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International Benchmarking of US Mathematics Research (1997)
National Academy of Sciences, National Academy of Engineering, Institute of Medicine (SEM)

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INTERNATIONAL BENCHMARKING OF US MATHEMATICS RESEARCH

APPENDIX B

STATISTICAL DATA ON THE FIELD OF MATHEMATICS

This appendix is a collection of some of the data that various members of the panel reviewed before developing conclusions. It provides the available data on education, employment, funding, and papers and citations. Most of the information is available only for the United States, but non-US data, when available, are included.

EDUCATION

Figure B-1 shows how the number of institutions in the United States awarding PhDs in mathematics has grown since 1920. Figure B-2 provides the number of PhDs that these institutions awarded during the same period. The drastic increase in PhDs in the 1960s was probably due to the draft exemption during the Vietnam War. The big increase in degrees granted in the 1980s probably occurred when computer science came into vogue.

Figure B-3 shows how long it took students to attain their degrees and provides the age at which they received their doctorate. Figure B-4 shows how many of those students were foreign citizens, and table 1 in section 5.5 shows the decrease in applications to US PhD programs in mathematics by US and non-US citizens.

Figure B-5 compares the number of first degrees (equivalent to a BS in the United States) in mathematics and computer science in the United States and western Europe. The data were available only for mathematics and computer science combined, and computer science grew rapidly during the period covered, especially in western Europe.

Figure B-6 shows the number of doctoral degrees awarded in natural sciences in Asia, Europe, and the United States in 1992. Mathematics cannot be separated out from these data.

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INTERNATIONAL BENCHMARKING OF US MATHEMATICS RESEARCH APPENDIX B STATISTICAL DATA ON THE FIELD OF MATHEMATICS This appendix is a collection of some of the data that various members of the panel reviewed before developing conclusions. It provides the available data on education, employment, funding, and papers and citations. Most of the information is available only for the United States, but non-US data, when available, are included. EDUCATION Figure B-1 shows how the number of institutions in the United States awarding PhDs in mathematics has grown since 1920. Figure B-2 provides the number of PhDs that these institutions awarded during the same period. The drastic increase in PhDs in the 1960s was probably due to the draft exemption during the Vietnam War. The big increase in degrees granted in the 1980s probably occurred when computer science came into vogue. Figure B-3 shows how long it took students to attain their degrees and provides the age at which they received their doctorate. Figure B-4 shows how many of those students were foreign citizens, and table 1 in section 5.5 shows the decrease in applications to US PhD programs in mathematics by US and non-US citizens. Figure B-5 compares the number of first degrees (equivalent to a BS in the United States) in mathematics and computer science in the United States and western Europe. The data were available only for mathematics and computer science combined, and computer science grew rapidly during the period covered, especially in western Europe. Figure B-6 shows the number of doctoral degrees awarded in natural sciences in Asia, Europe, and the United States in 1992. Mathematics cannot be separated out from these data.

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INTERNATIONAL BENCHMARKING OF US MATHEMATICS RESEARCH Figure B-1: Number of US institutions awarding PhDs in mathematics, 1920-1995 Source: Analysis conducted by the National Research Council's Office of Scientific and Engineering Personnel for this study. Figure B-2: Number of PhDs awarded in mathematics in the United States, 1920-1995 Source: Analysis conducted by the National Research Council's Office of Scientific and Engineering Personnel for this study.

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INTERNATIONAL BENCHMARKING OF US MATHEMATICS RESEARCH Figure B-3: Median time to PhD and age at receipt of PhD in mathematics in the United States Source: COSEPUP 1995. Figure B-4: Doctoral recipients: total number and US and non-US citizens Source: AMS 1996.

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INTERNATIONAL BENCHMARKING OF US MATHEMATICS RESEARCH Figure B-5: Number of first degrees in mathematics and computer science Source: NSF 1996c, p. 34. Figure B-6: Doctoral degrees in natural-sciences, 1992 Degrees Awarded Source: NSF 1996c, p. 8.

