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1
Introduction
Crises, whether natural disasters such as hurricanes or
earthquakes, or human-made disasters, such as terrorist attacks,
are events with dramatic, sometimes catastrophic impact. Natural
disasters in the United States and its territories were recently
estimated as having taken a toll of roughly 6,000 lives between
1975 and 1994, and catastrophic natural disasters have caused
dollar losses of about $500 billion during the past two decades,
with frequent periods since 1989 when losses averaged about $1
billion per week.1 A single
hurricane, Mitch, killed more than 11,000 people and destroyed a
substantial portion of the infrastructure in several Central
American countries in November 1998.
Crisis managementan activity encompassing the immediate
response to such events, recovery efforts, and mitigation and
preparedness efforts to reduce the impact of future
crisespresents problems of large scale and high complexity
(measurable in numbers of people and amount and diversity of data,
databases, and applications), unpredictable nature of the local
infrastructure and other capabilities, and urgency. Crisis
management is an activity in which government plays a key role and
in which a broad range of players at all levels of government are
involved.
As part of a broader study exploring how information
technology
1Denis S.
Mileti. 1999. Disasters by Design: A Reassessment of Natural
Hazards in the United States. An activity of the International
Decade for Natural Disaster Reduction. Joseph Henry Press,
Washington, D.C.
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Representative terms from entire chapter:
emergency management
Page 2
research can enable improved and new government services,
operations, and interactions with citizens, the Computer Science
and Telecommunications Board's (CSTB's) Committee on Computing and
Communications Research to Enable Better Use of Information
Technology in Government organized a workshop focused on crisis
management (Appendix A). This workshop, on which this summary is
based, explored how information technology (IT) research can
contribute to more effective crisis management.
What Is Crisis Management?
Crises are extreme events that cause significant disruption and
put lives and property at risksituations distinct from
''business as usual." The first panel of the six that made
presentations at the workshop described a number of different
crisis scenarios, covering a scope and scale ranging from localized
effects of flash flooding to the regionwide impact of earthquakes
and hurricanes to the impacts in cyberspace posed by Y2K computer
bugs.2 These case studies, which
included both natural disasters and human-made disasters such as
nuclear accidents and the effects of a terrorist bombing, provide a
sense of the sorts of challenges faced in the crisis management
community, as well as a concrete context for the IT-focused
discussions that follow. The reader who is unfamiliar with such
disaster scenarios may wish to read the case study overviews in
Appendix B, which are based on the experiences of crisis managers
who participated in the workshop.
As used in this report, the term "crisis management" encompasses
activities ranging from the immediate response to mitigation and
preparedness efforts that are aimed at reducing the impact of
future events and take place over a longer time period.3 The following four, commonly described
phases of crisis management are referred to throughout this
report:
2The workshop
from which this report stems focused largely on civilian crisis
management, and most of the examples are related to natural
disasters as opposed to such threats as the use of weapons of mass
destruction by terrorists. However, the essential nature of crisis
response in all these cases is not dissimilar. Many of the
requirements established by the urgent, disruptive nature of both
and the research opportunities discussed in this report are
generally applicable to both.
3Two notes on
usage. The term "crisis management" is sometimes used to refer only
to the response phase and not to other elements of coping with
crises such as mitigation efforts to reduce the impact of disasters
in the future. Also, in some contexts a distinction is made between
"crisis management" and "consequence management." This distinction
has been made in a series of presidential decision directives and
in the recently added terrorism
(footnote continued on the next page)
Page 3
• Crisis response is dedicated to the immediate
protection of life and property. It requires urgent action and the
coordinated application of resources, facilities, and efforts
beyond those regularly available to handle routine problems. The
response phase includes action taken before the actual crisis event
(e.g., when a hurricane warning is received), in response to the
immediate impact of a crisis, and as sustained effort during the
course of the emergency. Actions taken during the buildup of a
crisis situation are designed to increase an organization's ability
to respond effectively and might include briefing government
officials, reviewing plans, preparing information for release to
the public, updating lists of resources, and testing warning and
communications systems.4 Preimpact
warning systems may be activated, resources mobilized, emergency
operations centers activated, emergency instructions issued to the
public, and evacuation begun. The emphasis is on saving lives,
controlling the situation, and minimizing the effects of the
disaster.
