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Appendix C: The Demand for Human Resources and Skills in the 1990s
Pages 136-148

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From page 136...
... NOTE: A paper prepared for a computer science and technology workshop sponsored by the Computer Science and Telecommunications Board and the Office of Scientific and Engineering Personnel of the National Research Council, and held at the National Academy of Sciences Beckman Center, Irvine, California, October 28-29, 1991.
From page 137...
... Workers, with a large amount of information readily available, will broaden the scope of their work and acquire more skills; they will be multiskilled workers. The computer science and technology professions will provide the products and services to make this possible, and there will be a tremendous demand for those who can integrate powerful tools into the workplace.
From page 138...
... Because of increasing global demand, these foreign students will have more employment options than they have had in the past, including returning to their home countries and emigrating to a third country to take advantage of the best opportunities. Several developing countries are nurturing the development of computer technology and software.
From page 139...
... Present Now information technology groups have to cope with rapidly increasing complexity. First, they don't necessarily control the computing power of their companies because individuals and departments have bought a wide variety of personal computers and software that are distributed, not centralized.
From page 140...
... These mergers will affect their information technology organizations, reducing overall investments as consolidations occur and increasing complexity as diverse systems are integrated. Future By the mid-1990s, the leading-edge applications will run on very high speed integrated LANs and with powerful workstations and will have access to a large amount of data kept in data repositories.
From page 141...
... One estimate is that one person is needed to install, upgrade, move equipment, and resolve problems for each 25 workstations or personal computers on a LAN. Very often an undertrained individual in the end-user department is designated to do the work; in this case it is likely that the resource is never counted in the information technology totals.
From page 142...
... However, as organizations outsource the operation of their central complex or even the management of their networks, additional resources will be added to the industry, but in the service companies. Summary Human Resources in Information Technology With continuing growth but a slowing rate of growth in spending, and with a shift in the application environment from the mainframe computer to the workstation, what will be the impact on the prospects for computing professionals?
From page 143...
... It is regarded as competitive in networks and communication hardware integration, logic chips, submicro technology, and portable telecommunications. The United States is behind in memory chips, optoelectronic components, optical information storage, electronic packaging and interconnections, displays, and hardcopy technology.
From page 144...
... Applications In the computer industry now and through the mid-199Os, demand will focus on effectively using the computing power available on powerful workstations. In demand will be integrated solutions that specifically address unique needs: customized integration of a variety of products and applications tailored to specific industry needs.
From page 145...
... Also, technology related to the productivity of end users will be important, for example, artificial intelligence, expert systems, natural language, and standardized interfaces. Software Development Productivity There is now widespread understanding that high quality leads to short cycle time and higher productivity.
From page 146...
... There are 200,000 highly skilled programmers in China, with local demand for only 10,000. Some of India's leading software professionals have given up jobs elsewhere and returned to India, where 360 firms say they do some software development and another 250 firms define themselves as data pro
From page 147...
... In addition, the Japanese government is funding research to improve programmer productivity. To combat shortages of skilled programmers in Europe, 14 companies and institutes from five countries are working together to automate computer programming on a project named the Eureka Software Factory.
From page 148...
... National Software Capacity: Near-Team Study. Software Engineering Institute and School of Urban and Public Affairs, Carnegie Mellon University, May 1990.


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