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INTERNATIONAL BENCHMARKING OF US MATHEMATICS RESEARCH EMPLOYMENT Figure B-7 shows the number of PhD mathematicians employed in the United States from 1973 to 1991. Where they are employed is shown in table B-1, and the type of work they are doing is shown in table B-2. The data are from the Survey of Doctorate Recipients (SDR). The SDR is a biennial longitudinal survey, dating back to 1973, of research doctorates working in the United States. The survey questionnaire is sent in the spring to a sample of about 50,000. These people are asked a series of demographic and employment-characteristics questions. The response rate for the survey has varied over the years; in the late 1980s it was about 60%. That has been improved during the last 2 survey cycles through the use of second-wave mailings and telephone interviews; in 1995, it was about 85%. The sample is stratified across 3 variables: field of degree, sex, and a combination variable that includes degree field, sex, handicap status, ethnic group, and nationality of birth. The results of the survey are statistically analyzed to translate the data into weighted numbers for the entire population. From these data, the doctorate workforce in science and engineering can be analyzed across different dimensions by looking at different demographic and employment characteristics and by taking different cohorts. This provides for both longitudinal and timeseries analyses, as shown here. Of course, differentiating between research and teaching in determining the type of work for faculty is difficult. However it is fruitful to think about the nonresearch and teaching positions that mathematicians are obtaining and how they are changed over time. Figure 4 in section 5.3.2 shows some of this information graphically. Note how the percentage of mathematicians employed as tenured and tenure-track faculty has declined while the percentage of mathematicians employed in industry has increased. The percentage in government employment has remained stable. Figure B-8 shows the median salaries for PhD mathematicians and PhD holders in several related fields. Figure B-9 shows the citizenship of faculty hired in 1991-1992 and figure B-10 the source of their PhDs. Of particular concern is the unemployment status of new PhDs. Figure B-11 shows the change in unemployment rate for new mathematics PhDs from 1989 to 1996. The salaries of the new PhDs who attained academic employment are shown in figure B-12; the 9-month salaries included data on 102 men and 38 women, and the 12-month salaries included data on 20 men and 7 women.

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INTERNATIONAL BENCHMARKING OF US MATHEMATICS RESEARCH Figure B-7: Number of PhD mathematicians employed in the United States Source: COSEPUP 1995, p. 153.

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INTERNATIONAL BENCHMARKING OF US MATHEMATICS RESEARCH Table B-l: Employment Status of PhD Mathematicians in the United States   1973 1975 1977 1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 Tenured and tenure-track faculty 9,238 10,332 10,690 10,341 10,936 11,233 11,887 11,627 12,057 12,209 12,779 12,437 Tenured faculty 6,280 6,546 7,458 8,303 8,715 9,124 9,469 9,438 9,80l 10,039 10,386 10,338 Tenure-track faculty 2,958 3,786 3,232 2,038 2,221 2,109 2,418 2,189 2,256 2,170 2,393 2,099 Other academic positions 343 666 779 1,582 1,266 1,592 1,693 1,950 2,313 2,133 1,994 1,788 Postdoctoral appointments-academic 41 73 93 146 102 102 83 264 210 99 105 484 2-yr college faculty 87 183 284 290 275 233 233 245 252 257 454 466 Industry 1,027 1,622 2,064 2,635 3,274 3,350 3,795 4,179 4,355 4,295 4,658 4,886 Federal and other government positions 586 601 719 918 988 887 958 871 965 1,076 1,083 1,045 Self-employed and others 280 448 634 686 855 1,195 989 940 1,177 1,292 1,550 1,597 Postdoctoral appointments-other 31 35 31 30 87 33 47 25 45 19 50 27 Unemployed and seeking employment 161 79 168 66 102 105 86 169 91 62 211 301 Elementary- and high school teachers 22 35 49 52 102 172 130 196 172 192 123 155 Total 11,816 14,074 15,511 16,746 17,987 18,902 19,901 20,466 21,637 21,634 23,007 23,186 Tenured and tenure-track faculty 78.2% 73.4% 68.9% 61.8% 60.8% 59.4% 59.7% 56.8% 55.7% 56.4% 55.5% 53.6% Tenured faculty 53.1% 46.5% 48.1% 49.6% 48.5% 48.3% 47.6% 46.1% 45.3% 46.4% 45.1% 44.6% Tenure-track faculty 25.0% 26.9% 20.8% 12.2% 12.3% 11.2% 12.2% 10.7% 10.4% 10.0% 10.4% 9.1% Other academic positions 2.9% 4.7% 5.0% 9.4% 7.0% 8.4% 8.5% 9.5% 10.7% 9.9% 8.7% 7.7% Postdoctoral appointments-academic 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.9% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.5% 2.1% 2-yr college faculty 0.7% 1.3% 1.8% 1.7% 1.5% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 2.0% 2.0% Industry 8.7% 11.5% 13.3% 15.7% 18.2% 17.7% 19.1% 20.4% 20.1% 19.9% 20.2% 21.1% Federal and other government positions 5.0% 4.3% 4.6% 5.5% 5.5% 4.7% 4.8% 4.3% 4.5% 5.0% 4.7% 4.5% Self-employed and others 2.4% 3.2% 4.1% 4.1% 4.8% 6.3% 5.0% 4.6% 5.4% 6.0% 6.7% 6.9% Postdoctoral appointments-other 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% Unemployed and seeking employment 1.4% 0.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.8% 0.4% 0.3% 0.9% 1.3% Elementary- an high school teachers 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 1.0% 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.7% Source: Analysis conducted by the National Research Council's Officeof Scientific and Engineering Personnel for this study.

