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OCR for page 127
An Assessment of the NIH Women's Health Initiative
J
NIH Power Calculations 1
1
Reprinted with permission from the June 28, 1993 WHI Protocol, pages 77-83.
OCR for page 128
An Assessment of the NIH Women's Health Initiative
(i) ERT versus Control: Coronary Heart Disease.
Power (%)
Percentage cases
Total sample size
Average follow-up (y)
Intervention effect (%)
Control
ERT (or PERT)
20,000
25,000
30,000
6
25
3.26
2.71
50
59
67
30
3.26
2.62
66
76
83
35
3.25
2.49
80
88
93
9
25
5.03
4.16
69
79
86
30
5.02
3.97
85
92
96
35
5.01
3.79
94
98
99
(ia) PERT versus Control: Coronary Heart Disease.
Power (%)
Percentage cases
Total sample size
Average follow-up (y)
Intervention effect (%)
Control
PERT
20,000
25,000
30,000
6
25
3.26
2.71
48
57
65
30
3.26
2.60
64
74
82
35
3.25
2.49
79
87
92
9
25
5.03
4.16
67
77
84
30
5.02
3.97
84
91
95
35
5.01
3.79
94
97
99
(ii) ERT versus Control: Combined Fractures.
(The percentage of cases and the powers in this table are based upon our original age distribution assumptions, i.e., 50-59, 60-69, 70-79 year olds enter in the ratio 2:2:1, and hence are conservative estimates.)
Power (%)
Percentage cases
Total sample size
Average follow-up (y)
Intervention effect (%)
Control
ERT
20,000
25,000
30,000
6
25
5.84
4.86
79
87
92
30
5.84
4.66
92
96
98
35
5.83
4.46
98
99
>99
9
25
8.85
7.31
94
97
99
30
8.84
6.99
99
>99
>99
35
8.82
6.66
>99
>99
>99
OCR for page 129
An Assessment of the NIH Women's Health Initiative
(iia) ERT versus Control: Combined Fractures.
(The percentage of cases and the powers in this table are based upon our original age distribution assumptions, i.e., 50-59, 60-69, 70-79 year olds enter in the ratio 2:2:1, and hence are conservative estimates.)
Power (%)
Percentage cases
Total sample size
Average follow-up (y)
Intervention effect (%)
Control
PERT
20,000
25,000
30,000
6
25
5.84
4.86
77
85
91
30
5.84
4.66
90
95
98
35
5.83
4.46
98
99
>99
9
25
8.85
7.31
93
97
99
30
8.84
6.99
99
>99
>99
35
8.82
6.66
>99
>99
>99
(iii) ERT versus Control: Hip Fractures.
Power (%)
Percentage cases
Total sample size
Average follow-up (y)
Intervention effect (%)
Control
ERT
20,000
25,000
30,000
6
25
2.34
1.94
41
49
56
30
2.34
1.86
55
65
73
35
2.33
1.77
70
79
86
9
25
3.91
3.22
62
71
79
30
3.90
3.07
78
87
92
35
3.89
2.92
90
95
98
(iiia) PERT versus Control: Hip Fractures.
Power (%)
Percentage cases
Total sample size
Average follow-up (y)
Intervention effect (%)
Control
PERT
20,000
25,000
30,000
6
25
2.34
1.94
39
47
54
30
2.34
1.86
54
63
71
35
2.33
1.77
68
77
84
9
25
3.91
3.22
60
69
77
30
3.90
3.07
76
85
91
35
3.89
2.92
88
94
97
OCR for page 130
An Assessment of the NIH Women's Health Initiative
(iv) ERT versus Control: Breast Cancer.
Power (%)
Percentage Cases
Total Sample Size
Average follow-up (y)
Increase due to ERT (%)
Control
ERT
20,000
25,000
30,000
6
20
2.07
2.25
13
15
17
30
2.08
2.35
23
28
32
9
20
3.04
3.40
27
33
38
30
3.05
3.60
52
61
69
14
20
4.5
5.17
52
62
70
30
4.53
5.54
85
92
96
(iva) PERT versus Control: Breast Cancer.