Crisis response includes the logistics of getting medical care,
food, water, shelter, and rescue teams to the scene. Regional,
state, and federal resources may be provided to assist with helping
those affected and reducing secondary damage, and response support
facilities may be established.
Eventually, in the aftermath, crisis response becomes a more
routine operation and the challenge shifts from the need to get
information quickly and comprehensivelybut not necessarily
entirely accuratelyto an emphasis on process, accuracy, and
accountability with systems called on to work more in a production
mode. For example, activities following the Exxon Valdez disaster
ultimately became what might be termed the world's largest
rock-washing operation.
• Recovery encompasses both short-term activity
intended to return
(footnote continued from the previous page)
annex to the Federal Response Plan, the
document that lays out federal agency responsibilities for
responding to a crisis (Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA).
April 1999. Federal Response Plan. FEMA-9230.1 PL, FEMA,
Washington, D.C., available online at
<http://www.fema.gov/r-n-r/frp>).
There, "crisis management" is used to refer to the predominantly
law enforcement responsibilities to "prevent, preempt, and
terminate threats or acts of terrorism and apprehend and prosecute
the perpetrators" whereas "consequence management" refers to
measures to protect health and safety, restore services, and
provide emergency relief to those affected. For the purposes of
this report, the term "crisis management" is understood to
encompass the full range of responses to a crisis, but the report
does not specifically address requirements unique to law
enforcement activities.
4Some of this
discussion is adapted from Office of Emergency Services Planning
Section. May 1998. California Emergency Plan. Planning
Section, Governor's Office of Emergency Services, State of
California. Available online from the State of California
Governor's Office of Emergency Services Web site at <http://www.oes.ca.gov>.
Page 4
vital life-support systems to operation and longer-term
activities designed to return infrastructure systems to predisaster
conditions. This process is much slower than response, involves
administrative work, and is subject to regulations of many kinds
(e.g., building codes). Much of this work takes place in an office
and requires an appropriate set of tools and supporting network
(voice and data) capabilities.
• Mitigation, now recognized as the foundation of
successful crisis management,5 is
the ongoing effort to reduce the impact of disasters on people and
property. Mitigation includes steps such as keeping homes from
being constructed in known floodplains, proper engineering of
bridges to withstand earthquakes, strengthening crisis service
facilities such as fire stations and hospitals, and establishing
effective building codes to protect property from hurricanes.
Mitigation can be a slow, time-consuming processorganizing a
community buyout of homes in a threatened area (e.g., in a
floodplain) can take many years, for example, because of the
politics and the myriad players. The process is administratively
intensive and involves countless situation- and location-specific
detailsa circumstance in which the use of computer systems
clearly applies. Predictive models are also an important tool in
mitigation efforts. Elevation data combined with hydrological
models, for example, permit prediction of areas likely to be
affected by riverbed flood. Ground-shaking-intensity modeling
allows prediction of the impacts of earthquakes on sites for
storage of hazardous materials.
• Preparedness covers a range of activities taken in
advance of a crisis. It includes day-to-day training and exercises
as part of increased readiness, as well as development and revision
of plans to guide crisis response and to increase available
resources. Preparedness is enhanced by training crisis responders
who may be called into action in the event of an emergency.
Information technology contributes to a variety of preparedness
efforts. For instance, the software tool HAZUS, a product developed
by the National Institute for Building Sciences in cooperation with
the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), simulates a
postulated earthquake and provides a map-based analysis of
casualties, infrastructure and building damage, and dollar losses
expected. Another dimension of preparedness is the development,
improvement, and testing of information and communication resources
required for all phases of crisis management. Systems for remote
sensing (Box 1.1) are identified and developed, and the use of
information technology tools is practiced, including how to
integrate the multiple information resources that are likely to be
needed in a crisis.