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INTERNATIONAL BENCHMARKING OF US MATHEMATICS RESEARCH Table B-2: Occupation Status of PhD Mathematicians in the United States   1973 1975 1977 1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 Research 2,605 3,100 3,637 4,272 4,483 4,620 5,411 5,409 5,958 6,005 5,848 5,902 Basic research 1,510 1,490 1,662 2,017 1,878 1,924 2,746 3,025 3,270 2,984 2,797 2,836 Applied research 799 919 1,222 1,321 1,588 1,335 1,444 1,799 1,921 2,299 2,676 2,660 Development 296 691 753 934 1,017 1,361 1,221 585 767 722 375 406 Research management 521 631 593 1,160 824 1,059 1,135 1,077 1,156 771 2,300 1,861 Management-other 665 932 1,265 1,357 1,230 1,164 1,660 1,360 1,398 1,438     Teaching 7,454 8,622 8,603 8,601 9,311 9,590 9,460 9,484 9,794 9,161 10,239 10,108 Professional services 37 74 106 136 365 212 226 44 71 169 562 520 Consulting 177 222 232 406 648 763 611 448 629       Computing                   794 2,322 2,587 Other work activities, no response 299 414 907 748 927 1,389 1,312 2,547 2,542 2,571 1,525 1,907 Federal support 3,879 3,680 4,000 4,716 4,533 5,853 5,009 7,293 8,189 7,911 4,653 5,507 No federal support, no response 8,015 10,315 11,343 11,964 13,352 12,944 14,806 13,004 13,359 13,661 18,143 17,378 Total 23,652 27,990 30,686 33,360 35,673 37,594 39,630 40,666 43,096 42,481 45,592 45,770 Research 11.0% 11.1% 11.9% 12.8% 12.6% 12.3% 13.7% 13.3% 13.8% 14.1% 12.8% 12.9% Basic research 6.4% 5.3% 5.4% 6.0% 5.3% 5.1% 6.9% 7.4% 7.6% 7.0% 6.1% 6.2% Applied research 3.4% 3.3% 4.0% 4.0% 4.5% 3.6% 3.6% 4.4% 4.5% 5.4% 5.9% 5.8% Development 1.3% 2.5% 2.5% 2.8% 2.9% 3.6% 3.1% 1.4% 1.8% 1.7% 0.8% 0.9% Research management 2.2% 2.3% 1.9% 3.5% 2.3% 2.8% 2.9% 2.6% 2.7% 1.8% 5.0% 4.1% Management-other 2.8% 3.3% 4.1% 4.1% 3.4% 3.1% 4.2% 3.3% 3.2% 3.4% 0.0% 0.0% Teaching 31.5% 30.8% 28.0% 25.8% 26.1% 25.5% 23.9% 23.3% 22.7% 21.6% 22.5% 22.1% Professional services 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 1.0% 0.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 1.2% 1.1% Consulting 0.7% 0.8% 0.8% 1.2% 1.8% 2.0% 1.5% 1.1% 1.5%       Computing                   1.9% 5.1% 5.7% Other work activities, no response 1.3% 1.5% 3.0% 2.2% 2.6% 3.7% 3.3% 6.3% 5.9% 6.1% 3.3% 4.2% Federal support 16.4% 13.1% 13.0% 14.1% 12.7% 15.6% 12.6% 17.9% 19.0% 18.6% 10.2% 12.0% No federal support, no response 33.9% 36.9% 37.0% 35.9% 37.4% 34.4% 37.4% 32.0% 31.0% 32.2% 39.8% 38.0% Source: Analysis conducted by the National Research Council's Officeof Scientific and Engineering Personnel for this study.

