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Letter Report
Pages 1-4

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From page 1...
... This letter focuses on the capabilities of an OCO and currently deployed satellites that measure atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) and their potential role in monitoring and verifying a greenhouse gas treaty.1 The committee's study is focused on emission estimates of the greenhouse gases resulting from human activities (e.g., fossil fuel burning, deforestation, agriculture)
From page 2...
... These large sources increase the local CO2 abundance in the atmosphere by 1-10 ppm, a signal large enough to overwhelm the signal from natural sources and sinks, reducing this source of uncertainty.5 Because the increased abundances are largest over the source of emissions and disperse within a few tens of kilometers, they can usually be attributed unambiguously to their country of origin. Statistical or systematic sampling of CO2 from large local sources would thus support treaty verification by providing independent data against which to compare trends in emissions reported by countries, at least for the fossil fuel emissions from cities and power plants.
From page 3...
... necessary to verify a decadal trend for the large local sources within its footprint, and served as a pathfinder for successor satellites designed specifically to support treaty monitoring and verification. Even with the data and lessons learned from a replacement OCO, a successor mission is unlikely to be ready for almost a decade.8 Space-based monitoring of emissions to support a greenhouse gas reduction treaty has received little attention by U.S.
From page 4...
... Sincerely, Stephen W Pacala, Chair Committee on Methods for Estimating Greenhouse Gas Emissions Attachments cc: Todd Stern, Special Envoy for Climate Change, State Department John Holdren, Director, Office of Science and Technology Policy 4


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