Toward a New Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service (AHPS) (2006) / Chapter Skim
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Expand outreach and engage partners and customers in all aspects of hydrologic product improvement. Through AHPS, the NWS seeks to provide accurate forecasts that can support timely warnings for all users of hydrologic predictions.
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Programmatic Conclusions and Recommendations The programmatic paradigm of AHPS includes the elements needed for administrative structure: clearly stated purpose, goals, and objectives; administrative organization; development and implementation plans; measurable criteria against which to determine success of meeting goals; and adequate human and fiscal resources. NWS documents (NWS, 2002; 2004)
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Scientific and Technical Conclusions and Recommendations The scientific and technical aspects of AHPS include the hydrologic science, data, and models used to generate hydrologic forecasts. The NWS uses the National Weather Service River Forecast System (NWSRFS)
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In addition to improving QPE and QPF, AHPS developers are encouraged to work closely with satellite precipitation groups to ensure that AHPS hydrologic requirements for precipitation are considered in other federal activities, such as the National Aeronautics and Space Administration's Global Precipitation Measurement mission. Second, the current modeling capability in NWSRFS needs improvements for AHPS to produce more accurate products and incorporate advanced hydrologic science in the NWS hydrologic models.
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The user interface to access AHPS information is central to creating new formats for products and widely distributing AHPS products and services. The AHPS website is the primary portal for all of its hydro-meteorological information, and the NWS has done an excellent job in providing web access to AHPS observational data and products.
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: o a detailed prioritization of milestones and schedule for implementation; o itemized fiscal and human resources allocated to each task; o specific metrics to measure progress towards meeting objectives; o methods for incorporating user feedback into the AHPS program for improving AHPS products and services; and o follow-on strategies to achieve longer range goals. · The NWS should focus its collaborations with federal, academic, and private sector organizations to advance the AHPS program and product development (Chapter 2, p.
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. · The NWS should develop specific measures of success and a strategy to systematically collect and integrate feedback into a continuous loop of improved AHPS products and services (Chapter 4, p.
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