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INTERNATIONAL BENCHMARKING OF US MATHEMATICS RESEARCH Figure B-8: Median salaries in 1993 of US PhDs who received their degree in 1985-1990, Source: NSF 1996a, appendix table 5-27. Figure B-9: Citizenship of full-time mathematics faculty with PhDs hired during 1991-1992 in the United States Source: AMS 1992, pp. 314-315.

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INTERNATIONAL BENCHMARKING OF US MATHEMATICS RESEARCH Figure B-10: Source of PhDs of full-time mathematics faculty hired during 1991-1992 in the United States Source: AMS 1992, pp. 314-315. Figure B-11: Percentage of unemployed new US mathematics PhDs Source: AMS 1996, 1997c.

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INTERNATIONAL BENCHMARKING OF US MATHEMATICS RESEARCH Figure B-12: Median nine- and twelve-month salaries of new US PhDs for teaching or teaching and research in 1995 dollars Source: AMS 1996. FUNDING The information provided in this section, unless otherwise indicated, is from an analysis conducted by the Joint Policy Board for Mathematics for the American Association for the Advancement of Science. It produces an annual analysis of federal budget data on the field of mathematics. There are 7 dedicated programs in mathematical sciences at 3 agencies: the Department of Defense (DOD), the Department of Energy (DOE), and the National Science Foundation (NSF). NSF focuses on fundamental research and its vitality, DOD looks on mathematical sciences as a problem-solving technology that can reduce costs in the development and deployment of hardware and software, and DOE and other agencies —such as the Department of Transportation, the Environmental Protection Agency, the National Aeronautics and Space Administration, the National Institutes of Health, and the National Institute of Standards and Technology—maintain mostly-applied mathematics and statistics activities to enable progress in fields related to their missions. All other agencies use applied mathematics and statistics. Table B-3 shows federal support for academic mathematical-sciences research. Figure B-13 compares the percentage of academic mathematical scientists who have federal support to the percentages in other fields. Federal support for all mathematical research (basic, applied, and development) is shown in figure B-14.

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INTERNATIONAL BENCHMARKING OF US MATHEMATICS RESEARCH The NSF Department of Mathematical Sciences (DMS) supports development of mathematical and statistical ideas and techniques, encourages the integration of mathematics with other disciplines, and encourages the diffusion of mathematics into technology. Grants are provided to individual investigators, research institutes, and centers and for shared computing equipment, postdoctoral fellowships, research conferences, and undergraduate programs such as curriculum development. NSF supports three mathematics institutes--the Institute for Mathematics and its Applications (IMA) at the University of Minneapolis was supported at $1,900,000 and the Mathematical Sciences Research Institute (MSRI) at the University of California, Berkeley was supported at $3,110,000 in FY1996. The IMA nearly matches the NSF support with funds from industry, sponsoring institutions, other agencies, and the University of Minnesota. The MSRI has limited additional support outside the NSF award. In 1998, there will be a recompetition for the location of the institutes in the mathematical sciences. The MSRI and the IMA are under review for “bridging” awards until the new national institutes are established as a result of the recompetition. Since its inception in 1989, the Center for Discrete Mathematics and Theoretical Computer Science (DIMACS) at Rutgers University and its staff have received a total of $74 million in science and technology center (STC) and individual-investigator grants, of which NSF support has accounted for 50%. In 1995, total funding was $9.9 million. The STC program is nearing its end, and DIMACS will need to decide soon whether will recompete for NSF STC funds. Other large projects supported by NSF include the Institute for Advanced Studies at $1,333,000 and the National Institute for Statistical Science at $1,068,000 in FY1996. In DOD, the Air Force Office of Scientific Research supports research in subjects such as optimization, signal-processing, probability and statistics, computational mathematics, and dynamics and control. The Army Research Office focuses on the mathematics of materials science, high-performance computing, stochastic methods in image analysis, and mathematical and computational issues in intelligent manufacturing. The Office of Naval Research supports research in the mathematical subfields of applied analysis, discrete mathematics, numerical analysis, operations research, and probability and statistics. The Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency supports research that facilitates the development of technologies needed to meet future military needs. Of particular interest recently have been mathematical aspects of signal- and image-processing, electromagnetics, modeling and simulation of manufacturing processes, and optimized portable application libraries. The National Security Agency is the nation's largest employer of mathematical scientists. It has a competitive grants program that supports unclassified academic research in discrete mathematics, algebra, number theory, probability, statistics, and cryptology. The DOE focuses its R&D support on applied computer and computational mathematics, science and technology.

