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2 Programmatic Foundations of AHPS
Pages 17-30

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From page 17...
... The programmatic paradigm includes fundamental structural elements, such as development and implementation plans; clearly stated purpose, goals and objectives; measurable criteria against which to determine success of meeting goals; and adequate human and fiscal resources. This chapter discusses and evaluates these programmatic elements of the AHPS program.
From page 18...
... WFOs produce warnings, watches, and statements covering areas and streams of all sizes that are provided via websites, radio, and television. Major hydrologic services provided by the NWS include flash-flood watches and warnings, river and flood forecasts and warnings, and water supply forecasts.
From page 19...
... EVALUATION OF AHPS PROGRAMMATIC ELEMENTS This section begins the evaluation of AHPS with a description and review of basic programmatic elements. Programmatic topics covered are AHPS administration, human and fiscal resources, program development and implementation, and collaboration with other providers of hydrologic services and products.
From page 20...
... Human Resources The strong hydrologic focus of AHPS makes imperative the inclusion of hydrologists in AHPS administration. Hydrologic information is used in issuing NWS forecasts, watches, and warnings, and specialists in hydrologic sciences are needed to collect, analyze, and interpret these data accurately.
From page 21...
... Strong hydrologic training at the WFO, RFC, and headquarters levels could address the need for stronger OHD core capability for hydrologic research and development. It may seem obvious that the hydrologic activities performed by the WFOs and the RFCs should be fulfilled by hydrologists.
From page 22...
... AHPS Development and Implementation This review of AHPS development and implementation plans is based on two sources of information. This review reflects information shared in presentations and discussions in committee meeting open sessions and to a greater degree, it is based on an NWS document, Draft: Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service (AHPS)
From page 23...
... Examples of setting specific metrics can be found in Draft: Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service (AHPS) Development and Implementation Plan ( NWS, 2004b)
From page 24...
... For water supply forecast locations: water supply volume forecasts 2. Enhanced Services to be provided at all appropriate AHPS forecast locations a.
From page 25...
... Some of these other programs include the Integrated Water Science Plan (NWS, 2004c) , the Advanced Weather Interactive Processing System, the Hydrologic Services Program, and the Water Resources Data Assimilation effort.
From page 26...
... defense to AHPS development and implementation activities. A single overarching plan is also needed to connect program goals and program development tasks to measurable criteria, performance measures, fiscal resources, integration of user feedback into AHPS operations, or other aspects of an overarching implementation plan.
From page 27...
... One reason for collaboration on hydrologic activity stems from a need to share the costs of providing hydrologic services across temporal and spatial scales. Few entities outside of the federal government can afford the costs of hydrologic data collection, analysis and modeling.
From page 28...
... Collaborative efforts need to be closely aligned with the specific program development tasks that the NWS has established as priorities for AHPS (Box 2-1)
From page 29...
... This plan should include the following: o a detailed prioritization and schedule for program development tasks; o itemized fiscal and human resources allocated to each task; o specific measures (metrics) to measure progress towards meeting objectives; o methods for incorporating user feedback into the AHPS program for improving AHPS products and services; and o follow-on strategies for the NWS and the program's longer range goals.
From page 30...
... 2005. NOAA's Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service: Building Pathways for Better Science in Water Forecasting.


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