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Page 1
Executive Summary
The availability of water to sustain life and to fuel economies
is perhaps the most important recurrent constraint in human
history, and it will remain so for the foreseeable future. During
the past decade, an in-depth understanding of the water cycle,
especially at regional scales, has emerged as a major scientific
challenge within the U.S. Global Change Research Program (USGCRP),
a federal effort to enhance understanding of the global environment
and assess its possible evolution. As water is a critical component
of other systems, it has emerged as a cross-cutting theme in the
USGCRP. The global water cycle, now one of USGCRP's six fundamental
program elements, offers two primary research challenges: (1)
land-surface interactions and (2) atmospheric processes. Research
in hydrologic science is primarily in the first area, an area that
includes land surface-atmospheric coupling over a range of spatial
and temporal scales and includes the role of the land surface state
in climate variability and change. These challenges are important
but limited. Broader challenges for hydrologic sciences that
address cross-disciplinary research and recognize the integrative
nature of terrestrial hydrology could strengthen the USGCRP.
Terrestrial hydrologic processes, specifically the storage and
movement of water on land and within the terrestrial biosphere, are
important across all of the USGCRP elements and should serve as a
unifying physical process within the USGCRP. To meet these
additional challenges, this report identifies two broad science
areas that augment the current hydrologic sciences content of the
USGCRP: (1) predictability and variability of regional and global
water cycles and (2) coupling of hydrologic systems and ecosystems
through biogeochemical cycles.
Predictability directly addresses the USGCRP priority of
identifying possible future environmental change. This report
recognizes current plans within the climate variability element but
recommends additional research topics that can strengthen the
long-term research goals of USGCRP. These additional topics include
enhanced understanding of linkages in variability of global and
regional hydrologic systems as the basis for producing improved
predictions. The emphasis on variability and predictability,
particularly in regional hydrologic systems, is designed to link
the understanding of the global water cycle with emerging regional
and local water resources issues.
Cross-disciplinary research involving hydrologic science is key
to addressing challenges identified under both the USGCRP global
carbon cycle and global water cycle elements. For example,
terrestrial ecosystems exert a strong influence on the global water
cycle through evaporation processes. Also ecosystem disturbances
are likely to be a major pathway for any changes and shifts in
water and chemical cycles re-
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Page 2
sulting from human activity. The foundation for this research
must be a better understanding of the water and chemical pathways
and of hydrologicecosystem linkages and a new means of
achieving this understanding. It is then possible to address the
combined influences of climate change and land use change, which
occur in the context of natural variability, on hydrologic systems
and ecosystems.
The USGCRP should give high priority to developing effective
measurement and data strategies specifically for the terrestrial
component of the global water cycle. The strategies should address
multiple needs, ranging from the detection of change to process
studies to operational applications. Future planning for remote
sensing and ground-based measurement networks should be integrated
to give measurement strategies that are responsive to the
priorities discussed above. This will require a high degree of
interagency and international collaboration, and it will require
new approaches to planning hydrologic measurements. Considerable
attention also needs to be given to recovering and archiving
hydrologic data and making the data available through effective
data and information systems. These strategies need to integrate
remote sensing and ground-based data, and they must be sustained
over the long term.
Water issues are central to the USGCRP emphasis on global change
and its impacts. Therefore water issues can help guide the
evolution of new initiatives within the USGCRP. To yield effective
results, concerted efforts need to be made to improve connections
between hydrologic research and its applications.
Representative terms from entire chapter:
water cycle