Power (%)
Percentage Cases
Total Sample Size
Average follow-up (y)
Increase due to PERT (%)
Control
20,000
ERT
25,000
30,000
6
20
2.07
2.25
12
14
16
30
2.08
2.35
22
27
31
9
20
3.04
3.40
26
32
37
30
3.05
3.60
50
60
67
14
20
4.50
5.17
51
60
68
30
4.53
5.54
83
91
95
OCR for page 131
An Assessment of the NIH Women's Health Initiative
(i) Dietary Modification: Breast Cancer.
Power (%)
Percentage of cases
Sample size
Average follow-up (y)
Intervention effect (%)
Control
Intervention
42,000
48,000
54,000
6
11
2.05
1.89
25
28
31
12
2.05
1.87
32
35
39
14
2.05
1.85
39
44
48
9
11
2.92
2.61
58
63
69
12
2.92
2.57
70
75
80
14
2.92
2.52
81
86
89
(ii) Dietary Modification: Colorectal Cancer.
Power (%)
Percentage of cases
Sample size
Average follow-up (y)
Intervention effect (%)
Control
Intervention
42,000
48,000
54,000
6
18
1.07
0.93
33
37
41
20
1.07
0.92
40
45
49
22
1.07
0.91
47
52
57
9
18
1.61
1.32
77
83
87
20
1.61
1.29
86
90
93
22
1.60
1.25
92
95
97
(iii) Dietary Modification: Coronary Heart Disease.
Power (%)
Percentage of cases
Sample size
Average follow-up (y)
Intervention effect
Control
Intervention
42,000
48,000
54,000
6
11
3.04
2.72
48
53
58
12
3.03
2.67
58
64
69
14
3.02
2.63
68
74
79
9
11
4.62
4.15
62
67
72
12
4.60
4.08
72
78
83
14
4.58
4.00
82
86
90
OCR for page 132
An Assessment of the NIH Women's Health Initiative
(i) Calcium/Vitamin D versus Control: Hip Fractures
Power (%)
Percentage cases
Total sample size
Average Follow-up (y)
Intervention effect (%)
Control
ERT (or PERT)
20,000
25,000
30,000
5
25
1.88
1.58
53
67
78
30
1.88
1.51
69
83
91
35
1.88
1.45
83
93
97
8
25
3.35
2.76
81
92
97
30
3.34
2.64
93
98
>99
35
3.34
2.51
98
>99
>99
(ii) Calcium/Vitamin D versus Control: Combined Fractures
(The percentages of cases and powers in this table are based upon our original age distribution assumptions i.e., 50-59, 60-69, 70-79 year olds enter in the ratio 2.2.1 and hence are conservative estimates.)
Power (%)
Percentage cases
Total sample size
Average Follow-up (y)
Intervention effect (%)
Control
Calcium/ Vitamin D
25,000
35,000
45,000
5
25
4.84
4.07
90
97
99
30
4.84
3.91
98
>99
>99
35
4.83
3.75
>99
>99
>99
8
25
7.85
6.49
99
>99
>99
30
7.83
6.20
>99
>99
>99
35
7.82
5.91
>99
>99
>99
(iii) Calcium/Vitamin D versus Control: Colorectal Cancer
Power (%)
Percentage cases
Total sample size
Average Follow-up (y)
Intervention effect (%)
Control
Calcium/ Vitamin D
25,000
35,000
45,000
5
18
0.86
0.76
17
23
28
20
0.86
0.75
20
27
33
22
0.86
0.74
24
31
38
8
25
1.42
1.17
52
66
77
30
1.42
1.15
60
75
85
35
1.42
1.12
69
83
91
Representative terms from entire chapter:
coronary heart