5See, e.g.,
Dennis S. Mileti. 1999. Disasters by Design. Joseph Henry
Press, Washington, D.C.
Page 5
BOX 1.1 Remote Sensing
Remote sensing plays an important role in many phases of crisis
management, and a number of remote sensing tools are often used to
capture spatial information. For example, the Federal Emergency
Management Agency (FEMA) makes use of Department of Defense
satellites and assigns them, usually just before or after a major
emergency, to fly over the affected area and photograph it, a
practice that Clay Hollister observed is very useful and can be
done reliably and quickly. FEMA receives the sensor information
within 24 hours of the flyover, and it is immediately distributed
to the federal coordinating officer's team in the field for use in
crisis response planning. FEMA does not receive the actual
photographs but rather uses and extrapolates the raw data to make
maps showing degrees and pockets of damage where, for example, a
storm hit
One application of remote sensing that FEMA is working to develop,
in conjunction with states, is the mapping of flood potential using
synthetic aperture radar and light detection and ranging
techniques. Flood maps developed from these sources are expected to
be much more accurate and useful fer response in the field, as well
as for the other phases of emergency management.
The Response Phase: Difficult
Challenges for Information Technology
Crisis response is characterized by the generation and
distribution of large amounts of unstructured, multimedia data that
must be acquired, processed, integrated, and disseminated in real
time. As such, this phase poses many of the most difficult
information technology challenges in crisis management and is the
context for much of the discussion in this report.
The incident command system, a model commonly used to describe
the functions required for command, control, and coordination of
the response to a crisis, illustrates the range of activities
undertaken as part of crisis response.6 The incident commander provides
overall command and control for the response effort. Additional
command functions, typically carried out by command staff, include
disseminating information to media, coordinating with other
agencies participating in the response, and ensuring the safety of
crisis responders. The incident commander is supported by general
staff sections that provide the following functions:7
6See, e.g.,
Emergency Management Institute. 1998. Incident Command
System. Independent Study Course IS-195. Emergency Management
Institute, Federal Emergency Management Agency, Emmitsburg, Md.
7Exercise of
military command requires a similar set of functions, and an
analogous standard framework is used. A task force will typically
have divisions responsible for person-
(footnote continued on the next page)
Page 6
• Planning and intelligencecollection,
evaluation, processing, and dissemination of information on
situation and resources; documentation of the incident and the
response to it;
• Operationsdirection and coordination of
response operations;
• Logisticsmanagement of facilities, services,
and material needed to support responders; and
• Finance and administrationtracking of
incident costs and reimbursement accounting.
Information Technology Users in
Crises
Crises touch many people, ranging from the crisis responders who
try to reduce the loss of life and property to those in the
affected communities who rely on warnings and other information to
inform their own, individual responses. Because of the central role
of information and communications for each group, information
technology research challenges arise when considering how to
improve crisis management from the perspective of each group of
users.
Citizens
Information technology aimed at citizens is becoming an
increasingly important tool for crisis management. Expanding access
to tools such as the Internet and cell phones provides new
possibilities for informing and interacting with citizens affected
directly by a crisis, as well as for supporting crisis responders.
At the same time, however, citizens have become much more dependent
on complex infrastructure services (e.g., cash machines and other
electronic commerce) whose advent has also increased expectations
for speed and ease of access to relief funds. Tele-registration is
an example of a technology aimed at improving the services provided
to citizens following a disaster (Box 1.2).
Crisis Responders
Crisis response requires effective delivery to and use of
information by many different actors. These crisis responders might
be in an incident command post, orchestrating efforts to respond to
a disaster, or located in
(footnote continued from the previous page)
nel; intelligence; operations; logistics; plans
and policy; and command, control, communications, and computer
systems. See, e.g., Joint Chiefs of Staff (JCS). 1995. Unified
Action Armed Forces (Joint Pub 0–2). JCS, Department of
Defense, Washington, D.C., p. IV–13. Available online at
<http://www.dtic.mil/doctrine/jel/new_pubs/jp0_2.pdf>.