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INTERNATIONAL BENCHMARKING OF US MATHEMATICS RESEARCH Table B-3: Federal Support for the Mathematical Sciences, Fiscal Year 1995-1998, in Millions, Current Dollars

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INTERNATIONAL BENCHMARKING OF US MATHEMATICS RESEARCH Figure B-13: Percentages of US academic scientists with federal support, 1993 Source: NSB 1996, appendix table 5-27.

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INTERNATIONAL BENCHMARKING OF US MATHEMATICS RESEARCH Figure B-14a: Federal funding of US mathematical research - academic, 1993-1995 average Figure B-14b: Federal funding of US mathematical research - all R&D Key: NSF= National Science Foundation; DOD= Department of Defense; DOE= Department of Energy HHS= Department of Health and Human Services; NASA= National Aeronautics and Space Administration; USDA= Department of Agriculture; DOC= Department of Commerce; DOT= Department of Transportation; DOI= Department of the Interior Source: NSB 1996.

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INTERNATIONAL BENCHMARKING OF US MATHEMATICS RESEARCH PAPERS AND CITATIONS Two recent reports—one from Australia and the other from the United Kingdom—have analyzed scientific performance on a comparative basis using research-paper production and citation data. As noted in the Australian Bureau of Industry Economics report Australian Science: Performance from Published Papers (1996), there are a number of problems in using such data, including a bias toward roman script and English-language journals; the greater attention paid to papers by renowned authors than to high-quality papers by less-known authors, technical papers, review articles, and recipes with little frontier science; and self-citation and citation circles. Other problems occur because journal prestige and variation among disciplines is not considered. Time lag is a problem. There can be differential counting or miscounting due to multiple authorship, multiple field allocation, limits on the number of citations by journal, and changes in the number of journals in the field over time. And authors might use the same material with slight elaborations or break up a major article into several minor ones. Papers “ahead of their time” and research communicated in nonjournal form (such as working papers, scientific equipment, computer programs, and seminar papers) might not be cited. Other outputs (such as teaching, advice to government, commercial research, and scientific services) are not included in bibliometric analyses. Thus, citation rates measure visibility but not inaccessible work and not necessarily quality. Figure B-15 shows the percentage of mathematical-research papers published by US authors relative to authors in 4 other countries that have strong mathematics programs. Figure B-16 compares the number of papers produced by US mathematicians with those produced in the European Community. The UK report The Quality of the UK Science Base (1997) identifies the following as the top countries according to share of world's citations in mathematics: United States. United Kingdom. Germany. France. Japan. Another measure that was used in the UK report is the relative citation impact. The relative citation impact for a country in a particular field is defined as the country's share of the world's citations in the field divided by its share of world publications in the field. It can be thought of as a comparison of a country's citation rate for a particular field with the world's citation rate for the field. A relative citation impact (or rate) higher than 1 shows that the country's citation for the field is higher than the world's. According to the UK report, it is a measure of both the impact and the visibility of a country's research (as disseminated through publications) and gives some indication of the quality of the average paper. The top countries in mathematics according to the relative citation impact index are

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INTERNATIONAL BENCHMARKING OF US MATHEMATICS RESEARCH Denmark. Norway. UK. US. Netherlands. Figure B-15: Percentage of mathematical-research papers published by US authors Source: NSB 1996, appendix table 5-31.

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INTERNATIONAL BENCHMARKING OF US MATHEMATICS RESEARCH Figure B-16: Number of mathematical-research papers by US and EC authors, 1981-1996 Source: Institute for Scientific Information, National Science Indicators on Diskette, 1981-1996. Philadelphia, PA.

Representative terms from entire chapter:

phd mathematicians