Toward a New Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service (AHPS) (2006) / Chapter Skim
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1 Introduction
1 Introduction
Pages 8-16
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Two county emergency managers check the National Weather Service (NWS) AHPS website to get a flood forecast for the upcoming two weeks.
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HYDROLOGIC SERVICES Hydrologic services are products that provide technical information that can be used in water resource management, water rights administration, water planning, and water resource protection1. Hydrologic services enhance or complement the usefulness of weather forecasts with new hydrologic science; hydrologic techniques developed for operational use; and advanced hydrologic products (i.e., river stage forecasts, flood inundation maps)
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AHPS operates as a part of this hydrologic services enterprise. ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE The NWS has the primary responsibility among the federal agencies to provide advanced alerts via flood warnings and forecasts in the United States.
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Warnings and response must be much more closely aligned to realize the benefits of accurate, timely hydrometeorological forecasts. Flooding is often a major problem and concern associated with hurricanes, and Katrina displays the need for merged advanced storm surge/coastal water level models and stream flow modeling to improve flood level predictions during hurricanes and tropical storms.
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Water Science and Technology Board appointed a committee to assess the full scope of the AHPS program, including aspects that relate to the nation's needs for operational flood and drought forecasting, research components of AHPS, and communication and coordination activities associated with
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Together, the NWS program descriptions and the site interviews formed the information foundations from which the committee conducted its evaluation of AHPS. A major challenge that the committee encountered in evaluating AHPS, which is also BOX 1-2 Statement of Task The study will review the new program of NOAA's National Weather Service, known as the "Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service" (AHPS)
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Programmatic elements are evaluated against components needed to support a national program, such as description and statement of program goals, plans for development, measurable criteria for implementation, and commensurate fiscal and human resources. Scientific and technical aspects are evaluated against the state-of-the-science research and ways of incorporating modeling and technical upgrades to the current NWS hydrologic forecasting operations.
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From page 15... ...
2002. Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service Concept of Services and Operations.
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From page 16... ...
1998. Weather Forecasts are for Wimps: Why Water Resource Managers Don't Use Weather Forecasts.
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