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Predicting Earthquakes A Scientific and Technical Evaluation, With Implications for Society (1976) / Chapter Skim
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Pages 3-4

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From page 3...
... These results and other studies indicate that with appropriate commitment and level of effort, the routine announcement of reliable predictions may be possible within l0 years in well-instrumented areas, although very large earthquakes may present a particularly difficult problem. A truly effective national program will require a significant increase to several times the current annual expenditures for prediction research.
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From page 4...
... To avoid this unacceptable circumstance, we must mount a research and planning effort of major scope, closely integrated with the scientific and technical development of prediction capability. The effort must be problem-oriented and highly interdisciplinary: many issues require the attention of sociologists, social psychologists, lawyers, political scientists, organization theorists, experts on command and control, and experts from other disciplines.
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Key Terms

  • earthquake predictions
  • national commitment
  • effective national
  • earthquake prediction
  • technical prediction

  • truly effective
  • effective social
  • prediction research
  • comparable national
  • tional prediction

  • states research
  • social response
  • developing prediction
  • broad overview
  • technical development

  • reliable predictions
  • achievable goal
  • seismological community
  • worldwide observations
  • unanimous opinion

  • tremendous responsibilities
  • response capability
  • preferably directly
  • identify gaps
  • formal procedure

  • major scope
  • current annual
  • continuing basis
  • advisory unit
  • relevant agencies


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