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Appendix C: Workforce Projection Methods
Pages 202-210

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From page 202...
... Supply Projections Generally speaking, reliable projections of the supply of a particular health profession require an accurate, up-to-date dataset containing information about the profession. Projections based on a comprehensive age-cohort flow model require at a minimum: · A baseline supply profile of the profession that includes the age distribution of ac tive professionals for a recent year.
From page 203...
... In addition, reliable data on departures from practice are vague at best. However, it is clear from the basic age distribution data that the proportion of RTs performing mammography past the age of 65 is much lower than comparable proportions for most health professions.
From page 204...
... = 4,817 x 0.859 + 865 = 5,003* Baseline Values Current supply: ACR/ASRT practitioner counts by age New practitioners: RTs: ASRT; Physicians: Not available Departure rates: Estimates developed by CHWS Projected Values Future entrants: Based on past estimates Future departure rates: Based on past estimates Other Factors Adjustments for alternative numbers of new entrants FIGURE C-1 Schematic diagram of age-cohort flow projection method.
From page 205...
... * 1.0 num gf, 57 63 28 3 erbm lativeum wenforebmun wenfo firsteth n in Calculations b Adjust- ed 298 405 203 196 194 173 -- Women Nu Percent Cu rstfi taininamot of is year stribuide hy taltoeth edat estim attritio withy ed, ery Additions 5 ev ageth is5 the Details1 78 87 38 4 ograpm aphrg 2,23 411 559 279 270 268 239 -- ded ysal ysa C- Year1 am ad first-year cb, (M e = RTs displn mmoame Ag 3.5 18.4 25.0 12.5 12.1 12.0 10.7 3.9 1.7 0.2 FTE weN spidnmlu 2,23rebmune tedam Co Th leav Colum Esti TABLE Percent by 100 a b c d e f who
From page 206...
... nu hs, tedam eatd rtapedes ofegat pesTR of ofrebmuneth pesTR FTE deoldna04ne ngimrorf ogmmam enidt 002( total wom ectjorp T o ngi of estieth ofe rwiehto upo ts pesTR rmof notubr ASR ated ber lays spid ratehtrofs or rcenepeth ofoi estim scenarie simila rat morfd are e,id lays grehtsya .TRSA by nmlu andst sets. represenrebmun the numehtsya ratehtsya nta RTsd verieD retire, ded displays spldi spldi onstC persTRfoerurt pa an S:EC .)
From page 207...
... . Other Tables of Interest Tables C-2 through C-5 present a variety of basic data about RTs and radiologists performing mammography services.
From page 208...
... 3 2 0 0 5 6 TE) 449 666 317 194 10 (F 1,94 2,25 2,62 2,62 1,86 1,48 yh e 14,4 ograp Full-Tim Equivalent Mamm e 12 3 189 316 257 448 345 604 409 225 227 to ,033 Part-Tim Adjusted e 8 3 9 9 2 4 443 461 205 81 49 1,84 2,09 2,07 2,80 1,69 1,18 12,8 2003 Full-Tim Group, 9 4 0 Age y -- 64 125 187 187 234 731 969 1,09 2,09 5,69 by in Not Radiolog 20 1 em 311 519 409 711 523 916 787 432 436 ,065 Mammography ngi Part-Ti ns.oitc oje 0 2 0 8 4 3 rform e 726 887 393 155 93 pr Pe 3,03 3,43 3,30 4,45 ,562 ,791 st 20,7 Radiologists Full-Tim ogilodira 440 180 114 76 27 -- -- -- -- -- 837 Radiologists forsetami .
From page 209...
... This difficulty is compounded by the fact that often consumers have incomplete and even inaccurate information about the services offered by the professionals and their ultimate outcomes. In this complex environment, the demand for a health profession is typically linked to shortages or surpluses in the labor market that reflect the relative ease that an employer has in hiring the professionals needed to provide services demanded by patients.
From page 210...
... Presentation at the meeting of the Institute of Medicine Committee on Improving Mammography Quality Standards, Washington, DC.


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