Analysis of Aircraft Overruns and Undershoots for Runway Safety Areas (2008) / Chapter Skim
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Based on information gathered from overrun and undershoot accident and incident reports, risk models that consider relevant operational factors were developed to assess the likelihood and possible consequences for such accidents occurring on a runway subject to specific traffic and operation conditions. The approach uses historical flight data and the configuration of existing or planned RSAs to evaluate the risk for each operation and derive its probability distribution that allows for quantifying the number of high risk operations at the airport.
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