Page 7
BOX 1.2 Tele-registration for Disaster
Assistance
One component of FEMA's National Emergency Management
Information System (NEMIS; see Sox 1.3) is tele-registration in the
aftermath of a disaster. Clay Hollister observed In his remarks at
the workshop that the federal disaster program used to operate
almost entirely with pencils and paper. In the past, FEMA personnel
met eye-to-eye with disaster victims, at a table or in a tent,
sometimes in pouring rain or snow, even if it meant that victims
had to wait in line for as long as 24 hours. Registration had
always been done that wayit was preferred because it provided
a personal approach.
When it was first suggested that victims could call toll-free
telephone numbers instead of waiting in line to register, the idea
was widely rejected. Still, there were some who saw this as a
promising approach. For a time, FEMA was conducting both paper and
telephone registrations. Following the Northridge, California,
earthquake, however, disaster personnel recognized that they could
not use in-person registration to process the claims of the
hundreds of thousands of people affected by the disaster. Since
that event, tele-registration has become the norm. Its obvious
advantages are convenience for victims of natural disasters,
improved information management for FEMA, and better use of human
resourcesthe people handling the tele-registrationwho
can be located outside the affected area.
the field, requiring situational information about the disaster
itself as well as about their own location and that of other field
responders. Common to all crisis responders is the dynamic,
stressful nature of the situation and the potential for information
overload. Many will have to integrate information from a wide range
of sources and be able to coordinate activities among a potentially
large, diverse set of individuals and organizations.
Government and Other Crisis Management
Organizations
Government at all levels may be involved in responding to a
crisis, with counties, cities, and towns providing the primary
response to most emergencies. Thus a major objective is providing
these jurisdictions with the resources to meet their disaster needs
and maintain continuity of government. During the threat of, or in
the midst of actual disaster conditions, local authorities must put
emergency response plans into immediate operation and take actions
required to cope with disaster situations. Special districts (e.g.,
for fire protection) also play an important role in emergency
preparedness and response.
State emergency management offices provide planning,
coordinating response and recovery, mitigation, and training. They
are responsible for coordinating the provision of mutual aid and
the allocation of essential supplies and resources; receiving and
disseminating emergency alerts
Page 8
and warnings; monitoring and prioritizing resource requests in
coordination with federal disaster operations; and, in conjunction
with the federal government, directing and coordinating recovery
programs to mitigate future disasters and to recover disaster
costs. Other state agencies also play a role in crisis management,
cooperating as appropriate with state emergency management
officials, each other, and other political subdivisions to prepare
for, respond to, and mitigate the effects of an emergency.
At the federal level, overall responsibility for most emergency
preparedness and operational activities is assigned to FEMA.8 To manage its activities, FEMA has
recently put a new information technology tool, the National
Emergency Management Information System (NEMIS), into production
(Box 1.3). Assignments for other federal agencies, based on their
regular functions and capabilities in areas ranging from
transportation to health and medical service, are detailed in the
Federal Response Plan.9 Federal
emergency management activities include administering of natural
disaster relief programs and responding to technological and other
emergencies requiring federal assistance. Initial requests for
federal assistance are normally coordinated with FEMA by state
officials unless other, more specific procedures are agreed on and
contained in mutually approved contingency plans.
Nongovernmental organizations also play a significant role in
crisis response. The American Red Cross, also a signatory to the
Federal Response Plan, provides disaster relief to individuals and
families, as well as emergency mass care in coordination with
government and private agencies. Other volunteer agencies, such as
the Salvation Army, provide important services and resources.
Following a disaster, these organizations continue to provide
services for their constituents, as well as for the governmental
agencies that have need of their unique services. Frequently, these
organizations are preidentified through statewide information and
referral networks and are trained to maximize their efficiency and
ability to be integrated into response-and-relief efforts.
