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Fixed-Route Transit Ridership Forecasting and Service Planning Methods (2006) / Chapter Skim
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Pages 5-7

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From page 5...
... . Other researchers in the 1980s developed techniques to forecast route-level or system-level ridership, either through regression models using some combination of service levels, fares, population, population density, employment, distance from the nearest stop, automobile ownership, gasoline price and supply, or through a modified four-step travel model (2–5)
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From page 6...
... RAIL-ORIENTED STUDIES Several studies published since the 1980s have addressed ridership forecasting for rail systems. Although the FTA's New Starts program mandates ridership forecasts, these forecasts are done in the context of a traditional four-step travel model.
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From page 7...
... Transferability of this model to other regions is not clear. SUMMARY There are other ridership forecasting models.
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Key Terms

  • service level
  • transit authority
  • transit development
  • travel time
  • transportation authority

  • professional judgment
  • ridership forecasting
  • ridership forecasts
  • service change
  • travel model

  • choice model
  • bus route
  • fare changes
  • ridership forecast
  • timed transfer

  • transit agencies
  • existing route
  • retail employment


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