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New Vaccine Development: Establishing Priorities: Volume II, Diseases of Importance in Developing Countries (1986)
Board on Population Health and Public Health Practice (BPH)

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. "4. Comparison of Disease Burdens." New Vaccine Development: Establishing Priorities: Volume II, Diseases of Importance in Developing Countries. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press, 1986.

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New Vaccine Development: Establishing Priorities, Volume II, Diseases of Importance in Developing Countries

TABLE 4.9 Morbidity and Mortality Burdens Resulting from Various Diseases

Disease

Total Disease Burden Valuea (IME units)b

Normalized (percent)

Dengue virus

34,365

0.52

Escherichia coli

978,248

14.79

 

(550,248)c

(8.32)

Hemophilus influenzae type b

471,336

7.13

Hepatitis A virus

30,229

0.46

Hepatitis B virus

2,394,256

36.21

Japanese encephalitis virus

18,075

0.27

Mycobacterium leprae

657,349

9.94

Neisseria meningitidis

68,252

1.03

Parainfluenza virus

145,954

2.21

Plasmodium spp.

2,111,795

31.94

Rabies virus

67,821

1.03

Respiratory syncytial virus

183,326

2.77

Rotavirus

925,042

13.99

 

(488,542)c

(7.39)

Salmonella typhi

1,308,121

19.78

Shigella spp.

828,068

12.52

Streptococcus Group A

811,477

12.27

Streptococcus pneumoniae

6,612,261

100.00

Vibrio cholera

229,217

3.47

Yellow fever virus

32,887

0.50

aSee Appendixes D-1 through D-19 for derivations of disease burden estimates used to calculate TDBVs.

bInfant mortality equivalence units.

cValues in parentheses represent the anticipated disease burden from certain diarrheal pathogens if a plausible increase in oral rehydration therapy is assumed (see Appendix C).

development is described in Appendixes D-1 through D-19. Various assumptions were entailed in deriving such estimates. Table 4.9 shows the total disease burden values calculated for each disease (using disease burden estimates and the median of perspectives from public health professionals in developing countries). Use of these total disease burden values to rank the diseases is demonstrated in Table 4.10.

Chapter 7 describes application of the disease comparison system to the calculation of potential health benefits from candidate vaccines.

LIMITATIONS OF THE PROPOSED SYSTEM

The proposed system assesses the most obvious feature of infectious diseases, morbidity, and mortality. The aggregate nature of the total

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59
Front Matter (R1-R16)
1. Summary (1-18)
2. Priority Setting for Health-Related Investments: A Review of Methods (19-29)
3. Overview of the Analytic Approach (30-43)
4. Comparison of Disease Burdens (44-62)
5. Predictions of Vaccine Development (63-75)
6. Assessing the Likely Utilization of New Vaccines (76-81)
7. Calculation and Comparison of the Health Benefits and Differential Costs Associated with Candidate Vaccines (82-105)
8. Additional Issues in the Selection of Priorities for Accelerated Vaccine Development (106-120)
9. Findings, Conclusions, and Recommendations (121-142)
Appendix A: Selection of Vaccine Candidates for Accelerated Development (143-148)
Appendix B: The Burden of Disease Resulting from Acute Respiratory Illness (149-158)
Appendix C: The Burden of Disease Resulting from Diarrhea (159-169)
Appendix D-1: The Prospects for Immunizing Against Dengue Virus (170-177)
Appendix D-2: The Prospects for Immunizing Against Escherichia coli (178-185)
Appendix D-3: The Prospects for Immunizing Against Hemophilus influenzae Type b (186-196)
Appendix D-4: The Prospects for Immunizing Against Hepatitis A Virus (197-207)
Appendix D-5: The Prospects for Immunizing Against Hepatitis B Virus (208-222)
Appendix D-6: The Prospects for Immunizing Against Japanese Encephalitis Virus (223-240)
Appendix D-7: The Prospects for Immunizing Against Mycobacterium leprae (241-250)
Appendix D-8: The Prospects for Immunizing Against Neisseria meningitidis (251-266)
Appendix D-9: The Prospects for Immunizing Against Parainfluenza Viruses (267-274)
Appendix D-10: The Prospects for Immunizing Against Plasmodium spp. (275-286)
Appendix D-11: The Prospects for Immunizing Against Rabies Virus (287-298)
Appendix D-12: The Prospects for Immunizing Against Respiratory Syncytial Virus (299-307)
Appendix D-13: The Prospects for Immunizing Against Rotavirus (308-318)
Appendix D-14: The Prospects for Immunizing Against Salmonella typhi (319-328)
Appendix D-15: The Prospects for Immunizing Against Shigella spp. (329-337)
Appendix D-16: The Prospects for Immunizing Against Streptococcus Group A (338-356)
Appendix D-17: The Prospects for Immunizing Against Streptococcus pneumoniae (357-375)
Appendix D-18: The Prospects for Immunizing Against Vibrio cholerae (376-389)
Appendix D-19: The Prospects for Immunizing Against Yellow Fever (390-402)
Appendix E: Questionnaire for Assessing Morbidity-Mortality Trade-Offs (403-411)
Appendix F: Technical Notes (412-412)
Appendix G: Biographical Notes on Committee Members (413-417)
Appendix H: Additional Sources of Advice to the Committee (418-419)
Appendix I: Contents of Supplement to Volume II (420-420)
Appendix J: Preface to Volume I (421-422)
Appendix K: Contents to Volume I (423-423)
Index (424-432)