8A newly
issued annex to the Federal Response Plan (Federal Emergency
Management Agency (FEMA). April 1999. Federal Response Plan.
FEMA-9230.1 PL, FEMA, Washington, D.C., available online at <http://www.fema.gov/r-n-r/frp>)
on terrorism gives responsibility for crisis management, which has
a significant law enforcement component for this sort of crisis, to
the Department of Justice and responsibility for consequence
management, that is, coping with the effects of attacks, to
FEMA.
9The Federal
Response Plan (Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA). April
1999. Federal Response Plan. FEMA-9230.1 PL, FEMA,
Washington, D.C., available online at
<http://www.fema.gov/r-n-r/frp>)
is the master document describing the federal government's plans
for providing assistance to states in dealing with significant
disasters, including planning assumptions, policies, and specific
assignments of responsibility to federal departments and agencies
in providing assistance.
Page 9
BOX 1.3 FEMA's National Emergency Management
Information System
The National Emergency Management Information System (NEMIS) is
a $70 million, 5-year hardware and software automation project
initiated in May 1996. This enterprisewide system allows FEMA to
better manage the agency's disaster relief program, including
recording preliminary assessments of damage, performing incident
monitoring, preparing the package requesting a presidential
declaration of disaster, tele-registering disaster victims (Box
1.2), collecting and managing data from home inspections, issuing
relief checks, and training. Other functions of NEMIS include
coordinating and managing the distribution of donated goods and
services; logging requests for information from the public;
providing support for disaster field offices, including
requisitioning supplies, equipment, and services and requesting,
allocating, and obligating disaster funding; processing assistance
and supporting a FEMA customer helpline; managing requests for and
disbursement of assistance for public infrastructure damage; and
managing hazard mitigation grants. In addition NEMIS provides a set
of common functions, known as NEMIS-Wide, that includes a reference
library, correspondence tracker, database for managing the
deployment of response workers, and geographical information system
tool.
Through the FEMA network, NEMIS provides service to the agency's
headquarters, national processing service centers, 10 regional
facilities, standby warehouses, and disaster field offices. NEMIS
is also designed to improve access to state emergency managers. For
example, state emergency management offices can dial into NEMIS to
check on the status of grants or applicants. As of December 1998,
FEMA had used this system to respond to three disasters, and the
system was put into production in early 1999.
FEMA chief information officer Clay Hollister characterized the
system as having a significant effect on the FEMA culture because
it automates a great deal of decision making. For example, now that
the new system is in place, an applicant for relief funds can call
a toll-free telephone number, and an inspector is automatically
dispatched to the house to verify that the applicant in fact lives
there and to assess the damage. The inspector enters information on
the damage into a hand-held computer and downloads the results of
the inspection into the NEMIS system. When the application is
determined to be valid, a check is issued.
_________
SOURCE: Adapted In part from Federal Emergency Management Agency
(FEMA). 1999. NEMIS Overview. FEMA, Washington, D.C.
Available online at <http://www.nemishome.fema.gov/overview/ov_homepage2.htm>.
Business
Businesses also play an important role in crisis response, due
to both self-interest and the significant resources they can bring
to bear. Business and industry leaders recognize that mitigation
and preparedness measures can make a difference in terms of a
company surviving a disaster, a significant positive outcome for a
community that depends on its ser-
Page 10
vices. For example, because of the critical role of
infrastructures such as gas, electric, telecommunications
(including wireless), water, waste-water, and petroleum pipeline
industries, the participation and effective coordination of
emergency responses with utilities is critical. Emergency planning
assists not only businesses but also the community at large by
clearly articulating decision-making authority and identifying
successors; identifying actions necessary to protect company
property and records during disasters; and providing such things as
a listing of critical products and services, contacts with local
emergency management officials, and methods to provide and accept
goods and services from other companies during a crisis situation.
(These issues are discussed in the context of electronic commerce
in Chapter 3.)
