tokyo. Continuing Soviet intransigence on this issue is a convincing signal to most Japanese political and business leaders that Soviet strategic objectives in the Pacific remain unchanged. Furthermore, a Soviet crackdown by force of arms in the Baltic or other dissident states would only reassure outside observers that the Soviet military is alive and capable of defending and perpetuating Soviet territorial claims. Nonetheless, a breakthrough on the Northern Territories issue is also possible, especially given Gorbachev's flair for the dramatic. We doubt, however, whether Gorbachev is prepared to meet Japanese expectations completely with an unconditional return of the islands. Instead, any moves by 28

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Gorbachev to address the issue are likely to do little more than remove some of the cumbersome political draping to expanding Japan- Soviet trade ties, and focus attention instead on the question of their economic merits. The economic hurdles facing any significant renewal of Japanese trade relations with the Soviet Union remain rather substantial. There are, as yet, few compelling economic factors for changes Japan's positions vis-a-vis strategic trade with the soviets and East Europe. East Bloc markets remain only of minor interest to most Japanese firms. Even the largest trading companies continue to limit their exposure in Eastern European markets to only 2-4~ of total sales with few incentives to increase that share substantially in the near term. respite the monumental changes underway in the political fabric of Eastern Europe and the soviet Union many business leaders reflect official concerns and continue to regard the Soviet and East European markets as too unstable for major investment. Therefore, in the near term most Japanese officials and outside observers expect Japan's positions on COCOM and strategic trade issues to remain closer to those of the United States than to those of the European members calling for greater and more rapid liberalization. Some officials have even gone so far as to comment privately that Japan will undoubtedly continue take its lead in COCOM affairs from the US. 29

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Outlook In the wake of the Toshiba Machine episode, Japan's moves to improve its system of strategic trade controls have had far- reaching implications for future Japanese positions in both the domestic and international arenas. First' and most obvious, is Japan's emergence as a more prominent player in multilateral policy issues. Through the almost complete renovation of its export control and export licensing system, Japan has taken a major step in demonstrating its willingness to accept both the responsibility for safeguarding Western strategic interests along with the economic benefits of its technological and industrial development. Japan can now boast of a system of strategic trade controls in which greater accountability and more extensive and thorough administration place it on a par with export control regimes in any COCOM-member country. Through the improvements in licensing and enforcement and its commitment to a more active role in COCOM, Japan has demonstrated that it can and will be an active, responsible and responsive member of the Western industrial alliance. Secondl y , Japan has established a strong foundation on which to build independent positions on strategic trade control issues. Formation of industry groups such as CIS.TEC, and the increased 30

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resources devotee] to strategic trade policy formulation, administration and enforcement within the government show that Japan will no longer accept either the prevailing consensus in COCOM , or even US proposals at face value. Instead, Japan appears prepared and willing to offer its own interpretations, representing both its unique strategic concerns and economic interests. As a result, both the Europeans and the United States will now face the first strong representation of a uniquely Asian-Pacific perspective in the formulation of COCOM policies. Lastly, while opening the door for a more outspoken and independent Japan on strategic trade issues, both the Toshiba Machine incident and the events in East Europe, have also reemphasized common strategic interests between Japan and the United States. A Japan which is more active in COCOM and other fore for strategic trade issues will undoubtedly provide many challenges to US positions in the months and years ahead. However, the shared overall objectives of maintaining peace and security in the Pacific will most likely outweigh any disagreements which are likely to arise on specific technology control issues. Outside of serious, and now less likely, lapses in the administration or enforcement of Japan's strategic trade controls, such as the Toshiba Machine incident, there are few issues which would undermine or weaken this shared strategic objective. 31

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In the end, Japan's heightened sensitivity towards strategic trade controls comes at a very opportune time. It comes at a period when the entire fabric of East-West relations is being rewoven, and the basic rationale behind the current strategic trade control structure is being questioned throughout the Western alliance. Indeed, Japan's more vigorous positions on technology security issues almost guarantee a more challenging but stronger system of strategic trade controls, which is more responsive to the political and economic demands of a rapidly changing East-West environment. In theory, at least, Japan should be ideally positioned to react to the changing events in a timely manner. The government and business communities have proven capable and receptive to fundamental changes in strategic trade policies and procedures. Furthermore, the issue of technology security and East-West relations continues to enjoy a high public profile. Japan may very well become a leader in the formulation of new Western policies towards trade with the East 310c and redefining strategic technology controls. The question which remains is to what degree will Japan's unique Pacific-oriented strategic perspective and shared strategic concerns with the United States limit Tokyo's decision making. 32

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The risk Japan now faces is one of perhaps having come too late to the party. Japan's conservative view of Soviet strategic ob jectives, which Japan has only just recently institutionalized in a stronger export control system, could be rendered obsolete by political- developments in East Europe and the USSR. Japan could possibly be left alone with the United States in holding onto a restrictive trade policy whit e European allies move forward in f orging new economic alliances in East Europe . Unlike the United States, an in some ways because of the United States as well, Japan is probably less likely to change its course suddenly and deem that political liberalizations in East Europe and the USSR now warrant a significant and rapid liberalization of strategic trade controls. 33

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o Importers in non-COCOM member countries must also demonstrate adequate internal control programs; o An importer in a non-COCOM member country must demonstrate that it is subject to control by the exporter through any of the following relationships: o An overseas subsidiary exporter must have greater interest; or o An overseas subsidiary in which the exporter has a greater than SO% interest; or o An overseas subsidiary in which a company in a COCOM-member country has greater than a ~0% interest and that company has a greater than SON interest in the exporter. Only certain specified commodities and technical data are eligible for export under a distribution license. As can be expected, many more articles are eligible for export to the COCOM- member countries under the distribution license than to the specified non-COCOM member countries, which include all non- con~unist countries plus China. While distribution licenses can be granted for shipments to China, to date none have been approved. 26

Representative terms from entire chapter:

export control