Avoiding Technology Surprise for Tomorrow's Warfighter Symposium 2010 (2010) / Chapter Skim
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4 Challenges of Technology Surprise for the Warfighter
4 Challenges of Technology Surprise for the Warfighter
Pages 30-32
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From page 30... ...
Participants noted that the widespread dissemination of scientific and technical knowledge and know-how could combine with the inherent cleverness of people everywhere to create an essentially unbounded set of possibilities for disruptive surprise based on technology and behavior. Several contributors noted that avoiding such surprise would probably require a multidisciplinary analytical approach that included country experts and societal specialists; such an approach might also need augmentation from selected psychologists, sociologists, political experts, religious specialists, and others.
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From page 31... ...
Similarly, motivating country or societal experts to devote time and effort to understanding technology so that they are equipped to make optimal predictions and rankings is neither quick nor cheap, nor is it likely. Some pointed out that if improved and broadened prediction of technical surprise is truly desired, there may be no choice other than better educating the participants and/or including a broader range of actors, i.e., using collaborative teams made up of technologists as well as country experts.
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