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Meeting the Nation's Needs for Biomedical and Behavioral Scientists (1994) / Chapter Skim
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2 APPROACHES TO THE ESTIMATION OF NATIONAL NEED
Pages 17-22

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From page 17...
... With this report we mark a departure from the activities of previous NRC study committees. In recognition of the dynamic forces that create the demand for these highly skilled investigators, we present information on what we believe to be the key contextual variables that influence the size and quality of the research work force in the biomedical and behavioral sciences: the priority given by the nation to health research; recent major advances in the fundamental knowledge base, which works both to attract young people to scientific careers and to challenge Rem to master 17 the latest scientific and technical developments; and changes in the demographic composition of the biomedical and behavioral science work force and recent employment experiences of its members.
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From page 18...
... Of He estimated $28 billion invested in health R&D in 1992, industry sponsored 45 percent, federal government 20 agencies sponsored about 41 percent, and the nonprofit sec tor sponsored 4 percent. 6 Health research has also grown as a share of total na- ~ 12 tional R&D, from about 13 percent in 1980 to 18 percent in ,, 1992.
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From page 19...
... These limiting factors include the impact of the budget deficit on federal spending, the economy, the unknown effects of health care reform, and the regulatory costs of research investments. Impact of the Budget Deficit Federal agencies throughout government are experiencing the costs and uncertain future associated with the mounting federal debt.
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From page 20...
... In particular, the 1989 study committee enhanced earlier analyses of the labor market for biomedical and behavioral scientists in several ways: · expanded the labor market analysis to include indus~y, government, hospital, and other nonacademic sources of labor demand; · developed separate projections for the labor market in general and for scientists working in R&D or management of R&D; · included a demographic-economic model for estimating scientist attrition due to dead, retirement, and net occupational movement; · brought labor supply into He labor market assessment; and · projected labor market variables to the year 2000. Another improvement over the years has involved He disaggregation of disciplinary fields for purposes of analysis, specifically in the behavioral sciences.
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From page 21...
... Status Report on the Work of the Panel on Estimation Procedures The Panel on Estimation Procedures was asked by the present committee to analyze models of supply and demand used by previous NRC study committees. The panel decided to analyze the model used by the 1989 committees and presented their results to the committee in September 1993.4 While the Panel on Estimation Procedures plans to prepare a separate report summarizing its deliberations, a brief overview of their work follows.
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From page 22...
... The panel has also offered sample short-term indicators of demand, some of which are included in this report.7 The committee believes that the panel has made a signif~cant contribution to the process of establishing overall need for biomedical and behavioral scientists by demons~ating the potential value of techniques that monitor changes in He supply of scientists and the value of shortterm indicators of demand over previous mathematical approaches to estimating supply and demand adopted by the NRC. Although the product of Heir work, found in the next two chapters, must be viewed as preliminary, it already shows promise as a policy tool in human resource studies.
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Key Terms

  • labor market
  • health research
  • behavioral research
  • behavioral scientists
  • study committees

  • previous nrc
  • heals research
  • basic biomedical
  • clinical sciences
  • care reform

  • multistate life
  • estimation procedures
  • economic conditions
  • labor force
  • regulatory costs

  • brief overview
  • industrial investments
  • research scientists
  • market outlook
  • research investments

  • life tables
  • unknown effects
  • nih budget
  • procedures plans
  • economic possibilities

  • legislative request
  • supply based
  • animal research
  • key features
  • beginning heir


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