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Future Directions for the
National Science Foundation's Arctic
Natural Sciences Pro
Polar Research Board
ram
Commission on Geosciences, Environment, and Resources
National Research Council
NATIONAL ACADEMY PRESS
Washington, D.C. 1998
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NOTICE: The project that is the subject of this report was approved by the Governing Board of the
National Research Council, whose members are drawn from the councils of the National Academy of
Sciences, the National Academy of Engineering, and the Institute of Medicine. The members of the
committee responsible for writing this report were chosen for their special competencies and with
regard for appropriate balance.
Support for this project was provided by the National Science Foundation under Contract OPP-
9707783.
Limited copies of this report are available from:
Polar Research Board
National Research Council
2101 Constitution Avenue, NW
Washington, DC 20418
202-334-3479
or
National Academy Press
2101 Constitution Avenue, NW
Lockbox 285
Washington, DC 20055
202-334-3313
800-624-6242
http://www.nap.edu/bookstore
Cover: Researchers investigating the origin of Cretaceous flood basalt volcanism in the Arctic (Axel
Heiberg Island) under a grant provided by the Arctic Natural Sciences Program. Flood basalts are
exposed on islands throughout the High Arctic and may comprise major bathymetric features of the
Arctic Ocean such as Alpha Ridge. Photo provided by principal investigator Dr. John A. Tarduno,
Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Rochester, New York. Other images
can be viewed at http://www.earth.rochester.edu/pmag/arctic.
Copyright 1998 by the National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.
Printed in the United States of America
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COMMITTEE ON SCIENCE PRIORITIES FOR NSF'S
ARCTIC NATURAL SCIENCES PROGRAM
JOHN T. ANDREWS, Chair, University of Colorado, Boulder
SUSAN K. AVERY, University of Colorado, Boulder
MARIANNE S.V. DOUGLAS, University of Toronto, Ontario
BERNARD MALLET, University of Washington, Seattle
PAUL A. MAYEWSKI, University of New Hampshire, Durham
JAMES H. MORISON, University of Washington, Seattle
KIM M. PETERSON, University of Alaska, Anchorage
DONALD B. SINIFF, University of Minnesota, St. Paul
ROGER W. SMITH, University of Alaska, Fairbanks
Stay
CHRIS ELFRING, Director
JUDY ESTEP, Administrative Assistant
ROB GREENWAY, Project Assistant
. . .
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POLAR RESEARCH BOARD
DAVID L. CLARK, Chair, University of Wisconsin, Madison
RICHARD B. ALLEY, Pennsylvania State University, University Park
JOHN B. ANDERSON, Rice University, Houston, Texas
ANTHONY J. GOW, U.S. Cold Regions Research and Engineering
Laboratory, Hanover, New Hampshire
BERNARD MALLET, University of Washington, Seattle
DAVID J. HOFMANN, Climate Monitoring and Diagnostics Laboratory,
Boulder, Colorado
DONAL T. MANAHAN, University of Southern California, Los Angeles
JAMES H. MORISON, University of Washington, Seattle
WALTER C. OECHEL, San Diego State University, California
CAROLE L. SEYFRIT, Old Dominion University, Richlands, Virginia
GLENN E. SHAW, University of Alaska, Fairbanks
THOMAS N. TAYLOR, University of Kansas, Lawrence
ROBERT M. WALKER, Washington University, St. Louis
ROBERT A. WHARTON, JR., Desert Research Institute, Reno, Nevada
Stay
CHRIS ELFRING, Director
JUDY ESTEP, Administrative Assistant
ROB GREENWAY, Project Assistant
V
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COMMISSION ON GEOSCIENCES,
ENVIRONMENT, AND RESOURCES
GEORGE M. HORNBERGER, Chair, University of Virginia, Charlottesvill
PATRICK R. ATKINS, Aluminum Company of America, Pittsburgh,
Pennsylvania
JAMES P. BRUCE, Canadian Climate Program Board, Ottawa, Ontario
WILLIAM L. FISHER, University of Texas, Austin
JERRY F. FRANKLIN, University of Washington, Seattle
THOMAS E. GRAEDEL, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut
DEBRA KNOPMAN, Progressive Foundation, Washington, D.C.
KAI N. LEE, Williams College, Williamstown, Massachusetts
PERRY L. McCARTY, Stanford University, California
JUDITH E. McDOWELL, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution,
Massachusetts
RICHARD A. MESERVE, Covington & Burling, Washington, D.C.
S. GEORGE PHILANDER, Princeton University, New Jersey
RAYMOND A. PRICE, Queen's University of Kingston, Ontario
THOMAS C. SCHELLING, University of Maryland, College Park
ELLEN SILBERGELD, University of Maryland Medical School, Baltimore
VICTORIA J. TSCHINKEL, Landers and Parsons, Tallahassee, Florida
E-AN ZEN, University of Maryland, College Park
Stay
ROBERT HAMILTON, Executive Director
GREGORY SYMMES, Assistant Executive Director
JEANETTE SPOON, Administrative Officer
SANDI FITZPATRICK, Administrative Associate
MARQUITA SMITH, Administrative Assistant/Technology Analyst
v
e
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The National Academy of Sciences is a private, nonprofit, self-perpetuating
society of distinguished scholars engaged in scientific and engineering research,
dedicated to the furtherance of science and technology and to their use for the
general welfare. Upon the authority of the charter granted to it by the Congress in
1863, the Academy has a mandate that requires it to advise the federal govern-
ment on scientific and technical matters. Dr. Bruce M. Alberts is president of the
National Academy of Sciences.