Information Technology Challenges and
Opportunities in Crisis Management
Previous Study
All phases of crisis managementresponse, recovery,
mitigation, planning, and preparednessare information- and
communication-intensive efforts that impose demanding requirements
on underlying information technologies. Indeed, based on an earlier
series of workshops involving computing and communications
researchers and crisis management professionals, a previous CSTB
committee concluded that preparing for and responding to crises
pose demands that cannot be readily satisfied with existing
information technology tools, products, and services. Their report,
Computing and Communications in the Extreme (National
Academy Press, Washington, D.C., 1996), identified opportunities
for incremental and more radical innovation in several areas, such
as communications (requirements for communications networks
extending from hand-held radios and the public telephone network to
high-speed digital networks for voice, video, and data);
information processing and management technologies (support for
resource discovery, dealing with uncertainty, modeling and
simulation, and multimedia fusion and integration of information);
and technologies to support the instant bureaucracies that form and
must collaborate in managing a given crisis (including support in
stressful contexts and to meet needs for ease of use, ease of
learning, adaptability, and judgment in decision making) (see
Appendix C).
Page 11
This Workshop Report
This workshop report builds on that earlier experience and can
be distinguished from it in several ways. Since the mid-1990s, some
aspects of the information technology base available for crisis
management have changed. The leading example is the Internet, which
in the past several years has become a pervasive element of the
communications infrastructure that is being used in all aspects of
crisis management, providing at least part of the means for
information exchange between organizations and for individualized
interactions with citizens, just as it does throughout government
and society at large. More generally, citizens and crisis
responders alike with access to computers and the Internet are more
likely to make regular use of networked information resources.
Another change, spurred by the rapid emergence of the Internet, has
been the rapid growth of electronic commerce, which presents both
new challenges and new opportunities for crisis management.
Moreover, the context of this inquiry differs from that for the
earlier effort. This workshop report summarizes the first phase of
a study that is examining the application of information technology
research across government. An effort thus has been made to explore
a range of crisis management activities, including some that have
analogues elsewhere in government, such as how government and
individual citizens, or government and business, interact. Also,
the overall study of which this workshop report is a part more
strongly emphasizes the process by which the IT research community
can collaborate with the crisis management community and by which
IT innovation can be translated into improvements in the
technologies and systems used in government.
Experience has shown that research and application communities
both potentially benefit from interaction. The introduction of new
IT frequently enables organizations not only to optimize the
delivery of existing capabilities but also to deliver entirely new
capabilities. That is, advances in information technology research
represent opportunities not only for increased efficiency but also
for a change in the way government works, including the delivery of
new kinds of services and new ways of interacting with citizens.
Collaboration with government agencies also represents a
significant opportunity for IT researchers. Government in general,
and crisis management in particular, provides a set of real,
frequently large-scale application domains in which to test new
ideasapplications that have texture, richness, and veracity
that are not available in laboratory studies.
Page 12
A first step in such interactions is the discussion of needs and
the identification of opportunities. Chapter 3 of this workshop
report explores a number of research topics that emerged during the
discussions summarized hereopportunities that were identified
as addressing the demanding requirements of crisis management and
presenting interesting research problems in their own right. In
addition to yielding these specific opportunities, the discussions
resulted in another outcome: an increased recognition of the
potential of such interaction. Indeed, both crisis management
professionals and IT researchers who had expressed some initial
skepticism about the benefits of such research indicated after the
workshop that the discussions had increased their awareness of the
interesting challenges and possible opportunities offered by the
conduct of IT research for crisis management.
The development of a comprehensive set of specific requirements
or a full, prioritized research agenda is, of course, beyond the
scope of a single workshop, and this report does not presume to do
either. Nor is it an effort aimed at identifying immediate
solutions (or ways of funding and deploying them). Rather, it
examines opportunities for engaging the information technology
research and crisis management communities in longer-term research
activities of mutual interest and illustrates substantive and
process issues relating to collaboration between them.