The National Academy of Engineering was established in 1964, under the
charter of the National Academy of Sciences, as a parallel organization of out-
standing engineers. It is autonomous in its administration and in the selection of
its members, sharing with the National Academy of Sciences the responsibility
for advising the federal government. The National Academy of Engineering also
sponsors engineering programs aimed at meeting national needs, encourages
education and research, and recognizes the superior achievements of engineers.
Dr. William A. Wulf is president of the National Academy of Engineering.
The Institute of Medicine was established in 1970 by the National Academy
of Sciences to secure the services of eminent members of appropriate professions
in the examination of policy matters pertaining to the health of the public. The
Institute acts under the responsibility given to the National Academy of Sciences
by its congressional charter to be an adviser to the federal government and, upon
its own initiative, to identify issues of medical care, research, and education. Dr.
Kenneth I. Shine is president of the Institute of Medicine.
The National Research Council was organized by the National Academy of
Sciences in 1916 to associate the broad community of science and technology
with the Academy's purposes of furthering knowledge and advising the federal
government. Functioning in accordance with general policies determined by the
Academy, the Council has become the principal operating agency of both the
National Academy of Sciences and the National Academy of Engineering in
providing services to the government, the public, and the scientific and engineer-
ing communities. The Council is administered jointly by both Academies and the
Institute of Medicine. Dr. Bruce M. Alberts and Dr. William A. Wulf are chair-
man and vice chairman, respectively, of the National Research Council.
vim
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Preface
The National Science Foundation (NSF) has a distinguished record of sup-
porting research in the polar regions. When the Office of Polar Programs (OPP)
was reorganized in 1995, two distinct sections were created the Antarctic Sci-
ences Section to support research in the Antarctic and the Arctic Sciences Section
to focus on science in the Arctic. Within the purview of the Arctic Sciences
Section, three programs were established Arctic System Science, Arctic Social
Sciences, and Arctic Natural Sciences (ANS). The ANS program, the focus of
this study, is a multidisciplinary effort intended to support work in the space
sciences, atmospheric sciences, biology, geology, glaciology, oceanography, and
other natural science disciplines.
The scope of the ANS program presented special management challenges,
and as a result OPP asked the National Research Council (NRC) for advice to
guide the program's future evolution. This report was prepared by a committee
carefully constituted to address this task. The report reviews the ANS program
its goals, structure, management strategy, and operation to date. It then consid-
ers the defining characteristics of proposals that are suitable for ANS funding and
how the program might be best structured to support the broad multidisciplinary
nature of its mission. It also contains comments on two other elements of the
program's responsibility: the importance of international links and the vital issue
of providing logistics support for research in the Arctic. The report concludes
with a series of recommendations based on the deliberations of the Committee on
Science Priorities for NSF's Arctic Natural Sciences Program and input from the
research community.
On behalf of the committee, I would like to thank the staff at the National
. .
vat
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vit!
PREFACE
Science Foundation for their willingness to respond to our questions and requests
for data, especially the staff of the ANS program. We also would like to com-
mend Dr. Odile de la Beaujardiere for her hard work as the program's first
manager. Finally, I would also like to thank the committee's members for giving
their time and energy to this activity.
John Andrews
Chair
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Acknowledgments
Although many people had a role in the preparation of this report and de-
serve thanks, special appreciation goes to the reviewers. These individuals were
chosen for their diverse perspectives and technical expertise, in accordance with
procedures approved by the NRC's Report Review Committee. This indepen-
dent review provided candid and critical comments that assisted the authors and
the NRC in making the published report as sound as possible and ensured that the
report meets institutional standards for objectivity, evidence, and responsiveness
to the study charge. The content of the review comments and draft manuscript
remain confidential to protect the integrity of the deliberative process. We wish
to thank the following individuals for their participation in the review of this
report:
Brian Barnes, University of Alaska at Fairbanks
David Chapman, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution
David Clark, University of Wisconsin, Madison
Arthur Lachenbruch, U.S. Geological Survey
Debra Meese, U.S. Army Cold Regions Research and Engineering Laboratory
Richard A. Meserve, Covington & Burling, Washington, DC
Ed Myers, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
Walter Oechel, San Diego State University
Glenn Shaw, University of Alaska at Fairbanks
While the individuals listed above have provided many constructive com-
ments and suggestions, responsibility for the final content of this report rests
solely with the authoring committee and the NRC.
Six
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Contents
SUMMARY
Program Scope and Structure, 2
Management Strategy and Research Priorities, 3
International and Agency Cooperation, 4
Logistics, 4
Program Data Availability, 5
Conclusion, 5
INTRODUCTION
The Committee's Charge, 7
Study Methods, 7
ANS Program History, 8
BUDGET AND PORTFOLIO
MANAGEMENT STRATEGY AND STRUCTURE
Evaluation of Current Structure and Scope, 23
Evaluation by 1997 Committee of Visitors, 25
Does the Current ANS Structure Make Sense? 27
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6
13
21
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4 MISSION AND GUIDING PRINCIPLES
Guidelines for Selecting Proposals, 30
Improving Program Management, 33
Setting Research Priorities, 36
Logistics Support, 37
CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS
Program Scope and Structure, 41
Management Strategy, 42
Setting Research Priorities, 44
Agency and International Cooperation, 46
Logistics Support, 48
Program Data Availability, 49
REFERENCES
APPENDICES
A Arctic Research Program Opportunities
B Biographical Sketches of Committee Members
C List of Acronyms
CONTENTS
29
40
51
53
66
68